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  GA US Senate - Runoff
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Georgia > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline November 08, 2022 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open December 06, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close December 06, 2022 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00am
ContributorJason
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia April 20, 2023 07:54am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won01/05/2021
NameRaphael Warnock Votes2,289,113 (51.04%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin93,272 (+2.08%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 24, 2022 GA US Senate - R Primary
Herschel Walker
R 1,178,625
May 24, 2022 GA US Senate - D Primary
Raphael Warnock
D 731,594
Nov 08, 2022 GA US Senate
Raphael Warnock
D 1,946,117R 1,908,442LBT 81,365SWP 0I 0IR 0
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/09/2022 12/06/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Raphael Warnock 21 2 ----
Herschel Walker 1 ------
Leaning Call: Raphael Warnock (96.15%)
Weighted Call: Raphael Warnock (99.53%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/11/2022 12/05/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Sen. Raphael Warnock Herschel Walker  
PartyDemocratic Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1,820,633 (51.40%) 1,721,244 (48.60%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -99,389 (-2.81%)  
Predict Avg.51.27% 48.73%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 11/08/2022 11/08/2022  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (10 from 10 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg50.23%-- 47.15%--  
Data for Progress 
12/01/22-12/05/22		 51.00% -- 49.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
12/03/22-12/05/22		 51.10% -- 47.40% --
InsiderAdvantage 
12/04/22-12/04/22		 50.50% -- 48.40% --
Patriot Polling 
11/30/22-12/02/22		 48.70% -- 47.00% --
Emerson College 
11/28/22-11/30/22		 51.00% -- 49.00% --
Survey USA 
11/26/22-11/30/22		 50.00% -- 47.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
WFP BigZuck08
REC Juan Croniqueur
D EastTexasDem
LBR Old LW
WASH Pennsylvanian
R Ye 🔗
I ThatAlabamaGuy
R Maryland Republican93
R Brian Kemp 🔗
R Bensq1
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
11/30/2022 Raphael Warnock TVAd Endorsement eng President Obama - One More  00:01:00 RP 
11/27/2022 Herschel Walker vs Raphael Warnock TVAd Attack eng Character  00:00:30 data 
11/23/2022 Herschel Walker TVAd Feel Good eng Herschel Walker for U.S. Senate  00:00:30 data 
11/22/2022 Raphael Warnock TVAd Feel Good eng Thanks  00:01:00 RP 
11/21/2022 vs Herschel Walker TVAd Attack eng Another  00:00:30 RP 
11/21/2022 Raphael Warnock vs Herschel Walker TVAd Issue eng Our Own  00:00:30 RP 
11/14/2022 Herschel Walker TVAd Feel Good eng Top Notch  00:00:30 data 
09/01/2022 Herschel Walker vs Raphael Warnock TVAd Attack eng What Else Is Warnock Hiding?  00:00:48 data 
08/30/2022 vs Herschel Walker TVAd Attack eng Threatened  00:00:30 RP 
07/28/2022 vs Herschel Walker TVAd Attack eng No Record  00:00:30 RP 
07/08/2022 vs Raphael Warnock TVAd Attack eng Frivolous  00:00:30 RP 
07/05/2022 Herschel Walker TVAd Feel Good eng Together  00:00:30 RP 
06/09/2022 vs Raphael Warnock TVAd Issue eng Flood  00:00:30 RP 
06/08/2022 Raphael Warnock TVAd Mixed eng Warnock Knows  00:00:30 RP 
05/31/2022 vs Herschel Walker TVAd Attack eng Herschel Walker: Right for Abusers  00:00:30 RP 
05/20/2022 vs Raphael Warnock TVAd Attack eng Problem One  00:00:30 RP 
03/16/2022 vs Herschel Walker TVAd Attack eng Imagine  00:02:00 RP 
02/08/2022 Raphael Warnock TVAd Biography eng For Georgia  00:01:00 RP 
08/02/2021 vs Herschel Walker Web Only Ad Contrast eng Tractor  00:00:25 IndyGeorgia 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 23, 2022 11:30am Scandal Georgia Senate candidate Herschel Walker getting tax break in 2022 on Texas home intended for primary residence   Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
21
Previous Messages]
 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Wed, December 7, 2022 02:56:39 AM UTC0:00
who should we credit for getting all the GA county results in?

I just put in the As/Bs and then the places with large margins for either side, and then someone put in the rest

would be easier if the AP was reporting so we could just automate it
 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Wed, December 7, 2022 02:57:16 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: He's probably in bed now. He's done.

Dave has a red eye flight to the Bahamas to celebrate the end of election season
 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Wed, December 7, 2022 06:55:34 AM UTC0:00
looking like Poll Herding could have fared pretty well here
 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Wed, December 7, 2022 05:25:24 PM UTC0:00
 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4590.4668 points)
x2
Sat, December 10, 2022 06:12:54 PM UTC0:00
 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Sat, December 10, 2022 07:57:03 PM UTC0:00
Last I checked, Johnson County was the place where Warnock gained the most votes from November to December (percentage-wise) so yeah some people turned out who might have sat out the general election.

Some election twitter person will need to find the Johnson County HS football schedule from 1979 so they could break down how Walker did in the areas that lost to JCHS during that season.