Caitlyn for Governor

https://twitter.com/Politics1com/status/1417135147418226691?s=20

I imagine Elder will sue to get on the ballot, but as of now he's off.

after the random alphabet drawing, the top Democrat is Patrick Kilpatrick and the top Republican is Chauncey "Slim" KIllens. Kevin Kiley is the top Republican among the ones who have won an election

There were 135 candidates last time. What explains such a marked decline (to 41)? I think perhaps it's a lot more intimidating to involve one's self in politics, as compared to just eighteen years ago.

This one is less likely to actually work so nobody really cares about this race at all

This one is less likely to actually work so nobody really cares about this race at all Sorta agree. I think it was a foregone conclusion based on Gray Davis dismal approvals in 2003. Newsome is no where near that yet, infact most polls on the recall question favor NO on the recall. Compared to 2003 when the polls consistently favored YES on recall. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=36166

Not looking forward to this undeserved "vote of confidence" that Newsom is about to get.

There were 135 candidates last time. What explains such a marked decline (to 41)? even if it's just 65 signatures, I suspect that putting up the effort for signatures plus a fee is a little more daunting right now compared to 2003 unless you have enough friends or you're willing to approach strangers with a clipboard right now.

Sorta agree. I think it was a foregone conclusion based on Gray Davis dismal approvals in 2003. Newsome is no where near that yet, infact most polls on the recall question favor NO on the recall. Compared to 2003 when the polls consistently favored YES on recall. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=36166 Because Grey had an actual reason to be recalled which Republicans used to get people to vote against him and give the GOP a powergrab. Newsom's recall has less actual reasons people care about and is a lot more transparent in its fakeness

https://r.search.yahoo.com/_ylt=A0geK.gVyfhg3TIALjhx.9w4;_ylu=Y29sbwNiZjEEcG9zAzEEdnRpZAMEc2VjA3Nj/RV=2/RE=1626945942/RO=10/RU=https%3a%2f%2fnews.yahoo.com%2fconservative-talk-show-host-larry-010700023.html/RK=2/RS=dXPGG0Qpj45NsdByxkcX4bwXm7U- A judge has reinstated Larry Elders position on the ballot after being initially struck by the Secretary of State.

If Faulconer wasn't a terrible candidate, he'd have picked up some traction by now.

This one is less likely to actually work so nobody really cares about this race at all Sorta agree. I think it was a foregone conclusion based on Gray Davis dismal approvals in 2003. Newsome is no where near that yet, infact most polls on the recall question favor NO on the recall. Compared to 2003 when the polls consistently favored YES on recall. https://www.ourcampaigns.com/RaceDetail.html?RaceID=36166 It was not a foregone conclusion on this site that Davis would be recalled back in 2003.

One thing that happened in the 2003 recall in my opinion is that Schwarzenegger presented himself (and a few others) as competent alternatives to Gray Davis. Thus pushing more people to vote for the recall. I don't think this race is over yet. Campaigns do matter. Im curious to see if Elders breaks out as the campaign ramps up and if that impacts the numbers for Newsom's recall. Elders is a proponent of abolishing the IRS. What if he runs on a platform of abolishing the California Personal Income Tax and/or Corporate Income Tax. I can see that as being popular and positioning him as a credible alternative to Newsom driving up recall numbers.

In 2003, Lt. Gov. Cruz Bustamante ran more to bring out Democrats (who'd presumably tend to vote NO in the Recall), rather than as a viable candidate against Schwarzenegger. It didn't work, but the final result was a bit closer than expected. With effectively no Democrat on the ballot, will reduced Democratic turn-out possibly result in an unexpected outcome for Gruesome Newsom?

This will come down to how happy people feel about current conditions in California. If I were Newsom, I'd be worried.

San Diego Voters only https://twitter.com/USA_Polling/status/1421628211063107590?s=20

Trying to make sense of a poll that shows almost 50% of San Diego voters supporting the recall with 20% of those same voters supporting Paffrath. But maybe there is something to being an influencer with 1.6M followers. If Paffrath ends up starting to poll this level of support in other statewide polls, this race could get much more interesting. Pewdiepie for Prime Minister of Sweden!

Paffrath surging (because he's the only Democrat in the SurveyUSA poll)

Paffrath surging (because he's the only Democrat in the SurveyUSA poll) Agreed. But I do think this poll is accurately registering growth in him as an option voters will cast a ballot for on election day. Other polls have shown similar.

I'm curious, do we know poll positions yet? is it different in every county? That seems like it will play a roll in how easy it is to find a candidate.

I'm curious, do we know poll positions yet? is it different in every county? That seems like it will play a roll in how easy it is to find a candidate. In ordinary elections at least, ballot position rotates by legislative district.

That’s confusing how does that work? I get how the structure would work by county but legislative district?

Honestly Paffrath seems like a complete tool so maybe only a slight upgrade on Newsom let's do this

Honestly Paffrath seems like a complete tool so maybe only a slight upgrade on Newsom let's do this Paffrath is distilled bulls*** - even if you think Newsom is the same at least Newsom is competent. It's pretty slim pickings among the replacement candidates, but there are better choices than Paffrath.