Gillum up by 12, where’s that DeSantis surge?

I still remember the narrative after the primaries was that Gillum was too liberal for the state. Not nearly enough people mentioned how DeSantis is very right-wing and strongly ties himself to Trump. In an environment where Democrats are favored and angry at Trump, that has not proven to be the best strategy, as Gillum has lead every poll of the race thus far.

Great point by EastTexasDem. Far-left vs. far right in a year where voters are leaning against the far right president isn't going to end well for DeSantis. The only problem is if Democrats feel like candidates like Gillum are their path to victory in the future. The tables turn very quickly in politics.

I’m pretty sure Gillum wins at this point if he doesn’t screw up in a big way and there is no Florida version of an “October Suprise.” DeSantis’s problem is he didn’t change the narrative after his screw up on election night, that defined him and he didn’t redefine himself in the coming weeks. Good conservatives can still win in Florida. Republicans can complain about liberal mainstream media, but its still about controlling the message with voters. DeSantis has done a crappy job of that. He’ll be an amazing DC Lobbyist come January.

Brentin: I just don't trust that polling survey showing Gillum up by 12 percentage points. Crazy things can happen in 2 weeks.

Brentin: I just don't trust that polling survey showing Gillum up by 12 percentage points. Crazy things can happen in 2 weeks. I don’t believe its a 12 point race either. But I do beleive its a 3 or 4 point race and that Gillum will out-poll Nelson statewide. I’ve been waiting to see if there is any October Surprise (like the FBI raid you have advanced) to change this race. But i don’t think it will happen. The only question I have about Florida Polling is how much impact displaced panhandle voters who can’t vote will have on the race. Seems to me that in close races lost votes in the panhandle could determine these races. I don’t know if it hurts Republicans or Democrats more.

Brentin: I'm thinking the FBI raids at Tallahassee City Hall could happen any moment now because the allegations of corruption are serious.

2nd Gubernatorial Debate tomorrow night at Broward College in Weston, FL: https://www.c-span.org/video/?453499-1/florida-gubernatorial-debate

The October Surprise appears to have doomed Gillum because if the FBI can connect the dots of those e-mails, you better start saying Governor DeSantis on January 8th, 2019.

Repeating the same thing over and over doesn't make it reality.

https://twitter.com/PeterSchorschFL/status/1055163932783063041 The officer in question is the Sheriff of Gilchrist County. There is no Hillcrest County in the US.

a pretty sizable portion of Florida voters vote early.. so that may diminish the impact of any late revelations

https://twitter.com/AndrewGillum/status/1055265872930095104

Gillum has led in every poll since the primaries.

Here’s the link to the live poll being conducted by the New York Times: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2018/upshot/elections-poll-flgov-3.html

Qbanito: I still think the Bradley Effect is at play here.

Pfaucett: I will NEVER leave this website anytime soon.

Another poll.

POTUS Trump campaign rally for Scott & DeSantis this Wednesday.

Now, I'd probably vote Bruce Stanley

What made you sour on Gillum and Richardson?

While I am tri-endorsing them alongside Stanley. (A thing I haven't done since the California Senate Primary) Stanley gets top billing as he is just the more ideologically pure Progressive of the three. Gillum has been cozying up to Debbie Wasserman Schultz and Cory Booker in order to get that Tom Steyer money. He also endorsed Hillary Clinton over Bernie Sanders in 2016 indicating he cared more about his career rather than the issues. Even now, Gillum is talking about "affordable Healthcare is a right" rather than outright saying Healthcare is a Right. Richardson has a rather Progressive history of working with Eugene McCarthy, running with the Left-Wing Consumers Party in the 80's, running as a Progressive Challenger to Obama in 2012, and endorsing Left-Wing candidates like Ralph Nader and Roseanne Barr. I even exchanged emails with him where he discussed the potential of running for Senate under the platform of Universal Basic Income. But now he's doing the same Centrist talking points of "We need to stop going to the extremes and move toward the middle". Whereas Bruce Stanley is a Progressive through and through. Working with the likes of the Occupy Movement and fellow Progressive Independent Tim Canova. He's working on bringing a Single Payer Healthcare system, banning Fracking, legalizing weed, and instituting a Green New Deal. Stanley's just more Progressive than either and if I were in Florida I'd vote him.

Pluribus: Stanley & those 3rd party candidates will NOT be a factor at all.

And yet the second someone loses they scream "SPOILER!!!!!!!!!!!!!!"

Pluribus: I still think DeSantis wins this next Tuesday night. Plus, the Early Voting numbers are showing DeSantis ahead.