Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  PA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Pennsylvania > Senate Class III
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 07, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2022 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2022 - 07:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorM@
Last ModifiedNCdem May 15, 2024 06:40pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NamePat Toomey Votes2,951,702 (48.77%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2023 Margin86,690 (+1.43%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jan 29, 2022 PA US Senate - D Endorsement
No Endorsement
D 318
May 17, 2022 PA US Senate - D Primary
John K. Fetterman
D 1,284,908
May 17, 2022 PA US Senate - R Primary
Mehmet C. Oz
R 1,346,091
May 17, 2022 PA US Senate - LBT Convention
Erik Gerhardt
LBT 1
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/09/2020 11/08/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
John K. Fetterman 23 3 --1
Mehmet C. Oz 12 2 ----
Tossup 2 ------
Leaning Call: John K. Fetterman (64.71%)
Weighted Call: John K. Fetterman (66.41%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/07/2021 11/07/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Lt. Gov. John K. Fetterman Mehmet C. Oz Erik Gerhardt Richard L. Weiss Daniel Wassmer (W) Quincy Magee (W) Write-In
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Green Keystone Independent Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 2,751,012 (51.25%) 2,487,260 (46.34%) 72,887 (1.36%) 30,434 (0.57%) 26,428 (0.49%) 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -263,752 (-4.91%) -2,678,125 (-49.89%) -2,720,578 (-50.68%) -2,724,584 (-50.76%) -2,751,012 (-51.25%) -2,751,012 (-51.25%)
Predict Avg.49.56% 48.78% 1.06% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 3/31 $4,161,725.25 10/19 $2,636,787.75 $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 02/08/2021 11/30/2021 08/19/2021 03/21/2022 04/07/2022 04/07/2022 04/07/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (48 from 32 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg46.18%-- 46.63%-- 0.59%-- -0.11%-- 0.67%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Political Matrix/Listener Group 
11/05/22-11/07/22
53.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Targoz Market Research 
11/02/22-11/06/22
46.00% -- 51.00% -- 2.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/02/22-11/05/22
48.10% -- 49.40% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/22-11/02/22
44.00% -- 47.00% -- 2.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/31/22-11/02/22
51.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/28/22-11/01/22
47.00% 2.0 48.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
S Tax Suchart
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Ronald Johnson (W) Osborne G. Hart  
PartyConstitution Socialist Workers  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 0 (0.00%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-2,751,012 (-51.25%) -2,751,012 (-51.25%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 04/07/2022 04/07/2022  
MATCHUP POLLS (48 from 32 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Political Matrix/Listener Group 
11/05/22-11/07/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Targoz Market Research 
11/02/22-11/06/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/02/22-11/05/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Remington Research 
11/01/22-11/02/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Marist Institute 
10/31/22-11/02/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R) 
10/28/22-11/01/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Everett A. Stern (I)
Apr 07, 2022 - Oct 25, 2022

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/27/2022 vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Biography eng Local Political Leaders  00:00:30 CA Pol Junkie 
09/26/2022 John K. Fetterman vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Defend eng Sheriff  00:00:30 RP 
09/07/2022 Mehmet C. Oz vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Mixed eng Give Back  00:00:30 RP 
09/01/2022 vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Chased  00:00:30 RP 
08/07/2022 vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Oz hits Fetterman for sanctuary cities and on crime  00:00:30 RP 
07/14/2022 Mehmet C. Oz vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Dr. Oz Welcomes John Fetterman to Campaign Trail  00:01:00 RP 
07/08/2022 John K. Fetterman vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Attack eng Dude  00:00:30 RP 
06/01/2022 vs John K. Fetterman TVAd Attack eng Protests  00:00:30 RP 
05/17/2022 vs TVAd Attack eng Has Its Price  00:00:30 RP 
05/17/2022 vs Mehmet C. Oz TVAd Attack eng Showtime  00:00:30 RP 
05/12/2022 John K. Fetterman TVAd Feel Good eng Momentum  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 03, 2022 12:00pm General Dr. Oz’s Scientific Experiments Killed Over 300 Dogs, Entire Litter of Puppies  Article RP 
Aug 29, 2022 05:00pm News McConnell says he has ‘great confidence’ in Oz  Article WA Indy 
Aug 14, 2022 02:25pm Analysis Fetterman keeps attacking Oz for being from New Jersey. That’s resonating in parochial Pa.  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
77
Previous Messages]
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
x4
Thu, August 18, 2022 04:21:34 PM UTC0:00
Old LW: This is the first time I've ever heard a grocery store referred to as a vegetable stand.

Probably why I shouldn't run for US Senate in Pennsylvania either.

 
WASH:8766Pennsylvanian ( 401.2364 points)
x3
Thu, August 18, 2022 04:40:10 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO:
Old LW: This is the first time I've ever heard a grocery store referred to as a vegetable stand.

Probably why I shouldn't run for US Senate in Pennsylvania either.

Out here in Western PA, one of the larger local chains of "vegetable stands" is Giant Eagle. But you're not legit until you pronounce it as "John Iggle" without forcing it. As in, "I don't believe they carry "crudité" dahn'ere at the John Iggle."

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4590.4668 points)
x2
Thu, August 18, 2022 06:18:39 PM UTC0:00
Maybe it shows my level of sophistication (or my diet) that I had never heard of crudité before this kerfuffle.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Thu, August 18, 2022 06:57:27 PM UTC0:00
IndyGeorgia: Maybe it shows my level of sophistication (or my diet) that I had never heard of crudité before this kerfuffle.

Don't feel bad. You've just never been invited to an Oz party. I'm pretty sure this term is only used in Oz and the Aga Saga Womans worlds (The latter is a Catherine Tate show reference and immediately came to mind when I saw the Oz ad and I've posted a link below).

We've been work / vacationing in Northern California over the summer and have picked up the local vernacular for calling the place where you shop as a vegetable stand or farmers market. I guess I'm doing this involuntarily now as evidenced by my post. Not many chains where I'm at and many more direct farm to local retailer relationships. I've never eaten so healthy in my life LOL. No cookie aisle. No Ben & Jerry's.

The Oz Mehmet Family Reality Show

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1821.8373 points)
Thu, August 18, 2022 07:05:37 PM UTC0:00
I'm still upset he drinks tequila with his vegetable trays. That seems off.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Thu, August 18, 2022 07:21:39 PM UTC0:00
Pennsylvania still has state-owned liquor stores that exist so that grocery stores don't sell tequila, right?

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1821.8373 points)
Thu, August 18, 2022 07:28:14 PM UTC0:00
RBH: Pennsylvania still has state-owned liquor stores that exist so that grocery stores don't sell tequila, right?

That's right

 
REC:9399Juan Croniqueur ( -31.8306 points)
Fri, August 19, 2022 06:10:58 AM UTC0:00
"Make mine a Courvoisier!" —R. Sargent Shriver

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 756.1104 points)
Sat, August 20, 2022 05:00:43 PM UTC0:00
I ran the numbers, and I still think the GOP can hit 51 without PA. This is turning into a write-off, despite its widespread perception as a "toss-up" race.

Tucker Carlson thinks Fetterman is an awful candidate, but he's like the only memorable figure in the modern Democratic Party. He'll probably be on the national ticket in 2028.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Sun, August 21, 2022 10:40:04 PM UTC0:00

 
R:10538Southern_Moderate2 ( 62.9320 points)
Sun, August 21, 2022 11:56:10 PM UTC0:00
He's running a shi**y campaign

 
I:6738IndyGeorgia ( 4590.4668 points)
Wed, August 24, 2022 03:00:41 AM UTC0:00
His staff hates him:

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Wed, August 24, 2022 04:51:03 AM UTC0:00
Whoever is managing his messaging is doing a putrid job. These are truly free ones he's giving to the Fetterman campaign.

And give Fetterman and his staff credit for taking advantage very quickly and effectively of these unforced errors by Oz.

 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -154.3857 points)
x2
Fri, August 26, 2022 03:33:16 AM UTC0:00
You'd think Oz and his team were trying to lose.

 
WASH:8766Pennsylvanian ( 401.2364 points)
Fri, August 26, 2022 12:56:03 PM UTC0:00
I have heard it said that one of the most significant challenges of running a high-profile campaign is to effectively project the candidate's "true, authentic self". Well, by that measure, I'd have to say Oz's is enjoying immense success -- in spades -- because his has done such a phenomenal job of making abundantly clear just how much of an a****** this guy really is.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Mon, August 29, 2022 02:49:36 PM UTC0:00




Interesting repurposing of campaign signs.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Tue, September 6, 2022 10:21:01 PM UTC0:00
How is this going to play? Trump is going to be livid.


 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Tue, September 6, 2022 10:30:58 PM UTC0:00
Seems really desperate.

He gained 5 votes and lost 5000.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
Tue, September 6, 2022 11:06:05 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: He gained 5 votes and lost 5000.

At least it happened to be the right thing to say as far as democracy is concerned.

 
D:8509DylanSH99 ( 1731.5815 points)
Wed, September 7, 2022 08:04:53 AM UTC0:00

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Wed, September 7, 2022 01:22:26 PM UTC0:00
He's technically right if politically tone deaf.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
Wed, September 7, 2022 02:30:16 PM UTC0:00
RP: He's technically right if politically tone deaf.

Of course, he wasn't a politician when he said it. It is ironic that this might be a rare instance of him providing nominally accurate medical information.

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Tue, September 13, 2022 07:47:44 PM UTC0:00
Here is the new Pennsylvania Senate poll that Jason predicted yesterday.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Tue, October 4, 2022 07:16:08 PM UTC0:00
Really, this is what annoys me the most about Oz. Not the elitism, the carpetbagging, the sanctimoniousness, even the puppy killing. It's that he got richer selling bull**** snake oil to gullible people.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Fri, October 7, 2022 09:23:03 PM UTC0:00

[View Next Page]