Dahlstrom dropping out certainly helps Begich, so I updated my prediction accordingly from Lean to Slight Peltola. I still think Peltola has enough Republican appeal to win but by a narrower margin.

Dahlstrom dropping out certainly helps Begich, so I updated my prediction accordingly from Lean to Slight Peltola. I still think Peltola has enough Republican appeal to win but by a narrower margin. It's so weird that a Lt. Gov of a state would drop out in favor of a guy running on his last name in a party that did not elect members of his family.

So Salisbury and Howe are in? I assumed the reason why we were waiting to add them was because the 2 were having issues ballot wise, but since they are both going to move on (assumedly), they can be added?

Dahlstrom dropping out certainly helps Begich, so I updated my prediction accordingly from Lean to Slight Peltola. I still think Peltola has enough Republican appeal to win but by a narrower margin. It's so weird that a Lt. Gov of a state would drop out in favor of a guy running on his last name in a party that did not elect members of his family. She probably did it because she got third in the blanket primary, which is an embarassing underperformance given that she is already a statewide official whereas Begich ran for this seat twice before and lost both times. Not to mention she had the Trump endorsement. So Salisbury and Howe are in? I assumed the reason why we were waiting to add them was because the 2 were having issues ballot wise, but since they are both going to move on (assumedly), they can be added? No one has called the fourth slot yet and NYT says 88% of the vote is in while DDHQ only says 80%, so IDK.

No one has called the fourth slot yet and NYT says 88% of the vote is in while DDHQ only says 80%, so IDK. But Slot #4 was Howe v Salisbury, which is now moot with Dahlstrom dropping out vastly b4 the deadline, unless their is an upset or they pull Bullshit in the Courts, those 2 are guarenteed a spot now

Sattler Peltola is one of the most conservative Democrats in Congress, one of the most moderate members.

Why is that worth noting? I think if you ask Alaskans if they care if Mary Peltola has been divorced twice, the answer would be a collective shrug

really only a problem if her ex-husbands aren't voting for her

Hafner's place on the ballot is being challenged since he's in federal prison until 2036 and therefore can't become an Alaska resident before election day

Somehow Samuel Claesson will be on the ballot come november

It's truly wild I'm seeing people think this seat is going to go to Begich. Peltola is just built different.

I mean predicting a Republican to win Alaska isn't that unreasonable. But I will trust the primary result.

It's truly wild I'm seeing people think this seat is going to go to Begich. Peltola is just built different. We've heard that before: Conservadems always think they're invulnerable but my reasoning is as follows: Peltola benefitted from absolutely NO Dem Like Candidates in the runoff alongside a GOP Split. But not just a GOP Split, one with an extremely hugh profile option, who'd essenatially swallow ALL the mainline support in the first round. Which was eliminated in this race by having the High New High Profile Republican Drop Out and having Begich the the sole option, while also pushing a Democrat to siphon off Some Peltola Support in the first round. With Howe's voters also seeming likely to go Red rather than Blue. Peltola owes her victories TO Begich voters who ranked her #2, even if they do again, it won't matter because HE is her prime opposition rather than being "The Other One"

Begich with 49.7% after the first round. Likely to win once the second-choice options of the Howe supporters get distributed.