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  NE US Senate
  RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Nebraska > Senate Class I
Office
TypeGeneral Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00am
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 08:00am
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 08:00pm
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 02, 2024 07:29pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
PartyRepublican Won11/06/2018
NameDeb Fischer Votes403,151 (57.72%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin133,234 (+19.08%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 14, 2024 NE US Senate - R Primary Deb Fischer
May 14, 2024 NE US Senate - LMN Primary Kerry Eddy
COUNTY-LEVEL RESULTS
KEY RACE? 6.0000000000 Average
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Deb Fischer
Safe 6
Strong 2
Lean 7
Slight 9
Dan Osborn
Slight 4
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH

04/24/2024 10/31/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Deb Fischer Dan Osborn (W) Write-In
PartyRepublican Independent Nonpartisan
Votes499,124 (53.19%) 436,493 (46.52%) 2,719 (0.29%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -62,631 (-6.67%) -496,405 (-52.90%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Finances$0.00 $0.00 $0.00
MATCHUP POLLS
Change Research 
10/30-10/31
47.00% (+1.0) 47.00% (-1.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Torchlight Strategies 
10/25-10/28
51.00% (-0.3) 44.00% (-0.5) 0.00% (+0.0)
YouGov 
10/21-10/28
50.00% (+0.0) 43.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Siena Research Institute 
10/23-10/26
48.00% (+0.0) 46.00% (+0.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Change Research 
10/18-10/21
46.00% (+3.0) 48.00% (+2.0) 0.00% (+0.0)
Torchlight Strategies 
10/12-10/15
51.30% (+3.3) 44.50% (+2.5) 0.00% (+0.0)
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Kyle
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
  US Chamber of Commerce
  National Rifle Association (NRA)
D Jane Fleming Kleeb [L]
I Charlotte Rose
D Adrian Boafo [L]
D Harry Anthony Dunn [L]

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 21, 2024 02:00pm News Nebraska independent Dan Osborn could be poised to shake up U.S. Senate  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View Previous Messages In This Discussion (43 Previous)]
 
R:11448Maryland Republican93 ( 2178.00 points)September 25, 2024 05:56pm
I would agree. Keep the Osborn endorsement but delete the other two. He’s technically an independent so I think it’s appropriate. The other two, it’s a D endorsing a D, nothing unexpected.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)September 25, 2024 06:23pm
My case would be that she is technically a public figure but I get that its like "is she REALLY?"

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.88 points)September 25, 2024 11:24pm
They said Greg Orman had a chance in 2014 in Kansas, they said Evan McMullin had a chance in Utah in 2022. Now they say Dan Osborn has a chance in Nebraska in 2024.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.82 points)September 27, 2024 11:39am
I continue with my guide that Osborn has to be polling at 49% before I think he has a chance.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.88 points)September 29, 2024 09:10pm
What has Fischer done that makes her deserving to lose ?. She's just your typical establishment Republican.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)September 29, 2024 10:11pm
LSjustbloggin: She's just your typical establishment Republican.

Exactly

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)October 02, 2024 05:54pm

 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.87 points)October 15, 2024 07:45am
An Osborn internal was just released showing Osborn hitting 50% for the first time.

This actually appears to be a race, but I still think Fischer will win.

 
D:6086Jason ( 13430.65 points)October 15, 2024 08:38am
Downgrading to Lean Fischer out of safety, but I remain skeptical.

Part of my doubts lie in what kind of GOTV operation Osborn has. He's not an incumbent like Bernie Sanders or Angus King, doesn't have the Democratic endorsement, and isn't a billionaire like Michael Bloomberg.


 
D:1RP ( 5618.82 points)October 15, 2024 09:46am
Hmm. I did say I'd start to pay attention when he hit 49%. An internal, but still...

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)October 15, 2024 10:55am
Jason: Part of my doubts lie in what kind of GOTV operation Osborn has. He's not an incumbent like Bernie Sanders or Angus King, doesn't have the Democratic endorsement, and isn't a billionaire like Michael Bloomberg.

But in fairness, with the scam he pulled on the Dems and Legal Marijuana Now Parties, he does know how to play the game it seems....

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)October 15, 2024 12:38pm
Republican internals show concern for Fischer.

Look for the "Osborn is a Bernie clone" narrative to be used in the campaign closeout to save Fischer. This seemed to be leaked in the Republican internals analysis.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)October 15, 2024 12:46pm
BrentinCO: Look for the "Osborn is a Bernie clone" narrative to be used in the campaign closeout to save Fischer. This seemed to be leaked in the Republican internals analysis.

The Online Left's already jumped on for 'em. Saying that if Osborn wins he's proof "BERNIECRATS CAN WIN NATIONWIDE"

I'm more understanding that Osborn's not a "BERNIECRAT", even if there's obvious links lol

 
D:6086Jason ( 13430.65 points)October 17, 2024 03:38pm
Battle of the internal polls.

I'm winning.

No I'm winning.

No I'M winning!

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 756.11 points)October 23, 2024 12:36am
I feel like a lot of youngish male voters turning out for Trump, just might pull the lever for Osborn. Fischer is perhaps unlikely to lose in Nebraska...but she's definitely in trouble.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)October 23, 2024 01:26pm
Fischer is definitely struggling. I might be missing something, but I don't understand why she is struggling and other Rs aren't. She is at worst "generic Republican" and "generic Republican" should be doing at least 5 points better in the polls in Nebraska.

 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.87 points)October 23, 2024 02:06pm
BrentinCO: Fischer is definitely struggling. I might be missing something, but I don't understand why she is struggling and other Rs aren't. She is at worst "generic Republican" and "generic Republican" should be doing at least 5 points better in the polls in Nebraska.

I don't think it's because of Fischer being a bad or controversial candidate, but I think it's because of Osborn being a great candidate. He's not a Democrat and even outright refused to form a coalition with them, and he's coming across as bipartisan and populist.

 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.87 points)October 25, 2024 02:50pm

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)October 25, 2024 03:10pm
I'M ENDORSING FOR THE MEME I SWEAR


 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.87 points)October 29, 2024 08:08am

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.88 points)October 29, 2024 02:14pm
Osborn would need to win at least 60% percent of the vote in Douglas County in order to stand a chance.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)November 05, 2024 09:15pm
LSjustbloggin: Osborn would need to win at least 60% percent of the vote in Douglas County in order to stand a chance.

58.5% with 70% in.......

 
W:11230Arthur ( 520.61 points)November 06, 2024 04:58am
Democrat Dan did very well but couldn't quite crack 50% statewide, guess all those internals of his were bunk LOL

 
D:6086Jason ( 13430.65 points)November 06, 2024 11:23am
Never take the bait.

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