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  OH US Senate - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Ohio > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
TypeRepublican Primary Election
Filing Deadline December 20, 2023 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open March 19, 2024 - 05:30am Central
Polls Close March 19, 2024 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH April 19, 2024 08:25pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameSherrod Brown Votes2,358,508 (53.40%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin300,949 (+6.81%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2024
NameBernie Moreno Votes2,857,383 (50.09%)
Term01/03/2025 - 01/03/2031 Margin206,434 (+3.62%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceOH US Senate 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/17/2022 03/19/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Matthew J. Dolan 3 ------
Bernie Moreno 7 2 1 1
Frank LaRose 1 1 ----
Leaning Call: Bernie Moreno (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Bernie Moreno (94.44%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/19/2023 03/18/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Bernie Moreno St. Sen. Matthew J. Dolan Secretary of State Frank LaRose  
PartyRepublican Republican Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 557,626 (50.48%) 363,013 (32.86%) 184,111 (16.67%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -194,613 (-17.62%) -373,515 (-33.81%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $1,515,629.12 6/30 $3,895,912.75 $0.00  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 04/18/2023 01/16/2023 07/17/2023  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (14 from 8 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg30.95%-- 29.27%-- 18.30%--  
Emerson College 
03/17/24-03/18/24		 38.00% 15.0 29.00% 3.0 12.00% 4.0
Mainstreet Research 
03/13/24-03/15/24		 29.00% -- 31.00% -- 19.00% --
Survey USA 
03/06/24-03/11/24		 22.00% 7.0 18.00% 9.0 16.00% 5.0
East Carolina University - Center for Survey Reseach 
03/08/24-03/11/24		 34.00% 27.0 39.00% 25.0 27.00% 10.0
Emerson College 
03/07/24-03/10/24		 23.00% 1.0 26.00% 11.0 16.00% 5.0
Survey USA 
02/27/24-03/03/24		 29.00% 17.0 27.00% 9.0 21.00% 12.0
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Phil Plummer 🔗
R Sally Culling 🔗
R Jewish conservative 🔗
R Bensq1
R Ted Cruz 🔗
R Ted Budd 🔗
R Gary N. Click 🔗
R Anna Paulina Luna 🔗
R Mike Braun 🔗
R Byron Donalds 🔗
R Bill Hagerty 🔗
R Cindy Hyde-Smith 🔗
R Eric Schmitt 🔗
R Ted Cruz 🔗
R Michele Reynolds 🔗
R Rand Paul 🔗
R Tommy Tuberville 🔗
R Tim Barhorst 🔗
R Max Miller 🔗
R Kristi Noem 🔗
R Marsha Blackburn 🔗
R Vivek Ramaswamy 🔗
R John Barrasso 🔗
R Roger Marshall 🔗
R J. Kenneth "Ken" Blackwell 🔗
R Cynthia Lummis 🔗
R James "Jim" Jordan 🔗
R Tim O'Hara 🔗
R Warren Davidson 🔗
  Club for Growth
R Donald J. Trump 🔗
R Niraj J. Antani 🔗
R Mike Lee 🔗
R Newt Gingrich 🔗
R Thomas Hall 🔗
R Kari Lake 🔗
R Marco A. Rubio 🔗
R Norm Coleman 🔗
R Rodney Creech 🔗
R Brenden P. Shea 🔗
R Jenny Kilgore 🔗
R Brian Lampton 🔗
R Marilyn Reid 🔗
R Joy Padgett 🔗
R Lee M. Zeldin 🔗
R JD Vance 🔗
R David T. Fischer 🔗
R Carla Sands 🔗
R Mark Kvamme 🔗
R Richard Grenell 🔗
PoP KeystoneProgressive
BEER WSNJ
R Betty D. Montgomery 🔗
R Peggy Lehner 🔗
R Gregory S. Lashutka 🔗
R Richard H. Finan 🔗
R Maryland Republican93
R Mike DeWine 🔗
R Rob Portman 🔗
R Jay Hottinger 🔗
R Gayle Manning 🔗
R Nathan H. Manning 🔗
R Steve Wilson 🔗
R Louis W. Blessing, III 🔗
R CincinnatiReds1990
For Luzerne County Historian
R Kyle
R Maryland Republican93
R Don Jones 🔗
R Mike Turner 🔗
R Joseph Uecker 🔗
R Scott Lipps 🔗
R Melanie M. Miller 🔗
R Cindy Abrams 🔗
R Mike Loychik 🔗
R Josh Williams 🔗
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Joel Mutchler (R)
Jan 09, 2024 		Jim Renacci (R)
Jan 09, 2024 		Dave Yost (R)
Jan 09, 2024 		Warren Davidson (R)
May 30, 2023 		Mark Kvamme (R)
Apr 28, 2023

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DISCUSSION
[View All
14
Previous Messages]
 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
Sat, March 23, 2024 02:15:26 PM UTC0:00
There is going to be a ton of Trump/Brown voters.
 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Sat, April 20, 2024 03:35:09 AM UTC0:00
I have an idea or two about how Moreno was a Trump endorsed candidate who didn't top his statewide average in the parts of Ohio where Trump won by a billion

in other words, the deviation map makes seem like LaRose did more than finish with 16.7% and last place