LSwisso: There are far more important things to life than just caring about who wins elections and who holds onto power. Politics may be a force of change, but it's not relative to your personal life.

BrentinCO: Putting partisan politics aside, if you are a numbers person the Selzer poll, a gold standard in polling, is very revealing.

In 2020, the last Selzer poll in IA had Trump up by 7 and he won by 8.
In 2016, the last Selzer poll had Trump up by 7 and he won by 9.
In 2012, the last Selzer poll had Obama up by 5 and he won by 5.

Of course all polls are snapshots in time and the race and this race could dramatically change in the next 50 days. Hard to deny this campaign has not been full of events.

As a data nerd, I thought this analysis was interesting of the shifts polls are picking up since the 2020 election.

BrentinCO: Actually, what would have me concerned as a Democrat are voter registration numbers that Pruser is posting. Hardly any of them have good news for the Democrats. Certainly, no good news in the purple states.

Jason:
This is an understated element that I see a lot of Democrats glossing over. Some will rationalize it as people strategically voting for Nikki Haley earlier in the year but that sounds like copium.