Poll Average Details- WI US Senate - 2024-11-05 20:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Tammy Baldwin Write-InEric D. Hovde Eric D. HovdeThomas Leager Phillip N. Anderson Write-In John T. Schiess
AtlasIntel11/4X 1.00000   48.8000 - 0.6813 bias 47.9000 - 0.6043 bias        
Research Co.11/3X 0.98333   48.0000 - 2.9639 bias 47.0000 - -0.8902 bias        
Trafalgar Group11/3X 0.98333   47.9000 - -1.5916 bias 48.4000 - 1.6400 bias        
Florida Atlantic University11/2X 0.96667   47.0000 - 2.7986 bias 45.0000 - -1.2483 bias        
Emerson College11/2X 0.96667   51.0000 - 1.1507 bias 45.0000 - 0.4363 bias        
InsiderAdvantage11/2X 0.96667   47.0000 - -0.3111 bias 48.0000 - 0.1719 bias        
Siena Research Institute11/2X 0.96667   50.0000 - 0.8995 bias 46.0000 - -0.2762 bias        
Morning Consult11/1X 0.95000   49.0000 - 3.2496 bias 47.0000 - -1.6378 bias        
ActiVote10/31X 0.93333   53.6000 - bias 46.4000 - bias        
YouGov10/31X 0.93333   50.0000 - 1.4663 bias 45.0000 - -0.0047 bias        
OnMessage Inc. (R)10/31X 0.93333   48.0000 - -1.9372 bias 47.0000 - 3.3406 bias        
Marist Institute10/30X 0.91667   51.0000 - 1.2095 bias 48.0000 - -0.7027 bias        
TIPP10/30X 0.91667   48.0000 - 0.6178 bias 46.0000 - -0.2891 bias        
SoCal Research10/29X 0.90000   49.0000 - bias 48.0000 - bias        
SSRS10/26X 0.85000   49.0000 - 2.1629 bias 47.0000 - -1.7743 bias        
Suffolk University10/23X 0.80000   46.0000 - 1.6916 bias 44.0000 - -2.2107 bias 2.0000 - bias 1.0000 - 1.5290 bias    
Quinnipiac University10/21X 0.76667   49.0000 - 1.4883 bias 48.0000 - -0.4574 bias        
Bullfinch Group10/18X 0.71667   49.0000 - bias 45.0000 - bias        
Redfield & Wilton Strategies10/18X 0.71667   45.0000 - 5.3290 bias 44.0000 - -3.3508 bias 1.0000 - bias 1.0000 - bias    
RMG Research10/16X 0.68333   50.0000 - 3.3133 bias 47.0000 - -1.9223 bias        
Rasmussen Reports10/14X 0.65000   46.0000 - 0.4222 bias 45.0000 - 1.5749 bias        
Patriot Polling10/14X 0.65000   50.0000 - -1.4814 bias 49.0000 - 2.5748 bias        
Marquette University Law School9/26X 0.35000   51.0000 - 0.9712 bias 45.0000 - -0.4419 bias 1.0000 - bias 1.0000 - bias    
Benenson Strategy Group (D)/GS Strategy Group (R)9/25X 0.33333   49.0000 - bias 47.0000 - bias        
Rodriguez Gudelunas Strategies9/23X 0.30000   52.0000 - bias 44.0000 - bias        
MassINC Polling Group9/18X 0.21667   52.0000 - -0.0957 bias 44.0000 - 0.8107 bias        
Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research9/15X 0.16667   50.0000 - -0.7836 bias 47.0000 - 1.4212 bias        
TOTAL 47.920671 46.644171 1.428571 0.344714 0.000000 0.000000