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  WI US Senate
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > Senate Class I
OfficeSenate
HonorificSenator - Abbr: Sen.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2031 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedev December 01, 2024 11:29am
Data Sources[Link]
Description Anderson running under the label "Disrupt the Corruption"
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/06/2018
NameTammy Baldwin Votes1,472,914 (55.36%)
Term01/03/2019 - 01/03/2025 Margin288,029 (+10.83%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 22, 2024 WI US Senate - G Convention
Jo'Nathan Kingfisher
G 36
Aug 13, 2024 WI US Senate - D Primary
Tammy Baldwin
D 640,247
Aug 13, 2024 WI US Senate - R Primary
Eric D. Hovde
R 553,547
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/24/2023 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Tammy Baldwin 13 7 ----
Eric D. Hovde 1 ------
Tossup 1 ------
Leaning Call: Tammy Baldwin (93.10%)
Weighted Call: Tammy Baldwin (99.06%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/23/2023 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Secretary Tammy Baldwin Eric D. Hovde Phillip N. Anderson Thomas Leager (W) Write-In (W) John T. Schiess  
PartyDemocratic Republican Independent America First Nonpartisan Independent Republican  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1,672,777 (49.33%) 1,643,996 (48.48%) 42,315 (1.25%) 28,751 (0.85%) 2,922 (0.09%) 26 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -28,781 (-0.85%) -1,630,462 (-48.09%) -1,644,026 (-48.49%) -1,669,855 (-49.25%) -1,672,751 (-49.33%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 04/12/2023 02/20/2024 05/29/2024 04/09/2024 -- --  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (74 from 30 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.92%-- 46.64%-- 0.34%-- 1.43%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
48.80% -- 47.90% 0.4 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
11/01/24-11/03/24
47.90% 0.2 48.40% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
48.00% 4.0 47.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
11/01/24-11/02/24
48.80% 0.2 48.30% 0.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/01/24-11/02/24
47.00% 1.0 48.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/25/24-11/02/24
50.00% -- 46.00% 3.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Jo'Nathan Kingfisher (G)
Aug 01, 2024

EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
10/23/2024 Eric D. Hovde vs Tammy Baldwin TVAd Attack eng Corruption - Hovde for U.S. Senate  00:00:30 data 
08/06/2024 Eric D. Hovde Web Only Ad Feel Good eng Eric Hovde For Senate | "Problem Solver"  00:00:30 data 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Oct 04, 2024 09:00am News Democratic fears emerge on Wisconsin Senate race  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Mon, October 7, 2024 01:28:38 AM UTC0:00
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: "Toss-up" would be how I really feel about this race, but what fun is predicting that?

Baldwin's gonna win, also this picture her was taken a decade ago.

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 756.1104 points)
Mon, October 7, 2024 03:03:29 AM UTC0:00
...also this picture her was taken a decade ago.

So she looks worse?!? Holy Toledo!

 
D:10384hammer101peeps ( 0.0000 points)
x3
Mon, October 7, 2024 03:21:41 AM UTC0:00
If there was one thing OurCampaigns was missing it was two dudes complaining about the appearance of a 62 year old woman.

I know both of you are the biggest trolls on here, but this is just lazy

 
R:7206Hikikomori Blitzkrieg! ( 756.1104 points)
x2
Mon, October 7, 2024 03:24:50 AM UTC0:00
LOL, in fairness, I was deliberately trolling.

No one says "Holy Toledo" anymore.

 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.8744 points)
Mon, October 7, 2024 01:01:05 PM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: <q 7206="">"Toss-up" would be how I really feel about this race, but what fun is predicting that?

Baldwin's gonna win, also this picture her was taken a decade ago.

Just added a more recent photo from 2023, for those who are for some reason curious about her appearance. (it's public domain, so it doesn't violate copyright laws).

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Mon, October 7, 2024 03:48:13 PM UTC0:00
This race is a sleeper. Hovde has run a really strong campaign and is a strong candidate (this race along with MT is what happens when you pick candidates who can win). Baldwin's own internal polling shows she's just up two points (which probably means this is tighter).

Even though its hard to imagine an outcome of this race that will be different than the outcome of WI Presidential race, Hovde will likely outperform Trump in the State.

Of the great lake states, WI is one that will most likely move to the red column sooner than its neighbors (MI and MN).

 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.8744 points)
Mon, October 7, 2024 09:49:01 PM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: This race is a sleeper. Hovde has run a really strong campaign and is a strong candidate (this race along with MT is what happens when you pick candidates who can win). Baldwin's own internal polling shows she's just up two points (which probably means this is tighter).

Even though its hard to imagine an outcome of this race that will be different than the outcome of WI Presidential race, Hovde will likely outperform Trump in the State.

Of the great lake states, WI is one that will most likely move to the red column sooner than its neighbors (MI and MN).

I was surprised when Baldwins own internal only showed her up TWO. Most people I see take 6 off of the candidate when they do internals, so if you go by that Hovde is winning by FOUR.

However I still don’t see a world in which Baldwin goes down unless Rs have a really really good night, but given this I changed my prediction from Lean to Slight Baldwin.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
x3
Tue, October 8, 2024 03:16:13 AM UTC0:00
BrentinCO: Baldwin's own internal polling shows she's just up two points (which probably means this is tighter).

BigZuck08: I was surprised when Baldwins own internal only showed her up TWO. Most people I see take 6 off of the candidate when they do internals, so if you go by that Hovde is winning by FOUR.

Depends on the motivation for releasing the internal. If it's to juice fundraising or keep supporters from getting complacent, candidate will release internals unfavorable to them.

Internal polling isn't necessarily inherently biased towards the candidate. Candidates can just release what internal polls drive the narrative they want to push.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
Tue, October 8, 2024 04:28:44 AM UTC0:00
Wisconsin is trending red, but this is not the year to defeat Baldwin. Democrats are very motivated behind Harris and abortion is a critical issue for women.

 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Tue, October 8, 2024 02:49:14 PM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: Wisconsin is trending red

I wouldn't say that. I think PA is trending red. But in WI the rural counties including in the southeast have mostly bottomed out, the fastest growing area is Dane County and the WOW suburbs have finally started moving towards the Dems like the other northern state suburbs.

 
D:6086Jason (13430.6523 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 05:47:20 PM UTC0:00
Baldwin is declaring victory.

Very interested to know who the Trump-Baldwin voters are.

 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.8744 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 06:56:47 PM UTC0:00
AP calls it for Baldwin

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Thu, November 7, 2024 07:59:41 AM UTC0:00
Yep, that early morning 140k Milwaukee vote dump put her over the top, but not Harris.