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  FL Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Florida > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 22, 2018 - 11:00am Central
Polls Open November 06, 2018 - 06:00am Central
Polls Close November 06, 2018 - 06:00pm Central
Term Start January 08, 2019 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedQbanito July 12, 2020 09:29am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/04/2014
NameRick Scott Votes2,865,343 (48.14%)
Term01/06/2015 - 01/08/2019 Margin64,145 (+1.08%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameRon DeSantis Votes4,614,210 (59.37%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2027 Margin1,507,897 (+19.40%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Aug 28, 2018 FL Governor - R Primary
Ron DeSantis
R 1,622,124
Aug 28, 2018 FL Governor - D Primary
Andrew T. Gillum
D 1,519,492
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/06/2016 11/06/2018
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ron DeSantis 5 ----1
Andrew T. Gillum 17 5 ----
Darcy G. Richardson 1 ------
Leaning Call: Andrew T. Gillum (72.97%)
Weighted Call: Andrew T. Gillum (101.58%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

02/26/2018 11/05/2018

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Rep. Ron DeSantis Mayor Andrew T. Gillum Darcy G. Richardson Kyle "K.C." Gibson Ryan Christopher Foley Bruce Stanley (W) Harold Frederick Johnson
PartyRepublican Democratic Reform No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation No Party Affiliation
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 4,076,186 (49.59%) 4,043,723 (49.19%) 47,140 (0.57%) 24,310 (0.30%) 14,630 (0.18%) 14,505 (0.18%) 61 (0.00%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -32,463 (-0.39%) -4,029,046 (-49.01%) -4,051,876 (-49.29%) -4,061,556 (-49.41%) -4,061,681 (-49.41%) -4,076,125 (-49.58%)
Predict Avg.46.00% 48.50% 4.75% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 01/05/2018 03/01/2017 06/08/2018 09/25/2014 06/22/2018 02/27/2018 06/22/2018
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (59 from 31 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.87%-- 45.58%-- 0.47%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
11/04/18-11/05/18
50.00% 3.9 46.60% 1.8 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
11/03/18-11/04/18
45.40% 0.9 49.50% 1.1 1.80% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
11/02/18-11/04/18
45.60% 0.4 48.10% 0.9 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/29/18-11/04/18
43.00% 3.0 50.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/01/18-11/03/18
46.00% -- 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
11/01/18-11/03/18
46.00% -- 51.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (W) Piotr Blass  
PartyNo Party Affiliation  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 6 (0.00%)  
Margin-4,076,180 (-49.59%)  
Predict Avg.0.00%  
Cash On Hand $--  
Website  
Entry Date 06/11/2018  
MATCHUP POLLS (59 from 31 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%--  
Trafalgar Group 
11/04/18-11/05/18
0.00% --
St. Pete Polls 
11/03/18-11/04/18
0.00% --
Harris Interactive 
11/02/18-11/04/18
0.00% --
Quinnipiac University 
10/29/18-11/04/18
0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/01/18-11/03/18
0.00% --
Emerson College 
11/01/18-11/03/18
0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Henry Choice (NPA)
Apr 27, 2018 - Sep 07, 2018
Raphael "Rafi" Herman (NPA)
Jun 04, 2018 - Sep 07, 2018
Anthony "Tony" Knox, Sr. (NPA)
May 08, 2017 - Sep 07, 2018
Monroe Lee (NPA)
Jun 22, 2018 - Sep 07, 2018
Ellen Marie Wilds (NPA)
Feb 21, 2018 - Sep 05, 2018
Patrick Murphy (NPA)
Jun 07, 2018
Richard Paul Dembinsky (NPA)
 00, 2018 - Mar 20, 2018
John Morgan (I)
Jan 12, 2018
Jeanne Elizabeth Hunter (NPA)
Jun 21, 2018 -  00, 2018

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/08/2018 vs Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Attack eng Sudden Stop  00:00:30 Poll Vaulter 
09/16/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Feel Good eng Hope, Aspiration, and Inspiration  00:00:30 RP 
09/13/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Feel Good eng My Grandmother's Voice  00:01:00 RP 
09/12/2018 vs Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Attack eng Too Far  00:00:30 RP 
09/04/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Biography eng American Way  00:00:30 RP 
07/30/2018 Ron DeSantis TVAd Biography eng Casey  00:00:30 RP 
07/25/2018 Andrew T. Gillum TVAd Biography eng What's Impossible?  00:00:32 RP 
07/24/2018 vs Ron DeSantis TVAd Attack eng 23% More  00:00:30 RP 
06/24/2018 Ron DeSantis TVAd Biography eng Only DeSantis  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 31, 2018 10:00am News Florida governor’s race gets down in the gutter  Article WA Indy 
Oct 30, 2018 06:05pm News The Improbable Run of Andrew Gillum  Article BrentinCO 
Oct 24, 2018 09:00pm News Five takeaways from Florida's fiery final gubernatorial debate  Article WA Indy 
Oct 24, 2018 12:10pm Audio Gillum targeted by new racist robocall in Florida governor race  Article RP 
Oct 23, 2018 08:40pm News Gillum’s October surprise: ex-friend’s texts, emails could make or break his campaign  Article BrentinCO 
Sep 09, 2018 09:30pm General GOP candidate for Fla. governor spoke at racially charged events  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
101
Previous Messages]
 
D:391Qbanito ( 3055.9700 points)
Wed, September 26, 2018 06:43:36 PM UTC0:00
Agreed. Nelson did poorly in the debate against Connie Mack and still won. Also true for Rick Scott who underperformed against Charlie Crist. Statewide level debates are not remembered as much when it’s time to go vote.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Wed, September 26, 2018 07:13:04 PM UTC0:00
Qbanito: I'm sure everybody remembered thuh well-known live TV Statewide Debate between Chiles & Jeb in 1994 ?

Chiles had had enough of Jeb's attacks against that dude & put that dude in his place with "the old he-coon walks just before thuh light of day" comment.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Mon, October 1, 2018 11:15:57 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: How accurate has PPP been in their overall pollin' in previous elections ?

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
Tue, October 2, 2018 05:40:53 AM UTC0:00
They are "B" rated but with little bias according to fivethirtyeight. [Link]

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Tue, October 2, 2018 05:16:06 PM UTC0:00
Gettin' a feelin' that Gillum brin'in' Hillary out to campaign for that dude will come back to haunt that dude in a BIGLY way.

She's not well-liked at all & you can bet DeSantis & thuh GOP Governor's Association will up thuh ante in those Negative TV Advertisin' commercials.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1772.5920 points)
x3
Tue, October 2, 2018 07:16:49 PM UTC0:00
^It's like a dumber Scott on one of his worse trolling days.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Tue, October 2, 2018 11:00:53 PM UTC0:00
DeSantis is ya know, like, surgin'....

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Tue, October 2, 2018 11:33:38 PM UTC0:00
Where's the green arrow showing that?

 
D:9362An_62190 ( 651.4650 points)
Tue, October 2, 2018 11:45:02 PM UTC0:00
He's probably looking at the margin and comparing it with other polls, which I may add is a really bad idea.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
x2
Wed, October 3, 2018 04:09:42 PM UTC0:00
Awaitin' thuh next pollin' survey that will put DeSantis ahead.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Wed, October 17, 2018 08:23:05 PM UTC0:00
Feelin' like thuh Bradley Effect is goin' to play a factor that chick. because I'm bettin' guys are lyin' to thuh pollsters.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1772.5920 points)
x2
Wed, October 17, 2018 09:36:18 PM UTC0:00
The Bradley Effect wasn’t a factor in Illinois in 2004, Massachusetts or Tennessee I’m 2006, Maryland I’m 2014, etc. I think these are realistic polling results.

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1772.5920 points)
Thu, October 18, 2018 12:44:19 AM UTC0:00
Note: spellcheck when on your phone on this site.

 
D:7918Labour Dem ( 231.0240 points)
Thu, October 18, 2018 01:04:50 AM UTC0:00
There has never really been a Bradley Effect. It's just a theory that always gets brought up whenever a black candidate is running in any race that isn't centered on a majority black area.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Thu, October 18, 2018 05:47:42 AM UTC0:00
also there's the whole thing with Obama carrying Florida twice to throw the whole Bradley Effect claim into some doubt

 
D:6086Jason (11913.3682 points)
Thu, October 18, 2018 06:16:26 AM UTC0:00
It most certainly existed and affected Bradley himself as well as Doug Wilder to an extent. But those days are long gone and 2008 should have dispelled any notion of the Bradley effect's lingering relevance.

 
D:391Qbanito ( 3055.9700 points)
Fri, October 19, 2018 01:55:00 AM UTC0:00
The energy in Gillum’s camp is something I’ve never seen in the prior Florida gubernatorial races. Hoping it turns into actual votes!

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Fri, October 19, 2018 05:34:32 PM UTC0:00
You're an idiot.

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Fri, October 19, 2018 07:26:05 PM UTC0:00
You know POTUS Cheeto Dude will be holdin' a rally for DeSantis at some point.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
x2
Fri, October 19, 2018 08:09:03 PM UTC0:00
I guess Safe DeSantis then...

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Fri, October 19, 2018 11:21:51 PM UTC0:00
RP: I do recall some of thuh pollsters thought Crist was ya know, like, goin' to win in 2014.... only to see Scott get reelected.

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Sat, October 20, 2018 12:12:18 AM UTC0:00
You really are incapable of seeing that all of these things you say can work both ways...

 
D:10124BLUEDOGS ( 68.1367 points)
Sat, October 20, 2018 12:50:15 AM UTC0:00
Gubernatorial Debate this Sunday:

[Link]

 
D:391Qbanito ( 3055.9700 points)
Sun, October 21, 2018 07:16:33 PM UTC0:00
Gillum up by 12, where’s that DeSantis surge?

 
D:9642EastTexasDem ( 1194.2181 points)
Sun, October 21, 2018 09:11:04 PM UTC0:00
I still remember the narrative after the primaries was that Gillum was too liberal for the state. Not nearly enough people mentioned how DeSantis is very right-wing and strongly ties himself to Trump. In an environment where Democrats are favored and angry at Trump, that has not proven to be the best strategy, as Gillum has lead every poll of the race thus far.

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