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  CA District 45
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > California > CA - District 45
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline 00, 0000 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Turnout 68.90% Registered 44.20% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedNCdem November 12, 2024 10:24am
Data Sources[Link]
Description Incumbent (R) in 2020 Biden District
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/08/2022
NameMichelle Park Steel Votes113,960 (52.41%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin10,494 (+4.83%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 05, 2024 CA District 45 - Open Primary
Michelle Park Steel
R 78,022D 64,097
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
03/06/2024 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Michelle Park Steel 8 2 1 --
Tossup 3 ------
Derek Tran 2 ------
Leaning Call: Michelle Park Steel (75.00%)
Weighted Call: Michelle Park Steel (82.78%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/29/2024 09/21/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Rep. Michelle Park Steel Derek Tran  
PartyRepublican Democratic  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (84.00% in) 143,184 (50.69%) 139,276 (49.31%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -3,908 (-1.38%)  
Estimated Final171,715 (50.73%) 166,783 (49.27%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 6/30 $3,792,957.75 6/30 $1,156,780.12  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date -- --  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (3 from 3 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg45.45%-- 43.78%--  
USC Dornsife/LA Times 
09/14/24-09/21/24		 43.30% -- 44.80% --
Tulchin Research 
09/14/24-09/19/24		 45.00% -- 47.00% --
Normington, Petts & Associates (D) 
07/29/24-07/31/24		 47.00% -- 47.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R Maryland Republican93
I Elon Musk 🔗
W Arthur
R Thanh Dang 🔗
  Los Angeles Times
D KeystoneProgressive
  Red to Blue
D NCdem
 


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NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 30, 2024 09:00am News Will a Vietnamese American candidate help Democrats win a congressional seat in Little Saigon?  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
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Previous Messages]
 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, November 11, 2024 01:02:45 AM UTC0:00
Uh oh, Tran is catching up, it would be sad to see her lose.