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  CA District 48
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 48
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 09, 2018 - 07:00pm Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
Turnout 73.61% Registered 46.12% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH December 14, 2018 04:29pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2016
NameDana Rohrabacher Votes178,701 (58.32%)
Term01/03/2017 - 01/03/2019 Margin50,986 (+16.64%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameMichelle Park Steel Votes201,738 (51.06%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin8,376 (+2.12%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 05, 2018 CA District 48 - Open Primary
Dana Rohrabacher
R 92,309D 80,061LBT 964NPA 690
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
11/14/2017 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Harley E. Rouda 10 2 ----
Dana Rohrabacher 3 1 ----
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Harley E. Rouda (70.00%)
Weighted Call: Harley E. Rouda (77.90%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/08/2017 11/04/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Harley E. Rouda (I) Rep. Dana Rohrabacher  
PartyDemocratic Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 157,837 (53.55%) 136,899 (46.45%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -20,938 (-7.10%)  
Predict Avg.49.17% 50.83%  
Cash On Hand 10/17 $785,210.31 10/17 $427,710.06  
Website [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 00/00/2018 00/00/2018  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (7 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.14%-- 46.11%--  
Siena Research Institute 
10/29/18-11/04/18		 46.00% 1.0 45.00% --
TPStrat 
10/18/18-10/31/18		 41.00% -- 49.00% --
Monmouth University 
10/17/18-10/21/18		 48.00% 1.0 50.00% 5.0
University of California - Berkeley 
09/16/18-09/23/18		 48.00% -- 48.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
09/04/18-09/07/18		 45.00% -- 45.00% --
Monmouth University 
07/11/18-07/15/18		 47.00% -- 45.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Southern Moderate
R Kyle
 


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
11/01/2018 Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Endorsement eng Ronald Reagan on Dana Rohrabacher  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/19/2018 vs Harley E. Rouda TVAd Attack eng Can't Be Trusted  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/10/2018 vs Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Attack eng Luxury Space  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
10/08/2018 Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Biography eng Healthcare is Personal for Me  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/25/2018 vs Harley E. Rouda TVAd Attack eng Krista  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/21/2018 vs Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Attack eng Fire and Smoke  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/04/2018 vs Harley E. Rouda TVAd Biography eng Wrongful Termination  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
08/16/2018 vs Harley E. Rouda TVAd Attack eng Shady  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
05/22/2018 Harley E. Rouda TVAd Issue eng Move Forward  00:00:30 RP 
05/18/2018 Harley E. Rouda TVAd Biography eng Kaira  00:00:30 RP 
05/15/2018 Harley E. Rouda Web Only Ad Biography eng Rouda Kids  00:00:41 RP 
05/08/2018 Harley E. Rouda TVAd Issue eng Future  00:00:30 RP 
04/20/2018 vs Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Contrast eng Dana Rohrabacher Fail  00:00:31 BrentinCO 
04/09/2018 Harley E. Rouda TVAd Issue eng Trust  00:00:30 RP 
05/16/2017 vs Dana Rohrabacher TVAd Attack eng Wonder Why   00:00:30 RP 

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