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VA Lt. Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Virginia
>
Lieutenant Governor
Office
Lieutenant Governor
Honorific
Lieutenant Governor - Abbr: Lt. Gov.
Type
General Election
Filing Deadline
March 25, 2021 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open
November 02, 2021 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close
November 02, 2021 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start
January 15, 2022 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 17, 2026 - 12:00pm
Contributor
Charlotte Rose
Last Modified
Charlotte Rose
June 10, 2024 12:01pm
Data Sources
[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Democratic
Won
11/07/2017
Name
Justin Fairfax
Votes
1,368,261 (52.72%)
Term
01/13/2018 - 01/15/2022
Margin
143,742 (+5.54%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
May 08, 2021
VA Lt. Governor - R Convention
Winsome Earle Sears
R
12,554
Jun 08, 2021
VA Lt. Governor - D Primary
Hala S. Ayala
D
481,365
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
05/11/2021
11/02/2021
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Hala S. Ayala
10
4
--
--
Winsome Earle Sears
3
1
--
--
Leaning Call: Hala S. Ayala (78.26%)
Weighted Call: Hala S. Ayala (96.06%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
06/09/2021
10/31/2021
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Christopher Newport University
co/efficient
Cygnal (R)
Data for Progress
Echelon Insights
George Mason University Schar School
JMC Analytics and Polling
Monmouth University
Roanoke College
Suffolk University
Trafalgar Group
University of Mary Washington
Virginia Commonwealth University
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Del.
Winsome Earle Sears
St. Rep.
Hala S. Ayala
(W)
Write-In
(W)
Aubrey "Japharii" Jones
Party
Republican
Democratic
Nonpartisan
Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes
1,658,767 (50.71%)
1,608,691 (49.18%)
3,808 (0.12%)
0 (0.00%)
Margin
0 (0.00%)
-50,076 (-1.53%)
-1,654,959 (-50.59%)
-1,658,767 (-50.71%)
Predict Avg.
50.18%
49.75%
0.07%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Campaign Site]
[Website]
Entry Date
--
07/14/2020
--
03/25/2021
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (19 from 13 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
45.65%
--
45.66%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Trafalgar Group
10/29/21-10/31/21
50.00%
--
47.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Echelon Insights
10/27/21-10/29/21
48.00%
--
46.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Roanoke College
10/14/21-10/28/21
44.00%
4.0
46.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
George Mason University Schar School
10/20/21-10/26/21
46.00%
--
50.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Christopher Newport University
10/17/21-10/25/21
48.00%
4.0
49.00%
1.0
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
Suffolk University
10/21/21-10/24/21
44.40%
--
45.80%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
Bensq1
R
Southern_Moderate2
D
Tristy100
BEER
WSNJ
R
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!
R
Maryland Republican
D
samir7243_ATL
I
Charlotte Rose
I
Charlotte R. R. Jobe
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Bobby "BJ" Junes (I)
Mar 25, 2021 -
Jun 22, 2021
Sheila "Samm" Tittle (CST)
Feb 23, 2021 -
Jun 22, 2021
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
10/19/2021
Winsome Earle Sears
TVAd
Feel Good
eng
Winsome Sears in Virginia Beach
00:03:22
data
09/29/2021
Winsome Earle Sears vs Hala S. Ayala
TVAd
Contrast
eng
Please Vote on November 2 for Winsome Sears as Lt. Governor of Virginia! Spread the News!
00:00:30
data
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DISCUSSION
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4
Previous Messages]
R:7501
Maryland Republican
( 3666.8198 points)
Wed, November 3, 2021 08:06:06 AM UTC0:00
https://www.cnn.com/2021/11/03/politics/winsome-sears-virginia-lieutenant-governor-race/index.html CNN projects
[Link]
CNN projects