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  FL US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Close November 08, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedmg2685a November 12, 2024 08:27pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameMarco A. Rubio Votes4,835,191 (51.98%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin713,103 (+7.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won01/16/2025
NameAshley Moody Votes1 (100.00%)
Term01/20/2025 - 01/03/2027 Margin1 (+100.00%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 23, 2022 FL US Senate - D Primary
Val Demings
D 1,499,216
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/23/2021 11/08/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Marco A. Rubio 8 17 2 2
Leaning Call: Marco A. Rubio (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Marco A. Rubio (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

08/04/2021 11/06/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Chairman Marco A. Rubio Rep. Val Demings Dennis Misigoy Mayor Steven B. Grant Tuan TQ Nguyen (W) Edward A. Gray (W) Uloma Uma Ekpete
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 4,474,847 (57.68%) 3,201,522 (41.27%) 32,177 (0.42%) 31,816 (0.41%) 17,385 (0.22%) 190 (0.00%) 42 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -1,273,325 (-16.41%) -4,442,670 (-57.27%) -4,443,031 (-57.27%) -4,457,462 (-57.46%) -4,474,657 (-57.68%) -4,474,805 (-57.68%)
Predict Avg.53.50% 45.90% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- 10/19 $4,920,051.50 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Campaign Site]
Entry Date 00/00/2022 06/09/2021 00/00/2021 04/04/2021 06/13/2022 06/15/2022 05/06/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (35 from 24 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg53.25%-- 41.70%-- 1.53%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Research Co. 
11/04/22-11/06/22		 54.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
11/02/22-11/06/22		 55.00% -- 43.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Amber Integrated 
11/01/22-11/02/22		 49.00% -- 40.00% -- 3.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
10/29/22-11/02/22		 52.00% 3.0 45.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/01/22-11/01/22		 51.00% 5.0 45.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/30/22-11/01/22		 51.00% 3.0 43.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/20/22-10/31/22		 51.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
10/17/22-10/24/22		 54.00% 10.0 43.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Stetson University 
10/16/22-10/20/22		 52.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/18/22-09/25/22		 48.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
09/17/22-09/20/22		 49.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Center Street PAC 
09/09/22-09/10/22		 50.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Sachs Media 
09/10/22-09/10/22		 49.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
08/31/22-09/07/22		 50.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
09/05/22-09/06/22		 46.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
08/29/22-09/03/22		 47.00% 3.0 44.00% 5.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research 
08/24/22-08/31/22		 49.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Clarity Campaign Labs 
08/25/22-08/30/22		 46.00% 1.0 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Impact Research 
08/12/22-08/18/22		 49.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Momentiv AI 
08/12/22-08/14/22		 52.00% 2.0 41.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
08/08/22-08/12/22		 44.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
08/02/22-08/05/22		 46.00% 1.0 46.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Clarity Campaign Labs 
07/26/22-07/31/22		 45.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Momentiv AI 
07/09/22-07/09/22		 50.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/26/22-05/27/22		 47.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
02/07/22-02/20/22		 46.00% -- 34.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
02/07/22-02/10/22		 49.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
01/26/22-01/29/22		 49.00% -- 41.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
11/18/21-11/19/21		 51.00% -- 44.30% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
11/09/21-11/10/21		 48.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
08/20/21-08/24/21		 48.00% -- 36.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Political Matrix/Listener Group 
08/14/21-08/18/21		 54.90% -- 45.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
08/14/21-08/17/21		 47.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
08/16/21-08/17/21		 48.10% -- 46.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
08/04/21-08/10/21		 50.00% -- 39.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Maryland Republican93
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
D Kate Mulgrew 🔗
D Crimson90
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Moses J. Quiles (W) Howard W. Knepper  
PartyIndependent Party of America Independent Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 33 (0.00%) 2 (0.00%)  
Margin-4,474,814 (-57.68%) -4,474,845 (-57.68%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website [Website]  
Entry Date 04/20/2022 04/14/2021  
MATCHUP POLLS (35 from 24 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Research Co. 
11/04/22-11/06/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
11/02/22-11/06/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Amber Integrated 
11/01/22-11/02/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
10/29/22-11/02/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/01/22-11/01/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/30/22-11/01/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/20/22-10/31/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
10/17/22-10/24/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Stetson University 
10/16/22-10/20/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/18/22-09/25/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Civiqs 
09/17/22-09/20/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Center Street PAC 
09/09/22-09/10/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Sachs Media 
09/10/22-09/10/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Echelon Insights 
08/31/22-09/07/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
09/05/22-09/06/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
08/29/22-09/03/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research 
08/24/22-08/31/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Clarity Campaign Labs 
08/25/22-08/30/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Impact Research 
08/12/22-08/18/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Momentiv AI 
08/12/22-08/14/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
08/08/22-08/12/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
08/02/22-08/05/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Clarity Campaign Labs 
07/26/22-07/31/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Momentiv AI 
07/09/22-07/09/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Public Policy Polling 
05/26/22-05/27/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
University of North Florida 
02/07/22-02/20/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Mason-Dixon 
02/07/22-02/10/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Suffolk University 
01/26/22-01/29/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
11/18/21-11/19/21		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
11/09/21-11/10/21		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Redfield & Wilton Strategies 
08/20/21-08/24/21		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Political Matrix/Listener Group 
08/14/21-08/18/21		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Change Research 
08/14/21-08/17/21		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
08/16/21-08/17/21		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
08/04/21-08/10/21		 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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