Poll Average Details- PA US Senate - 2022-11-08 19:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Mehmet C. Oz Mehmet C. OzJohn K. Fetterman AbstainingErik Gerhardt Erik GerhardtDaniel Wassmer Write-In Osborne G. Hart Ronald Johnson Quincy Magee Richard L. Weiss
Political Matrix/Listener Group11/7X 1.00000   47.0000 - -8.7051 bias 53.0000 - 9.6392 bias              
Targoz Market Research11/6X 0.98333   51.0000 - -1.5647 bias 46.0000 - 3.1116 bias 2.0000 - 0.5006 bias            
Patriot Polling11/5X 0.96667   49.4000 - 0.9364 bias 48.1000 - 0.6281 bias              
Marist Institute11/2X 0.91667   45.0000 - -0.8346 bias 51.0000 - 1.5051 bias              
Remington Research11/2X 0.91667   47.0000 - 0.0270 bias 44.0000 - 0.2492 bias 2.0000 - 0.3251 bias           1.0000 - 0.3891 bias
Susquehanna Polling & Research (SP&R)11/1X 0.90000   48.0000 - -0.7240 bias 47.0000 - 1.0514 bias              
Monmouth University10/31X 0.88333   44.0000 - -1.2430 bias 48.0000 - 2.3166 bias              
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News10/30X 0.86667   42.0000 - -0.7991 bias 45.0000 - 1.3911 bias              
Muhlenberg College10/28X 0.83333   47.0000 - 1.1775 bias 47.0000 - -0.1638 bias              
co/efficient10/28X 0.83333   48.0000 - 1.7439 bias 45.0000 - -1.4776 bias              
Claremont McKenna College10/26X 0.80000   42.0000 - -2.5037 bias 48.0000 - 3.6650 bias              
Siena Research Institute10/26X 0.80000   44.0000 - -0.3894 bias 49.0000 - 1.1018 bias 0.0000 - 1.2002 bias           0.0000 - 1.1760 bias
InsiderAdvantage10/26X 0.80000   47.5000 - 0.2182 bias 44.8000 - -0.1034 bias 2.8000 - 0.9153 bias            
YouGov10/24X 0.76667   49.0000 - -0.0504 bias 51.0000 - 1.5208 bias              
Franklin & Marshall College10/23X 0.75000   45.0000 - -0.9669 bias 49.0000 - 1.0448 bias              
Echelon Insights10/20X 0.70000   43.0000 - -0.1280 bias 46.0000 - -0.6012 bias 2.0000 - 0.9357 bias           1.0000 - 0.6881 bias
SSRS10/17X 0.65000   45.0000 - -1.9561 bias 51.0000 - 2.3598 bias              
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research10/12X 0.56667   46.0000 - 0.7362 bias 48.0000 - 0.1639 bias              
Center Street PAC9/30X 0.36667   34.0000 - -4.0639 bias 50.0000 - 5.9293 bias              
Suffolk University9/30X 0.36667   40.0000 - -2.1920 bias 46.4000 - 1.6686 bias 1.8000 - 1.4286 bias 0.8000 - 0.1260 bias         0.2000 - 0.3511 bias
Emerson College9/26X 0.30000   43.0000 - 0.3326 bias 45.0000 - 1.2939 bias              
Phillips Academy9/19X 0.18333   44.5000 - 4.2227 bias 46.5000 - -3.1606 bias              
TOTAL 46.684147 46.078408 0.971940 0.674000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.078281