Poll Average Details- GA US Senate - Runoff - 2022-12-06 18:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

Poll	Mid Date	Time Weight	Internal	Raphael Warnock Raphael Warnock	Herschel Walker Herschel Walker
Data for Progress	12/5	X 1.00000		51.0000 - 1.8027 bias	49.0000 - -1.0296 bias
Trafalgar Group	12/5	X 1.00000		51.1000 - -1.5916 bias	47.4000 - 1.6400 bias
InsiderAdvantage	12/4	X 0.98333		50.5000 - -0.3111 bias	48.4000 - 0.1719 bias
Patriot Polling	12/2	X 0.95000		48.7000 - -1.4814 bias	47.0000 - 2.5748 bias
Emerson College	11/30	X 0.91667		51.0000 - 1.1507 bias	49.0000 - 0.4363 bias
Survey USA	11/30	X 0.91667		50.0000 - 0.6087 bias	47.0000 - 0.3321 bias
SSRS	11/29	X 0.90000		52.0000 - 2.1629 bias	48.0000 - -1.7743 bias
University of Massachusetts	11/28	X 0.88333		51.0000 - 1.8061 bias	46.0000 - -1.3567 bias
Phillips Academy	11/27	X 0.86667		47.3000 - -2.1782 bias	48.1000 - 3.5837 bias
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research	11/17	X 0.70000		51.0000 - -0.7836 bias	47.0000 - 1.4212 bias
TOTAL				50.230383	47.147501