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  US President - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedGrasshopper November 07, 2024 09:56pm
Data SourcesAP
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 01, 2023 US President - ASP Nomination
Peter Sonski
ASP 625
Jan 15, 2024 US President - LBT Primaries
Charles Ballay
LBT 40,628
Apr 04, 2024 US President - NL Convention
No Nominee
NoL 1
Jun 04, 2024 US President - R Primaries
Donald J. Trump
R 22,408,459
Jun 04, 2024 US President - D Primaries
Joe Biden
D 16,699,464
Jun 04, 2024 US President - G Primaries
Jill Stein
G 17,719
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/14/2021 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 5 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Joe Biden 2 ------
Kamala Harris 14 5 ----
Leaning Call: Kamala Harris (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Kamala Harris (75.54%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/11/2021 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name President Donald J. Trump Vice President Kamala Harris Councilor Jill Stein Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Chase Oliver Claudia De la Cruz Cornel West
PartyRepublican Democratic Green Independent Libertarian Socialism and Liberation Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (0.00% in) 73,376,041 (50.73%) 69,040,347 (47.74%) 659,169 (0.46%) 637,240 (0.44%) 586,191 (0.41%) 105,956 (0.07%) 65,405 (0.05%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -4,335,694 (-3.00%) -72,716,872 (-50.28%) -72,738,801 (-50.29%) -72,789,850 (-50.33%) -73,270,085 (-50.66%) -73,310,636 (-50.69%)
Estimated Final146,752,082 (50.73%) 138,080,694 (47.74%) 1,318,338 (0.46%) 1,274,480 (0.44%) 1,172,382 (0.41%) 211,912 (0.07%) 130,810 (0.05%)
Predict Avg.46.08% 48.94% 0.54% 2.80% 0.67% 0.00% 0.23%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 11/15/2022 07/21/2024 11/03/2023 10/09/2023
Dropped Out
08/23/2024
05/26/2024 09/07/2023 10/05/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (291 from 73 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.43%-- 47.30%-- 0.67%-- 4.60%-- 0.22%-- 0.00%-- 0.56%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
49.20% 0.2 48.10% 1.1 1.10% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.30% --
John Zogby Strategies 
11/02/24-11/03/24
44.50% -- 48.10% -- 1.80% -- 0.00% -- 3.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/24-11/03/24
48.00% 2.0 50.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
46.00% 1.0 48.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TIPP 
11/01/24-11/03/24
49.00% 3.0 48.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
48.10% 0.9 49.40% 2.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Randall A. Terry Shiva Ayyadurai Peter Sonski None of These Candidates Richard A. Duncan Joel Skousen Jay Bowman
PartyConstitution Independent American Solidarity Independent Independent Independent American Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (0.00% in) 40,754 (0.03%) 27,069 (0.02%) 24,137 (0.02%) 17,456 (0.01%) 12,532 (0.01%) 9,777 (0.01%) 5,856 (0.00%)
Margin-73,335,287 (-50.70%) -73,348,972 (-50.71%) -73,351,904 (-50.72%) -73,358,585 (-50.72%) -73,363,509 (-50.72%) -73,366,264 (-50.73%) -73,370,185 (-50.73%)
Estimated Final81,508 (0.03%) 54,138 (0.02%) 48,274 (0.02%) 34,912 (0.01%) 25,064 (0.01%) 19,554 (0.01%) 11,712 (0.00%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/27/2024 08/02/2023 06/02/2023 -- 06/01/2024 06/01/2024 06/01/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (291 from 73 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
John Zogby Strategies 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TIPP 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 21 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Joe Biden (D)
Apr 25, 2024 - Jul 21, 2024
Howard Stern (I)
May 01, 2024
No Labels Primary Winner (NoL)
Apr 04, 2024
Jimmy Dore (P)
Jan 01, 2024
William McRaven (?)
Jan 01, 2024
Ye (?)
Oct 20, 2023
Elizabeth "Liz" Cheney (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Joe Manchin (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Andrew Yang (For)
Apr 05, 2023

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 27, 2024 08:00pm Jun 27, 2024 10:00pm Debate First 2024 US Presidential Debate  RP 
Sep 10, 2024 08:00pm Sep 10, 2024 10:00pm Debate Second 2024 US Presidential Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/22/2024 Kamala Harris vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Biography eng He/Him  00:00:30 Chronicler 
08/29/2024 vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng Republicans Discuss Insurrection Events  00:00:30 IndyGeorgia 
08/26/2024 Kamala Harris TVAd Issue eng Full House  00:01:00 RP 
08/23/2024 Kamala Harris TVAd Feel Good eng Opportunity  00:00:30 RP 
07/30/2024 Kamala Harris vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Contrast eng Harris for President Highlights Trump’s Failure to Secure Our Southern Border  00:00:50 RP 
07/26/2024 vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng One Old Man  00:01:14 RP 
06/19/2024 Jill Stein Interview Issue ara Jill Stein on Palestine TV  00:03:34 data 
02/13/2024 Claudia De la Cruz Web Only Ad Attack eng End Capitalism Before It Ends Us: Claudia De La Cruz & Karina Garcia for President & VP  00:02:41 data 
01/05/2024 Donald J. Trump Web Only Ad Biography eng GOD MADE TRUMP  00:02:44 RP 
08/01/2023 Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng Trump's new ad  00:01:00 RP 
05/16/2023 TVAd Issue eng Unite the Country - Freedom  00:00:30 RP 
04/25/2023 vs TVAd Attack eng Beat Biden  00:00:32 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 30, 2024 10:00am News Police are searching for the person who set ballot boxes on fire in Washington and Oregon. Here’s what we know  Article Jason 
Oct 16, 2024 02:30am Report Elon Musk and other billionaires invest staggering sums into electing Trump, plus other takeaways from third-quarter filings   Article RP 
Oct 14, 2024 02:35pm News Kamala Harris will sit down with Bret Baier for her first Fox News interview  Article Jason 
Oct 12, 2024 09:00am Poll Black Voters Drift From Democrats, Imperiling Harris’s Bid, Poll Shows  Article Jason 
Oct 05, 2024 11:35am News Trump is everywhere. Anxious Dems wonder why Harris isn’t.  Article Jason 
Sep 30, 2024 11:00am Poll Poll: Democrats' advantage with Latino voters continues to shrink  Article Jason 

DISCUSSION
[View All
160
Previous Messages]
 
D:11714KeystoneProgressive ( -7.6004 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:59:31 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Harris is still someone to be concerned about, her ties to Big Tech would help Google wiggle out of a meaningful breakup. She wants to use the federal government to censor Americans online, she wants to make life more expensive and miserable for the average American, she's an elitist. She's a corporate sellout.

LSjustbloggin: My political views are neutral

🤔

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:02:09 PM UTC0:00
I agree with where voteview places these politicians on the ideological breakdown. Who am I to call this website trash ?.


 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:11:16 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Harris is still someone to be concerned about, her ties to Big Tech would help Google wiggle out of a meaningful breakup. She wants to use the federal government to censor Americans online, she wants to make life more expensive and miserable for the average American, she's an elitist. She's a corporate sellout.

An lemme guess, ur going to somehow claim that Trump isn't any of those things?

The fact that there is so much fearmongering over ****ing BIDEN AND KAMALA AND WALZ is proof Conservatives are ****ing weak AS ****! These are literally the most milquetoast boring Dems I have ever seen in my life and THESE are ur boogeymen?

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
x3
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:32:36 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: her ties to Big Tech would help Google wiggle out of a meaningful breakup.

She hasn't said this, and the Biden/Harris administration is the reason that breakup is even on the table as it is the first one to meaningfully pursue strong anti-trust regulation in decades. Republicans have been ideologically opposed to anti trust actions forever. (Well, since Teddy Roosevelt, but he was an odd Republican and ended up not being a Republican.)

LSjustbloggin: She wants to use the federal government to censor Americans online,

Have you not heard Donald Trump saying all the liberal things he wants to censor when he gets in office? Are you ignorant of the stringent censorship that Ron DeSantis is implementing in Florida?

LSjustbloggin: she wants to make life more expensive and miserable for the average American,

Do you know how expensive things are going to get with Trump's proposed tariffs? Do you know how expensive food is going to get with his deportation of most of the people in this country willing to cheaply harvest the domestic food and the tariffs on imported food?

LSjustbloggin: She's a corporate sellout.

Trump is willing to sell out anyone and anything if it profits him. He went from being the one originally proposing to ban TikTok (see censorship) to being anti TikTok ban because a person who was a big investor in TikTok donated a lot of money to him. He's proposing ADDITIONAL giant tax cuts for corporations and the rich. Are you kidding me?

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:32:40 PM UTC0:00
I'm not neutral. I'm just not keen on certain political issues because I don't have enough knowledge.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 10:38:54 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: I'm not neutral. I'm just not keen on certain political issues because I don't have enough knowledge.

1st smart thing u said all day.

Maybe people who don't know things shoul:d shut up, learn, and then try to have a discussion

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, September 10, 2024 01:09:18 AM UTC0:00
I am somebody who can get along with people regardless of their political beliefs.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, September 10, 2024 03:57:08 AM UTC0:00
A political party can't stay in power forever, each of the two parties has their turn in power.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.2443 points)
Tue, September 10, 2024 05:47:31 PM UTC0:00
Stein leads Harris among Muslims in MI, AZ, and WI. And Trump leads Harris in MI among Muslim.


 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 02:25:46 PM UTC0:00
No actualy data in that article about that poll. What's the sample size/MoE?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 04:40:14 PM UTC0:00
That's funny because literally 2 days ago the largest Muslim/Arabic advocacy group in the US released a poll, WITH CITATIONS, that said that Stein/Harris were tied

[Link]

Wonder if NY Post simply just wanted people to not see that number

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.2443 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 05:49:03 PM UTC0:00
RP: No actualy data in that article about that poll. What's the sample size/MoE?

[Link] (Page 7)

They are tied among nationally, but statewide polling in the states I mentioned back up my claim.

The sample size is reportedly 40,000 and MoE is roughly 3.0%

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 06:24:14 PM UTC0:00
The Fixer: They are tied among nationally, but statewide polling in the states I mentioned back up my claim.

Thanks. But I don't see any state specific data in that, including on page 7.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.2443 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 06:41:54 PM UTC0:00
If you do F3 and type "Battleground States", you will see it, hopefully.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.2443 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 06:45:10 PM UTC0:00
It's page 7 or page 4, on the way you view my previous statement.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.2443 points)
x4
Wed, September 11, 2024 06:50:46 PM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 07:00:00 PM UTC0:00
Ah, I see. Page 1 per the document, Page 4 per the pdf viewer. In the upper right column.

 
D:10973Patrick ( -4.3845 points)
Thu, September 12, 2024 02:01:00 AM UTC0:00
Kamala is advertising on conservative radio in NC. It's over.

 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -631.8989 points)
Thu, September 12, 2024 03:54:19 AM UTC0:00
It's amazing that two months ago, Trump's victory was all but assured and now I'm 90% sure he's going to lose. This has been a crazy election.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Thu, September 12, 2024 04:03:34 AM UTC0:00
Even if Harris does win, her presidency will be a disaster.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Thu, September 12, 2024 04:35:40 AM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Even if Harris does win, her presidency will be a disaster.

Ahem. WHEN

 
D:10973Patrick ( -4.3845 points)
Thu, September 12, 2024 04:53:21 AM UTC0:00
Hopefully it will be as much of a disaster as the Biden presidency was.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Sat, September 14, 2024 12:31:06 AM UTC0:00
Luzerne County Historian: It's amazing that two months ago, Trump's victory was all but assured and now I'm 90% sure he's going to lose. This has been a crazy election.

Sadly, I still think this is a 50/50 proposition.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Sun, September 15, 2024 04:03:31 PM UTC0:00
Pennsylvania, Arizona and Texas are among U.S. states benefiting most from funding and investment to arm Ukraine in its fight against Russia, a breakdown of spending by the Pentagon showed on Friday - [Link]

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
x3
Mon, September 16, 2024 12:14:33 AM UTC0:00
If any of you watch Jake Broe's YouTube channel, you will have heard his take on this issue. The Biden money for Ukraine mostly goes to the production of new armaments that are retained here. Then we are sending old armaments to Ukraine that were otherwise going to be discontinued anyway - leftover stuff from the 1980s and 1990s that was considered too old to use in Iraq and Afghanistan. This money is actually making the US military more lethal than it was when Biden took office.

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