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  US President - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > U.S. Executive > Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedGrasshopper November 07, 2024 09:56pm
Data SourcesAP
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes81,285,571 (51.31%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin7,060,533 (+4.46%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 01, 2023 US President - ASP Nomination
Peter Sonski
ASP 625
Jan 15, 2024 US President - LBT Primaries
Charles Ballay
LBT 40,628
Apr 04, 2024 US President - NL Convention
No Nominee
NoL 1
Jun 04, 2024 US President - R Primaries
Donald J. Trump
R 22,408,459
Jun 04, 2024 US President - D Primaries
Joe Biden
D 16,699,464
Jun 04, 2024 US President - G Primaries
Jill Stein
G 17,719
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/14/2021 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 5 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Joe Biden 2 ------
Kamala Harris 14 5 ----
Leaning Call: Kamala Harris (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Kamala Harris (75.54%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/11/2021 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name President Donald J. Trump Vice President Kamala Harris Councilor Jill Stein Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Chase Oliver Claudia De la Cruz Cornel West
PartyRepublican Democratic Green Independent Libertarian Socialism and Liberation Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (0.00% in) 73,376,041 (50.73%) 69,040,347 (47.74%) 659,169 (0.46%) 637,240 (0.44%) 586,191 (0.41%) 105,956 (0.07%) 65,405 (0.05%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -4,335,694 (-3.00%) -72,716,872 (-50.28%) -72,738,801 (-50.29%) -72,789,850 (-50.33%) -73,270,085 (-50.66%) -73,310,636 (-50.69%)
Estimated Final146,752,082 (50.73%) 138,080,694 (47.74%) 1,318,338 (0.46%) 1,274,480 (0.44%) 1,172,382 (0.41%) 211,912 (0.07%) 130,810 (0.05%)
Predict Avg.46.08% 48.94% 0.54% 2.80% 0.67% 0.00% 0.23%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 11/15/2022 07/21/2024 11/03/2023 10/09/2023
Dropped Out
08/23/2024
05/26/2024 09/07/2023 10/05/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (291 from 73 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.43%-- 47.30%-- 0.67%-- 4.60%-- 0.22%-- 0.00%-- 0.56%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
49.20% 0.2 48.10% 1.1 1.10% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.30% --
John Zogby Strategies 
11/02/24-11/03/24
44.50% -- 48.10% -- 1.80% -- 0.00% -- 3.20% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/24-11/03/24
48.00% 2.0 50.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
46.00% 1.0 48.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TIPP 
11/01/24-11/03/24
49.00% 3.0 48.00% 1.0 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 1.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
48.10% 0.9 49.40% 2.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Randall A. Terry Shiva Ayyadurai Peter Sonski None of These Candidates Richard A. Duncan Joel Skousen Jay Bowman
PartyConstitution Independent American Solidarity Independent Independent Independent American Independent
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (0.00% in) 40,754 (0.03%) 27,069 (0.02%) 24,137 (0.02%) 17,456 (0.01%) 12,532 (0.01%) 9,777 (0.01%) 5,856 (0.00%)
Margin-73,335,287 (-50.70%) -73,348,972 (-50.71%) -73,351,904 (-50.72%) -73,358,585 (-50.72%) -73,363,509 (-50.72%) -73,366,264 (-50.73%) -73,370,185 (-50.73%)
Estimated Final81,508 (0.03%) 54,138 (0.02%) 48,274 (0.02%) 34,912 (0.01%) 25,064 (0.01%) 19,554 (0.01%) 11,712 (0.00%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/27/2024 08/02/2023 06/02/2023 -- 06/01/2024 06/01/2024 06/01/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (291 from 73 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
John Zogby Strategies 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Ipsos 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
TIPP 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 21 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Joe Biden (D)
Apr 25, 2024 - Jul 21, 2024
Howard Stern (I)
May 01, 2024
No Labels Primary Winner (NoL)
Apr 04, 2024
Jimmy Dore (P)
Jan 01, 2024
William McRaven (?)
Jan 01, 2024
Ye (?)
Oct 20, 2023
Elizabeth "Liz" Cheney (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Lawrence J. Hogan, Jr. (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Joe Manchin (NoL)
Jul 30, 2023
Andrew Yang (For)
Apr 05, 2023

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor
Jun 27, 2024 08:00pm Jun 27, 2024 10:00pm Debate First 2024 US Presidential Debate  RP 
Sep 10, 2024 08:00pm Sep 10, 2024 10:00pm Debate Second 2024 US Presidential Debate  RP 

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/22/2024 Kamala Harris vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Biography eng He/Him  00:00:30 Chronicler 
08/29/2024 vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng Republicans Discuss Insurrection Events  00:00:30 IndyGeorgia 
08/26/2024 Kamala Harris TVAd Issue eng Full House  00:01:00 RP 
08/23/2024 Kamala Harris TVAd Feel Good eng Opportunity  00:00:30 RP 
07/30/2024 Kamala Harris vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Contrast eng Harris for President Highlights Trump’s Failure to Secure Our Southern Border  00:00:50 RP 
07/26/2024 vs Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng One Old Man  00:01:14 RP 
06/19/2024 Jill Stein Interview Issue ara Jill Stein on Palestine TV  00:03:34 data 
02/13/2024 Claudia De la Cruz Web Only Ad Attack eng End Capitalism Before It Ends Us: Claudia De La Cruz & Karina Garcia for President & VP  00:02:41 data 
01/05/2024 Donald J. Trump Web Only Ad Biography eng GOD MADE TRUMP  00:02:44 RP 
08/01/2023 Donald J. Trump TVAd Attack eng Trump's new ad  00:01:00 RP 
05/16/2023 TVAd Issue eng Unite the Country - Freedom  00:00:30 RP 
04/25/2023 vs TVAd Attack eng Beat Biden  00:00:32 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 30, 2024 10:00am News Police are searching for the person who set ballot boxes on fire in Washington and Oregon. Here’s what we know  Article Jason 
Oct 16, 2024 02:30am Report Elon Musk and other billionaires invest staggering sums into electing Trump, plus other takeaways from third-quarter filings   Article RP 
Oct 14, 2024 02:35pm News Kamala Harris will sit down with Bret Baier for her first Fox News interview  Article Jason 
Oct 12, 2024 09:00am Poll Black Voters Drift From Democrats, Imperiling Harris’s Bid, Poll Shows  Article Jason 
Oct 05, 2024 11:35am News Trump is everywhere. Anxious Dems wonder why Harris isn’t.  Article Jason 
Sep 30, 2024 11:00am Poll Poll: Democrats' advantage with Latino voters continues to shrink  Article Jason 

DISCUSSION
[View All
160
Previous Messages]
 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
x2
Mon, September 9, 2024 06:50:58 PM UTC0:00
We should all agree that Harris is not the most electable out of all the Democrats who could've been the presidential nominee.

 
D:11714KeystoneProgressive ( -7.6004 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 07:02:54 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: We should all agree that Harris is not the most electable out of all the Democrats who could've been the presidential nominee.

I respectfully disagree. VP Harris is one of the few Democrats who have the name recognition that was needed to step up to replace Biden. She was also the natural replacement, given her status as VP.

If we nominated some Governor or Senator, they would have to expand their name recognition nationally, which they might not have enough time and money to do when we're pretty close to November.

She also doesn't have the old age issue that Biden had and unlike some of the other replacements who had the name recognition to stand up (such as Bernie Sanders or Hillary Clinton).

 
D:6086Jason (11913.3682 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 07:16:24 PM UTC0:00
There is indeed only one Andy Beshear, and if Harris loses I will be all aboard that bandwagon for 2028.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 07:59:38 PM UTC0:00
She was the most liberal member of the Senate according to voteview.com

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:10:18 PM UTC0:00
I still won't praise what Biden did, dropping out before the convention, but that was all part of the plan. He should've announced last year that he wouldn't seek re-election. Politicians always pander to their biggest donors.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:11:17 PM UTC0:00
Biden could've been more honest like Polk, Buchanan and Hayes.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:14:57 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: She was the most liberal member of the Senate according to voteview.com

1. The way Voteview analyzes ideology is stupid, purely relying on as the name suggests votes. Also dividing it as "LIBERAL V CONSERVATIVE" is dumb, and it leads to times where LEFTISTS will be listed as Further Right than people who aren't

2. THATS NOT TRUE, I was just on VoteView, Kamala is SECOND to Elizabeth Warren

Look for urself
[Link]

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:27:07 PM UTC0:00
Still, she was one of the most liberal members. I read that website every day, but I read the votes on legislation from all the years and I select certain members and the ideological positions they took regarding that vote. I find this website among the most useful for American history.

Did you know that the liberals in Congress up until the 1930s were the racist southern Democrats ?.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:30:08 PM UTC0:00
Voteview is very useful. It records every vote Congress ever took along with every member who ever served and how they voted.

 
D:11714KeystoneProgressive ( -7.6004 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:37:01 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: She was the most liberal member of the Senate according to voteview.com

Being more liberal doesn't always tie to a lower chance of winning an election. It also depends on the opponent. In this case, the Republicans nominated a convicted felon who's been accused (and convicted on some) of tons of horrible stuff from sexually assaulting women to falsifying business records, whereas Harris isn't convicted (let alone accused) on any of these things.

And a lot of moderates are tired of Trump and they would've only voted for him because they felt Biden was too old, whereas Harris doesn't have this issue.

Not to mention Harris is basically campaigning as the female Obama.

Now, if Harris is accused of even A QUARTER of what Trump is accused of, let me know.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:38:38 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: I still won't praise what Biden did, dropping out before the convention, but that was all part of the plan.

That's quite a buy in to a conspiracy theory. What evidence do you have?

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
x2
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:40:41 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Did you know that the liberals in Congress up until the 1930s were the racist southern Democrats ?.

They weren't liberals. In either sense of the term (economic or social liberals). They were conservative Democrats. And the Republicans had their liberal branch AKA the Rockefeller Republicans.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:45:29 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Did you know that the liberals in Congress up until the 1930s were the racist southern Democrats ?.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^
See THIS RIGHT HERE is why I do not think the site is reliable.

Do you hear yourself? And you are going to claim that WE are the ones who buy everything we are told?

"the LIBERALS were the Racist Southern Dems" that could not be ANY FURTHER FROM THE TRUTH

He basically just puts the parties on a spectrum based purely on Partisan positions rather than ideological ones, which makes it so that people like Robert La Follette, who literally openly called for the nationalization of the Railroad Industry and praised the Russian Revolution as a CENTRIST. Same too goes to the Socialist Parties two congressman, u honestly going to claim THEY ARE CENTRISTS?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:50:39 PM UTC0:00
RP: They weren't liberals. In either sense of the term (economic or social liberals). They were conservative Democrats. And the Republicans had their liberal branch AKA the Rockefeller Republicans.

When the site is labelling a literal Klansman (Hugo Black) further left than a Self Described "DEBSIAN SOCIALIST" (Homer Bone), while both are further Left than a Literal Fascist (Robert Rice Reynolds), who is labelled as to the left of a Progressive Republican (Hiram Johnson)....the site is just garbage

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
x2
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:52:06 PM UTC0:00
Harris is still someone to be concerned about, her ties to Big Tech would help Google wiggle out of a meaningful breakup. She wants to use the federal government to censor Americans online, she wants to make life more expensive and miserable for the average American, she's an elitist. She's a corporate sellout.

 
D:11714KeystoneProgressive ( -7.6004 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 08:59:31 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Harris is still someone to be concerned about, her ties to Big Tech would help Google wiggle out of a meaningful breakup. She wants to use the federal government to censor Americans online, she wants to make life more expensive and miserable for the average American, she's an elitist. She's a corporate sellout.

LSjustbloggin: My political views are neutral

🤔

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:02:09 PM UTC0:00
I agree with where voteview places these politicians on the ideological breakdown. Who am I to call this website trash ?.


 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:11:16 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Harris is still someone to be concerned about, her ties to Big Tech would help Google wiggle out of a meaningful breakup. She wants to use the federal government to censor Americans online, she wants to make life more expensive and miserable for the average American, she's an elitist. She's a corporate sellout.

An lemme guess, ur going to somehow claim that Trump isn't any of those things?

The fact that there is so much fearmongering over ****ing BIDEN AND KAMALA AND WALZ is proof Conservatives are ****ing weak AS ****! These are literally the most milquetoast boring Dems I have ever seen in my life and THESE are ur boogeymen?

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
x3
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:32:36 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: her ties to Big Tech would help Google wiggle out of a meaningful breakup.

She hasn't said this, and the Biden/Harris administration is the reason that breakup is even on the table as it is the first one to meaningfully pursue strong anti-trust regulation in decades. Republicans have been ideologically opposed to anti trust actions forever. (Well, since Teddy Roosevelt, but he was an odd Republican and ended up not being a Republican.)

LSjustbloggin: She wants to use the federal government to censor Americans online,

Have you not heard Donald Trump saying all the liberal things he wants to censor when he gets in office? Are you ignorant of the stringent censorship that Ron DeSantis is implementing in Florida?

LSjustbloggin: she wants to make life more expensive and miserable for the average American,

Do you know how expensive things are going to get with Trump's proposed tariffs? Do you know how expensive food is going to get with his deportation of most of the people in this country willing to cheaply harvest the domestic food and the tariffs on imported food?

LSjustbloggin: She's a corporate sellout.

Trump is willing to sell out anyone and anything if it profits him. He went from being the one originally proposing to ban TikTok (see censorship) to being anti TikTok ban because a person who was a big investor in TikTok donated a lot of money to him. He's proposing ADDITIONAL giant tax cuts for corporations and the rich. Are you kidding me?

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 09:32:40 PM UTC0:00
I'm not neutral. I'm just not keen on certain political issues because I don't have enough knowledge.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, September 9, 2024 10:38:54 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: I'm not neutral. I'm just not keen on certain political issues because I don't have enough knowledge.

1st smart thing u said all day.

Maybe people who don't know things shoul:d shut up, learn, and then try to have a discussion

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, September 10, 2024 01:09:18 AM UTC0:00
I am somebody who can get along with people regardless of their political beliefs.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Tue, September 10, 2024 03:57:08 AM UTC0:00
A political party can't stay in power forever, each of the two parties has their turn in power.

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 14.2443 points)
Tue, September 10, 2024 05:47:31 PM UTC0:00
Stein leads Harris among Muslims in MI, AZ, and WI. And Trump leads Harris in MI among Muslim.


 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, September 11, 2024 02:25:46 PM UTC0:00
No actualy data in that article about that poll. What's the sample size/MoE?

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