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  FL Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 22, 2018 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 08, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedQbanito July 12, 2020 09:29am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameRick Scott Votes2,865,343 (48.14%)
Term01/06/2015 - 01/08/2019 Margin64,145 (+1.08%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameRon DeSantis Votes4,614,210 (59.37%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2027 Margin1,507,897 (+19.40%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 28, 2018 FL Governor - R Primary
Ron DeSantis
R 1,622,124
Aug 28, 2018 FL Governor - D Primary
Andrew T. Gillum
D 1,519,492
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/06/2016 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ron DeSantis 5 ----1
Andrew T. Gillum 17 5 ----
Darcy G. Richardson 1 ------
Leaning Call: Andrew T. Gillum (72.97%)
Weighted Call: Andrew T. Gillum (101.58%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/26/2018 11/05/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Ron DeSantis Mayor Andrew T. Gillum Darcy G. Richardson Kyle "K.C." Gibson Ryan Christopher Foley Bruce Stanley (W) Harold Frederick Johnson
PartyRepublican Democratic Reform No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 4,076,186 (49.59%) 4,043,723 (49.19%) 47,140 (0.57%) 24,310 (0.30%) 14,630 (0.18%) 14,505 (0.18%) 61 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -32,463 (-0.39%) -4,029,046 (-49.01%) -4,051,876 (-49.29%) -4,061,556 (-49.41%) -4,061,681 (-49.41%) -4,076,125 (-49.58%)
Predict Avg.46.00% 48.50% 4.75% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 01/05/2018 03/01/2017 06/08/2018 09/25/2014 06/22/2018 02/27/2018 06/22/2018
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (59 from 31 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.87%-- 45.58%-- 0.47%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
11/04/18-11/05/18
50.00% 3.9 46.60% 1.8 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
11/03/18-11/04/18
45.40% 0.9 49.50% 1.1 1.80% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
11/02/18-11/04/18
45.60% 0.4 48.10% 0.9 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/29/18-11/04/18
43.00% 3.0 50.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/01/18-11/03/18
46.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
11/01/18-11/03/18
46.00% -- 51.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Piotr Blass  
PartyNo Party Affiliation  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 6 (0.00%)  
Margin-4,076,180 (-49.59%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website  
Entry Date 06/11/2018  
MATCHUP POLLS (59 from 31 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%--  
Trafalgar Group 
11/04/18-11/05/18
0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
11/03/18-11/04/18
0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
11/02/18-11/04/18
0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/29/18-11/04/18
0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/01/18-11/03/18
0.00% --
Emerson College 
11/01/18-11/03/18
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Henry Choice (NPA)
Apr 27, 2018 - Sep 07, 2018
Raphael "Rafi" Herman (NPA)
Jun 04, 2018 - Sep 07, 2018
Anthony "Tony" Knox, Sr. (NPA)
May 08, 2017 - Sep 07, 2018
Monroe Lee (NPA)
Jun 22, 2018 - Sep 07, 2018
Ellen Marie Wilds (NPA)
Feb 21, 2018 - Sep 05, 2018
Patrick Murphy (NPA)
Jun 07, 2018
Richard Paul Dembinsky (NPA)
 00, 2018 - Mar 20, 2018
John Morgan (I)
Jan 12, 2018
Jeanne Elizabeth Hunter (NPA)
Jun 21, 2018 -  00, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/08/2018 vs Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Attack eng Sudden Stop  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/16/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Feel Good eng Hope, Aspiration, and Inspiration  00:00:30 RP 
09/13/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Feel Good eng My Grandmother's Voice  00:01:00 RP 
09/12/2018 vs Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Attack eng Too Far  00:00:30 RP 
09/04/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Biography eng American Way  00:00:30 RP 
07/30/2018 Ron DeSantis TVAd Biography eng Casey  00:00:30 RP 
07/25/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Biography eng What's Impossible?  00:00:32 RP 
07/24/2018 vs Ron DeSantis TVAd Attack eng 23% More  00:00:30 RP 
06/24/2018 Ron DeSantis TVAd Biography eng Only DeSantis  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 31, 2018 10:00am News Florida governor’s race gets down in the gutter  Article WA Indy 
Oct 30, 2018 06:05pm News The Improbable Run of Andrew Gillum  Article BrentinCO 
Oct 24, 2018 09:00pm News Five takeaways from Florida's fiery final gubernatorial debate  Article WA Indy 
Oct 24, 2018 12:10pm Audio Gillum targeted by new racist robocall in Florida governor race  Article RP 
Oct 23, 2018 08:40pm News Gillum’s October surprise: ex-friend’s texts, emails could make or break his campaign  Article BrentinCO 
Sep 09, 2018 09:30pm General GOP candidate for Fla. governor spoke at racially charged events  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
101
Previous Messages]
 
D:391Qbanito ( 3055.9700 points)
Thu, October 25, 2018 05:49:31 PM UTC0:00
Here’s the link to the live poll being conducted by the New York Times:

[Link]

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Thu, October 25, 2018 06:26:55 PM UTC0:00
Qbanito: I still think thuh Bradley Effect is like wow! at play that chick..

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x4
Mon, October 29, 2018 04:14:57 PM UTC0:00
Pfaucett: I will NEVER blow this website anytime soon.


 
I:9775Natalie ( 108.7084 points)
Mon, October 29, 2018 07:23:51 PM UTC0:00
Another poll.
Who would you vote for?
Andrew T. Gillum (D) 13 (68.42%)
Ron DeSantis (Rep) 5 (26.31%)
Darcy G. Richardson (Ref) 0 (0%)
19 Votes Cast
Polls Close November 05, 2018 12:00am

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Mon, October 29, 2018 08:23:31 PM UTC0:00
POTUS Cheeto Dude campaign rally for Scott & DeSantis this Wednesday.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Tue, October 30, 2018 02:44:37 AM UTC0:00
Now, I'd probably vote Bruce Stanley

 
I:9518Charlotte Rose ( 255.7746 points)
Tue, October 30, 2018 01:45:04 PM UTC0:00
What made you sour on Gillum and Richardson?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Tue, October 30, 2018 08:31:24 PM UTC0:00
While I am tri-endorsing them alongside Stanley. (A thing I haven't done since the California Senate Primary) Stanley gets top billing as he is just the more ideologically pure Progressive of the three.

Gillum has been cozying up to Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Cory Booker in order to get that Tom Steyer money. He also endorsed Hillary Clinton over Bernie Sanders in 2016 indicating he cared more about his career rather than the issues. Even now, Gillum is talking about "affordable Healthcare is a right" rather than outright saying Healthcare is a Right.

Richardson has a rather Progressive history of working with Eugene McCarthy, running with the Left-Wing Consumers Party in the 80's, running as a Progressive Challenger to Obama in 2012, and endorsing Left-Wing candidates like Ralph Nader and Roseanne Barr. I even exchanged emails with him where he discussed the potential of running for Senate under the platform of Universal Basic Income. But now he's doing the same Centrist talking points of "We need to stop going to the extremes and move toward the middle".

Whereas Bruce Stanley is a Progressive through and through. Working with the likes of the Occupy Movement and fellow Progressive Independent Tim Canova. He's working on bringing a Single Payer Healthcare system, banning Fracking, legalizing weed, and instituting a Green New Deal.

Stanley's just more Progressive than either and if I were in Florida I'd vote him.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Tue, October 30, 2018 09:15:44 PM UTC0:00
Pluribus: Stanley & those 3rd party candidates will NOT be a factor at all.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Tue, October 30, 2018 09:23:26 PM UTC0:00
And yet the second someone loses they scream "SPOILER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x3
Tue, October 30, 2018 09:31:05 PM UTC0:00
Pluribus: I still think DeSantis wins this next Tuesday night. Plus, mostly, thuh Early Votin' numbers are showin' DeSantis ahead.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Tue, October 30, 2018 10:02:36 PM UTC0:00
Meh, it looks mixed, polls show Gillum up, albeit by single digits. It's either or for Gillum or DeSantis

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
x3
Tue, October 30, 2018 10:31:13 PM UTC0:00
BLUEDOGS: Early Voting numbers are showing DeSantis ahead

Florida early voting always favors Republicans because of senior voting by absentee ballot. If you think DeSantis will win because he's winning the early vote (and by the way Survey USA only has him winning 50-49 [Link] I'd say Gillum is in good shape.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Wed, October 31, 2018 05:46:05 PM UTC0:00
POTUS Cheeto Dude holdin' campaign rallies for DeSantis startin' tonight & thuh upcomin' weekend.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x2
Thu, November 1, 2018 04:24:11 PM UTC0:00
I see that Gillum pulled a Krysten Sinema by trashin' Floridians.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Thu, November 1, 2018 05:32:59 PM UTC0:00
nice of SSRS (CNN) to not go into the election with Gillum+12 as their last poll

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x3
Thu, November 1, 2018 07:55:56 PM UTC0:00
RBH: DeSantis is surgin' fast & is like wow! likely to win Tuesday night.

People are just NOT goin' to put an African American in thuh FL Governor's Mansion... period!

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1772.5920 points)
x2
Thu, November 1, 2018 08:09:42 PM UTC0:00
And we've finally gone from dumb to straight up, well, whatever this is.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
x3
Thu, November 1, 2018 09:52:34 PM UTC0:00
It's still dumb as well.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Thu, November 1, 2018 11:19:24 PM UTC0:00
RP: Cheeto Dude's got a 2nd campaign rally comin' up for DeSantis & Scott.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Fri, November 2, 2018 02:59:38 PM UTC0:00
Well, damn, that has to be worth about as much as the first one was.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Fri, November 2, 2018 04:59:20 PM UTC0:00
FL is like, ya know, Cheeto Dude's adopted home state after all.

 
D:391Qbanito ( 3055.9700 points)
Mon, November 5, 2018 04:39:07 PM UTC0:00
Feeling great about Gillum’s chances in this race! And if Bill Nelson pulls out a victory as well he will have Gillum to thank. That should be his first phone call.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x2
Mon, November 5, 2018 06:21:55 PM UTC0:00
Qbanito: I do NOT see it.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1772.5920 points)
Mon, November 5, 2018 06:29:40 PM UTC0:00
BLUEDOGS: Qbanito: I do NOT see it.

We know, we know, if the candidate isn't deepthroating Trump, they're not gonna win...

I can't believe I miss Scott. Jeez.

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