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  SVK National Council - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Slovakia > National Council > Popular Vote
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline July 12, 2023 - 10:00am Central
Polls Open September 30, 2023 - 12:00am Central
Polls Close September 30, 2023 - 03:00pm Central
Term Start October 25, 2023 - 03:00am
Term End April 20, 2027 - 10:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedBojicat October 25, 2023 07:38am
Data Sources[Link] [Link]
Description The State Commission for Elections and Financing of Political Parties reviewed 2,728 candidates for seats on the National Council of Slovakia. It released a list of 25 approved political entities on July 22, 2023.

The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties.
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/16/2023 09/30/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Progressive Slovakia 1 ------
SMER - Social Democracy 1 ------
Leaning Call: Progressive Slovakia (50.00%)
Weighted Call: SMER - Social Democracy (104.77%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

08/26/2020 09/26/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name SMER - Social Democracy Progressive Slovakia Voice – Social Democracy OĽaNO and Friends Christian Democratic Movement Freedom and Solidarity Slovak National Party
PartySMER-SD Progressive Slovakia Voice – Social Democracy OĽaNO and Friends Christian Democratic Movement Freedom and Solidarity Slovak National
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.98% in) 681,017 (22.95%) 533,136 (17.96%) 436,415 (14.71%) 264,137 (8.90%) 202,515 (6.82%) 187,645 (6.32%) 166,995 (5.63%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -147,881 (-4.98%) -244,602 (-8.24%) -416,880 (-14.05%) -478,502 (-16.12%) -493,372 (-16.62%) -514,022 (-17.32%)
Estimated Final67,873 (18.98%) 74,257 (20.76%) 45,397 (12.69%) 35,684 (9.98%) 31,192 (8.72%) 28,839 (8.06%) 18,334 (5.13%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg20.97%-- 16.42%-- 14.63%-- 8.85%-- 6.22%-- 6.96%-- 5.29%--
Median 
09/25/23-09/26/23		 19.80% 3.1 19.30% 5.2 11.90% 7.2 6.20% -- 7.70% 1.6 7.40% 0.9 4.80% --
Focus 
09/22/23-09/26/23		 18.00% 1.4 16.60% 3.8 13.70% 5.3 8.20% -- 6.50% 0.6 5.80% 0.2 6.40% 3.0
AKO 
09/20/23-09/26/23		 17.70% 1.8 18.00% 4.8 15.00% 2.6 9.40% -- 6.10% 0.1 7.30% 1.8 6.00% 1.9
Ipsos 
09/22/23-09/25/23		 20.60% 0.9 19.80% 2.9 11.90% 1.4 8.20% 0.5 5.90% 0.3 7.00% 1.3 5.70% 0.6
SANEP 
09/17/23-09/25/23		 22.60% 1.2 16.10% 0.5 15.30% 0.3 6.00% 0.5 5.10% 0.9 5.40% 0.7 6.00% 0.5
NMS Market Research 
09/21/23-09/24/23		 19.40% -- 19.70% -- 10.50% -- 9.50% -- 5.40% -- 5.70% -- 5.40% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
DVA Good Choice and Moderates
OĽaN Ordinary People and Independent Personalities
KÚ Christian Union
ZL'U For the People
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Republic Hungarian Alliance Democrats We Are Family People's Party - Our Slovakia Slovak Communist Party Slovak Pirates
PartyRepublic Hungarian Alliance Democrats We Are Family People's - Our Slovakia Slovak Communist Slovak Pirates
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.98% in) 141,099 (4.75%) 130,183 (4.39%) 87,006 (2.93%) 65,673 (2.21%) 25,003 (0.84%) 9,867 (0.33%) 9,358 (0.32%)
Margin-539,918 (-18.19%) -550,834 (-18.56%) -594,011 (-20.01%) -615,344 (-20.73%) -656,014 (-22.10%) -671,150 (-22.61%) -671,659 (-22.63%)
Estimated Final16,036 (4.48%) 10,899 (3.05%) 12,631 (3.53%) 8,423 (2.36%) 2,593 (0.73%) 991 (0.28%) 1,177 (0.33%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.69%-- 4.19%-- 2.91%-- 3.06%-- 1.02%-- 0.33%-- 0.32%--
Median 
09/25/23-09/26/23		 8.00% 1.6 2.50% 0.2 3.80% -- 4.10% 1.9 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Focus 
09/22/23-09/26/23		 7.70% 0.8 3.50% 0.9 4.00% -- 4.10% 4.1 1.70% 1.4 0.60% -- 0.20% --
AKO 
09/20/23-09/26/23		 5.40% 1.9 2.80% 0.7 4.30% -- 5.10% 1.7 0.30% 1.6 0.30% 0.1 0.00% --
Ipsos 
09/22/23-09/25/23		 7.60% 0.3 3.40% 0.2 3.30% 0.4 4.00% 1.5 1.60% 1.3 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SANEP 
09/17/23-09/25/23		 7.40% 1.0 3.30% 0.6 3.40% 0.4 5.50% 0.4 1.40% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% --
NMS Market Research 
09/21/23-09/24/23		 8.50% -- 3.10% -- 2.30% -- 5.20% -- 1.80% -- 0.40% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MH Most–Híd 🔗
MKP Party of the Hungarian Community
MKS Hungarian Community Co-operation
VIEW 11 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
National Coalition / Independent Candidates (NK/NE)
Jun 20, 2023 		Ordinary People and Independent Personalities (OĽaN)
May 26, 2023 		Good Choice and Moderates (DVA)
Apr 28, 2023 		TOGETHER - Civic Democracy (SPOLU)
Jan 26, 2023 		Christian Union (KÚ)
 00, 2023 		For the People (ZL'U)
 00, 2023 		Jablko (Jab)
 00, 2023 		Most–Híd 2023 (M-H23)
 00, 2023
Socialisti.sk (S.sk)
 00, 2023 		VLASŤ (SV)
Apr 11, 2021 		Hungarian Community Co-operation (MKS)
 00, 2021 		Most–Híd (MH)
 00, 2021 		Party of the Hungarian Community (MKP)
 00, 2021

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