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  Finland President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Finland > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline December 12, 2023 - 08:00am Central
Polls Open January 28, 2024 - 01:00am Central
Polls Close January 28, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Term Start March 01, 2024 - 04:00am
Term End March 01, 2030 - 04:00am
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedBojicat February 06, 2024 06:40am
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]

The Ministry of Justice released the list of presidential candidates approved by the Helsinki Constituency Board on December 21, 2023. The list of candidates were narrowed down to nine individuals [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyIndependent Won01/28/2018
NameSauli Niinistö Votes1,875,342 (62.64%)
Term03/01/2018 - 03/01/2024 Margin1,504,088 (+50.24%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyNational Coalition Won02/11/2024
NameAlexander Stubb Votes1,575,211 (51.62%)
Term03/01/2024 - 03/01/2030 Margin98,663 (+3.23%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceFinland President - Runoff 02/11/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
12/14/2023 01/28/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Alexander Stubb --1 ----
Leaning Call: Alexander Stubb (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Alexander Stubb (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

11/27/2023 01/23/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Finance Minister Alexander Stubb Foreign Minister Pekka Haavisto Speaker Jussi Halla-aho Vice President Olli Rehn Party Chairman Li Andersson EU Commissioner Jutta Urpilainen Agriculture Minister Sari Essayah
PartyNational Coalition Independent Finns Centre Left Alliance Social Democratic Christian Democrats
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes 882,388 (27.21%) 836,712 (25.80%) 615,802 (18.99%) 496,759 (15.32%) 158,579 (4.89%) 140,867 (4.34%) 47,847 (1.48%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -45,676 (-1.41%) -266,586 (-8.22%) -385,629 (-11.89%) -723,809 (-22.32%) -741,521 (-22.86%) -834,541 (-25.73%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 08/28/2023 06/08/2023 07/07/2023 09/23/2023 10/15/2023 11/19/2023 08/27/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg26.59%-- 21.70%-- 17.67%-- 13.78%-- 5.59%-- 4.11%-- 1.65%--
Taloustutkimus 
01/17/24-01/23/24
27.00% -- 23.00% -- 18.00% -- 14.00% -- 7.00% -- 5.00% -- 2.00% --
Kantar Agri 
01/12/24-01/17/24
24.00% -- 21.00% -- 15.00% -- 12.00% -- 7.00% -- 7.00% -- 2.00% --
Kantar TNS 
12/15/23-12/20/23
23.00% -- 23.00% -- 12.00% -- 10.00% -- 6.00% -- 6.00% -- 2.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
11/27/23-12/07/23
31.00% -- 23.00% -- 10.00% -- 12.00% -- 5.00% -- 7.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Mika Aaltola Harry "Hjallis" Harkimo  
PartyIndependent Movement Now  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes 47,467 (1.46%) 17,030 (0.53%)  
Margin-834,921 (-25.74%) -865,358 (-26.68%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 08/03/2023 06/18/2022  
MATCHUP POLLS (4 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg2.09%-- 0.60%--  
Taloustutkimus 
01/17/24-01/23/24
3.00% -- 1.00% --
Kantar Agri 
01/12/24-01/17/24
2.00% -- 1.00% --
Kantar TNS 
12/15/23-12/20/23
3.00% -- 1.00% --
Taloustutkimus 
11/27/23-12/07/23
4.00% -- 2.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Kimmo Rantanen (I)
Aug 06, 2023 - Dec 21, 2023
Ano Turtiainen (VKK)
Aug 21, 2023 - Dec 21, 2023
Paavo Väyrynen (TL)
Jun 12, 2023 - Dec 20, 2023
Laura Huhtasaari (PS)
Jul 05, 2023 - Dec 12, 2023
Sanna Marin (SDP)
Jun 19, 2022

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