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  David Cameron offers olive branch on EU referendum as Ukip soars
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Contributorparticleman 
Last Editedparticleman  May 15, 2013 05:53am
CategoryPoll
News DateMay 15, 2013 05:50am
DescriptionDavid Cameron is to table his own draft bill introducing an in-out EU referendum in an attempt to douse the Eurosceptic surge within the Conservative party and in the face of a doubling of support for Ukip in a new Guardian/ICM poll.

The poll findings, showing Ukip on a record high in an ICM poll of 18%, will further unsettle backbenchers demanding that Cameron tackle the voters' lack of trust over Europe and commit to legislation in this parliament for a referendum in 2017.

The poll shows that support for the three main parties has drained away to Ukip, with each of them down four points on last month – Labour dropping to 34%, the Tories 28%, and the Liberal Democrats 11% – as Nigel Farage's party gained nine points.

For all three established parties to be falling back in the polls at the same time is unprecedented in the 29-year history of the Guardian/ICM series. The Tories are plumbing depths they have not experienced in over a decade.

The poll also shows that there is a clear "Farage factor" in the personal leadership ratings. Last month voters were split down the middle on his performance with 28% saying Nigel Farage, the Ukip leader, was doing a good job, and 29% a bad job, giving a net negative score of –1. Today, the balance of opinion is running 40%:23% in his favour, a net positive of +17.
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