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  MT District 1
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Montana > MT - District 01
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline March 11, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedRBH November 27, 2024 10:35pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameRyan Zinke Votes123,102 (49.65%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin7,837 (+3.16%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Jun 04, 2024 MT District 1 - D Primary
Monica Tranel
D 59,806
Jun 04, 2024 MT District 1 - R Primary
Ryan Zinke
R 90,056
Jun 04, 2024 MT District 1 - LBT Primary
Dennis Hayes
LBT 596
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/19/2023 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Ryan Zinke 12 3 ----
Leaning Call: Ryan Zinke (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Ryan Zinke (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

08/26/2024 11/03/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Rep. Ryan Zinke Monica Tranel Dennis Hayes  
PartyRepublican Democratic Libertarian  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 168,529 (52.30%) 143,783 (44.62%) 9,954 (3.09%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -24,746 (-7.68%) -158,575 (-49.21%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $3,107,910.25 6/30 $2,114,496.25 $0.00  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 06/04/2024 07/10/2023 03/11/2024  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (6 from 5 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.46%-- 41.95%-- 3.40%--  
Pharos Research Group 
10/31/24-11/03/24
47.00% -- 46.00% -- 0.00% --
Impact Research 
10/14/24-10/17/24
46.00% -- 45.00% 1.0 4.00% --
Montana State University Billings 
09/30/24-10/16/24
44.00% -- 37.00% -- 4.00% --
Guidant Polling and Strategy 
10/13/24-10/16/24
52.00% -- 44.00% -- 0.00% --
Noble Predictive 
09/11/24-09/14/24
47.00% -- 43.00% -- 0.00% --
Impact Research 
08/26/24-08/29/24
46.00% -- 44.00% -- 4.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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