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  AZ US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Arizona > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2022 - 04:30pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2022 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2022 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 05, 2022 02:04pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameMark Kelly Votes1,716,467 (51.16%)
Term12/02/2020 - 01/03/2023 Margin78,806 (+2.35%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 02, 2022 AZ US Senate - R Primary
Blake Masters
R 813,068
Aug 02, 2022 AZ US Senate - D Primary
Mark Kelly
D 589,400
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/14/2021 11/08/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Mark Kelly 21 2 ----
Blake Masters 5 ------
Tossup 2 ------
Leaning Call: Mark Kelly (78.12%)
Weighted Call: Mark Kelly (96.34%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/03/2021 11/07/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name (I) Sen. Mark Kelly Blake Masters Marc Victor (W) Lester Maul (W) Christopher Bullock (W) Ty McLean (W) Roxanne Rodriguez
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Independent Independent Republican Independent Democrat Independent Republican
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 1,322,027 (51.40%) 1,196,308 (46.51%) 53,762 (2.09%) 95 (0.00%) 27 (0.00%) 21 (0.00%) 20 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -125,719 (-4.89%) -1,268,265 (-49.30%) -1,321,932 (-51.39%) -1,322,000 (-51.39%) -1,322,006 (-51.39%) -1,322,007 (-51.39%)
Predict Avg.49.60% 48.85% 1.10% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- 9/30 $2,832,528.50 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 00/00/2022 07/12/2021 00/00/2022 06/01/2022 06/01/2022 06/01/2022 06/01/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (37 from 25 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.56%-- 46.52%-- 1.05%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
11/05/22-11/07/22		 46.70% 0.1 48.20% 2.8 1.30% 1.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Targoz Market Research 
11/02/22-11/06/22		 50.00% -- 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
11/02/22-11/06/22		 49.00% 1.0 50.00% 3.0 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
KAConsulting 
11/02/22-11/03/22		 47.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/02/22-11/02/22		 48.00% 3.0 48.00% 5.0 2.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/22-11/02/22		 48.00% -- 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D KeystoneProgressive
For Luzerne County Historian
LBR Old LW
R Paul K. Charlton 🔗
R John Giles 🔗
For Christine Todd Whitman 🔗
LBT Marc Victor 🔗
R Tulsi Gabbard 🔗
R Maryland Republican93
R Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
IG William Pounds IV 🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Sherrise Bordes (W) William Taylor (W) Todd Smeltzer (W) Edward Davida  
PartyIndependent Republican Independent Democrat Independent Democrat Independent Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 17 (0.00%) 8 (0.00%) 6 (0.00%) 3 (0.00%)  
Margin-1,322,010 (-51.39%) -1,322,019 (-51.39%) -1,322,021 (-51.39%) -1,322,024 (-51.39%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 06/01/2022 06/01/2022 06/01/2022 06/01/2022  
MATCHUP POLLS (37 from 25 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Trafalgar Group 
11/05/22-11/07/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Targoz Market Research 
11/02/22-11/06/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Data for Progress 
11/02/22-11/06/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
KAConsulting 
11/02/22-11/03/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/02/22-11/02/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/22-11/02/22		 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
09/23/2022 Blake Masters vs Mark Kelly TVAd Issue eng Arizona's Mark Kelly Supports Painful Late Abortions  00:00:30 RP 
09/19/2022 vs Blake Masters TVAd Attack eng Kelly goes negative on Masters  00:00:30 RP 
09/09/2022 Blake Masters vs Mark Kelly TVAd Contrast eng The Choice is Clear between Mark Kelly and Blake Masters  00:00:30 RP 
08/03/2022 Mark Kelly TVAd Biography eng Team Arizona  00:00:30 RP 
07/27/2022 Mark Kelly TVAd Issue eng Price Gouging  00:00:30 RP 
07/15/2022 Blake Masters Issue Video Issue eng INVASION!  00:00:30 data 
07/06/2022 Mark Kelly TVAd Issue eng Not Wall Street  00:00:30 RP 
07/05/2022 Mark Kelly TVAd Biography spa Entiende  00:00:30 RP 
06/06/2022 vs Blake Masters TVAd Attack eng Pulling His Strings Ad  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 15, 2021 09:00am News GOP targets Latino voters in bid to unseat Sen. Kelly  Article LEAPForward 

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