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USER DETAILS
Screen NameRBH   
NameBrandon
LocationIndependence, ,
Email
BirthdayNovember 11, 1985
AffiliationDemocratic
First LoginNovember 29, 2006 08:40pm
Last LoginMarch 25, 2025 06:48pm
Predictions Points: 5686.1743
Predictions: 2658/3143 (84.57%)
Points Per: 5686.1743/3143 (1.81)
Emote Messages 1,314
DISCUSSION
 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 28, 2024 12:34pm
Really the most surprising part is that the R finished 3rd without other Rs siphoning the vote. A majority of voters voted for a registered Dem here
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 27, 2024 11:44pm
RBH: *calm rhythmic breathing to prepare for entering 115 counties in multiple huge primaries*

Namaste, the various large MO primaries are now in.

In which the reigning MO Speaker of the House finishes behind a perennial candidate (Carter) and the Twitter candidate only shows up twice in the deviation map (in Phelps/St. Louis City)
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 27, 2024 05:59pm
in the scheme of things, the more challengers try to go after an incumbent in a state with no runoff, the better it is for the incumbent
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 27, 2024 02:57pm
always fun to get the occasional Dem primary where the losing candidate at least has neighbors who like them even if they lose by 20+
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 21, 2024 01:45pm
Webb ran a write-in campaign vs Conrad in 2022 which won nearly 30% so
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 19, 2024 07:19pm
Redfield did some polls in September 2020 in AZ/MN/NC that were a bit off of the field result

Tina Smith by 15 (51-36) when she won by 5 (49-44). Cal Cunningham by 11 (49-38) when he lost by 1 1/2. Roy Cooper by 19 (55-36) when he won by 4 1/2. Mark Kelly by 17 (52-35) when he won by 2.
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 19, 2024 03:05pm
yeah there's a period of around 15 years of Minneapolis/St. Paul elections where I'd need to see the ballots.. but for 1993 Minneapolis, the results list the party affiliations
Candidate

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 07, 2024 01:13pm
felt like we needed a note for why an incumbent finished with 84 votes in a primary
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 07, 2024 12:47pm
all those counties added with hopes of flipping the district don't seem to be strongholds for the R nominee
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 06, 2024 10:59pm
a very whelming primary result for an incumbent
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
x2
August 06, 2024 10:57pm
for all we know, we're gonna be doing this primary again in 2 years
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 06, 2024 08:35pm
Missouri has a form of early voting, but I'd suspect the % of votes being cast on election day is higher than most states
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 06, 2024 02:22pm
Depending on one's background, people moving from Lebanon to Maine could move to Lewiston to be around Maine's Muslim population, or move to Lewiston to be around Maine's French Catholic population
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
x2
August 06, 2024 01:40pm
finally a running mate for people who remember way too much about the 2006 midterm elections
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 05, 2024 02:02pm
will the anonymous sources be better here than the anonymous sources during the Biden road to withdrawal (where some of them got the outcome correct but clearly didn't know when)
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 04, 2024 01:26pm
kinda wild that the author of "Harvard Hates America" is a public Dem endorser several decades later
Candidate

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
x2
August 03, 2024 05:10pm
Huge day for various Carribbean islands (first medals ever for Dominica and St. Lucia, both gold; and Grenada gets bronze in Decathlon)
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
August 01, 2024 09:49pm
Tuesday night is gonna have the duality of finding out how far a candidate who mostly exists on the internet can go in a down-ballot primary, and how many actual election officials are gonna lose to somebody who reported spending under $10K with less than 2 weeks before election day
Candidate

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
x2
August 01, 2024 08:04pm
Guess Arpaio is someone who had his finger on the pulse of voters once upon a time and these days he does not quite have his finger on that pulse anymore
Race

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
July 30, 2024 01:11pm
BigZuck08: I wonder why Malek is getting such a strong challenge here. Is he a "RINO" or not conservative enough?

assign the percentages between (a) he was appointed to the job and (b) he was born in India and had an 'unusual' name
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
July 28, 2024 07:04pm
after updating the results from election night to final, only 2 counties voting no
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
x2
July 27, 2024 03:40pm
the list of "add (country who medaled in 2021)" links is gonna be so useful here
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
x2
July 26, 2024 11:22pm
a very 1960s Orange County outcome
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
x2
July 26, 2024 06:59pm
Now the California State Assembly races from 1930 to 1960 are entered on here just in time for the Olympics and the resumption of primaries in various states. Fortunately CA's election results are both on Archive.org and also the candidates with multiple party nominations have their party of registration listed first.

Also some of the 1920s party standings make 62-18 look close on the graph.
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D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)
July 26, 2024 06:11pm
now the Hawkins page is a little deeper. 28 years in the CA Assembly and then 28 years in Congress
Candidate

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