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  IA US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Iowa > Senate Class II
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline June 01, 2014 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 04, 2014 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 04, 2014 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2015 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2021 - 12:00pm
ContributorAshley
Last ModifiedPoliticoomer May 18, 2022 12:57pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description Filing deadline speculative.
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/04/2008
NameTom Harkin Votes941,665 (62.66%)
Term01/03/2009 - 01/03/2015 Margin381,659 (+25.39%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameJoni Ernst Votes864,997 (51.74%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2027 Margin110,138 (+6.59%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 03, 2014 IA US Senate - R Primary
Joni Ernst
R 157,748
Jun 03, 2014 IA US Senate - D Primary
Bruce Braley
D 63,145
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
06/12/2009 11/04/2014
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Bruce Braley 7 3 3 4
Joni Ernst 19 5 1 --
Leaning Call: Bruce Braley (54.29%)
Weighted Call: Bruce Braley (86.53%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

01/29/2013 11/03/2014

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name St. Sen. Joni Ernst Rep. Bruce Braley Rick Stewart Douglas Butzier Bob Quast Ruth Smith (W) Write-In
PartyRepublican Democratic Independent Libertarian Term Limits Independent Nonpartisan
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 588,575 (52.10%) 494,370 (43.76%) 26,815 (2.37%) 8,232 (0.73%) 5,873 (0.52%) 4,724 (0.42%) 1,111 (0.10%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -94,205 (-8.34%) -561,760 (-49.73%) -580,343 (-51.37%) -582,702 (-51.58%) -583,851 (-51.68%) -587,464 (-52.00%)
Predict Avg.50.50% 46.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
DylanSH9951.00% (+4.17 pts) 44.00% (+4.12 pts) -- -- -- -- --
Kyle50.00% (+3.51 pts) 48.00% (+1.46 pts) -- -- -- -- --
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 03/14/2014 02/07/2013 03/14/2104 01/01/2014 03/14/2014 01/01/2014 01/01/2014
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (51 from 20 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.36%-- 42.94%-- -0.46%-- -0.07%-- 0.49%-- 1.08%-- 0.00%--
Public Policy Polling 
11/01/14-11/03/14		 48.00% 1.0 45.00% 3.0 1.00% -- 1.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Selzer & Co. 
10/28/14-10/31/14		 51.00% 4.0 44.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
YouGov 
10/25/14-10/31/14		 41.90% 2.1 42.90% 1.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Rasmussen Reports 
10/28/14-10/30/14		 48.00% -- 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Beacon Research (D) / Shaw & Company (R) - FOX News 
10/28/14-10/30/14		 45.00% 4.0 44.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Opinion Research Corporation (CNN) 
10/27/14-10/30/14		 49.00% 1.0 47.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
D Jason
  The Gazette (Iowa)
Laf-W Craverguy


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/22/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Bruce Braley's Chicken Dance  00:00:30 RP 
10/07/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Feel Good eng Drive  00:00:30 RP 
10/07/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Swears  00:00:32 RP 
10/06/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Bruce Braley Voted to Take Away Your Gun Rights   00:00:30 RP 
10/01/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Extreme  00:00:30 RP 
09/29/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Noise  00:00:30 RP 
09/28/2014 Debate Contrast eng 2014 Iowa US Senate Debate #1  00:56:41 RP 
09/25/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Chris  00:00:30 RP 
09/25/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Will   00:00:30 RP 
09/24/2014 Joni Ernst vs Bruce Braley TVAd Mixed eng Christina  00:00:30 RP 
09/17/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Why Joni Ernst Doesn’t Trust Women to Make Their Own Health Care Decisions   00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Billionaire  00:00:32 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Issue eng Kids  00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Bruce Braley TVAd Attack eng Missed Votes   00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Senator Chuck Grassley for Ernst   00:00:30 RP 
09/16/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Words  00:00:30 RP 
09/15/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Defend eng About  00:00:30 RP 
09/15/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Ernst Values  00:00:31 RP 
09/15/2014 Bruce Braley TVAd Issue eng Roads  00:00:32 RP 
09/09/2014 vs Joni Ernst TVAd Attack eng Talked  00:00:34 RP 
09/09/2014 Joni Ernst TVAd Endorsement eng Iowa Ag Secretary Bill Northey for Joni Ernst  00:00:30 RP 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 14, 2014 12:40pm News Wife confirms man killed in plane crash is Senate candidate  Article RP 
Mar 14, 2011 03:00pm Speculative Will Vander Plaats run for Senate vs. Harkin?  Article COSDem 

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