You have to wonder if this might be the last election in Northern Ireland at least as we know it now. With the Irish Nationalist parties growing in Strength, and Starmer promising changes to the existing agreement. How far will Starmer go?
It's not Gabon's Southern neighbors that should look over their shoulders so much as its immediate neighbor to the north. Obiang's once-solid dependable rocking chair is close to cracking.
Prediction: Neither Trump nor DeSantis will be the nominee. Trump's baggage is getting to be too much and I feel like DeSantis has topped out way too early. I think someone like Tim Scott or even Pence would be more likely to be the nominee because they have room to grow. Thoughts?
I wager that the incoming Bong Bong/Sara Duterte administration will be seen as a liberal-democratic beacon in South-east Asia and remain popular enough to take a second term. Certainly an improvement by an extra-wide margin over the agita of the last few years, forever remembered ignobly by the 'back-alley' biker-killers Rodrigo set loose in Manila.
This territory, long ignored, out of sight and out of mind, may heave up from obscurity soon, if only because the political havoc affecting neighbor and SADR-backer, Algeria, has twisted her head to her navel.
The SADR control a third of this land, you see, and its only true ally and financial backer has been the team behind Algeria's 'system', now under siege.
A nation close to ruin and penniless, stewing under super high unemployment and even higher discontent - sweating the heat of Arab Spring II....the outcome in Algeria can't be good.
Whomever or whatever oligarchy takes command of El Mouradia Palace this year will be forced to submerge and cower for decades. One immediate act of future Algeria will be to relieve herself of foreign obligation, expense and adventure (bye bye SADR).
Morocco's been itching to annex/administer/organize (name a word to camouflage true intent) what it doesn't already control in Western Sahara. Now's the time to fulfill a heartfelt desire. Countdown to launch has begun.
from Juan Croniqueur
x2
