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  NC Governor
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > North Carolina > Governor
OfficeGovernor
HonorificGovernor - Abbr: Gov.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline July 01, 2024 - 04:30pm Central
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 05:30am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 06:30pm Central
Term Start January 01, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 06, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum December 31, 2024 06:39pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameRoy Cooper Votes2,834,790 (51.52%)
Term01/02/2021 - 01/04/2025 Margin248,186 (+4.51%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Mar 05, 2024 NC Governor - D Primary
Josh Stein
D 688,238
Mar 05, 2024 NC Governor - R Primary
Mark K. Robinson
R 1,028,031
Mar 05, 2024 NC Governor - LBT Primary
Mike Ross
LBT 4,895
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/19/2023 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Josh Stein 3 4 11 1
Mark K. Robinson 3 1 ----
Leaning Call: Josh Stein (90.57%)
Weighted Call: Josh Stein (99.61%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/05/2023 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Attorney General Josh Stein Lt. Gov. Mark K. Robinson Mike Ross Walter Vincent "Vinny" Smith M. Wayne Turner  
PartyDemocratic Republican Libertarian Constitution Green  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 3,069,496 (54.90%) 2,241,309 (40.08%) 176,392 (3.16%) 54,738 (0.98%) 49,612 (0.89%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -828,187 (-14.81%) -2,893,104 (-51.74%) -3,014,758 (-53.92%) -3,019,884 (-54.01%)  
Predict Avg.54.33% 40.25% 5.83% 0.58% 2.67%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 01/18/2023 04/22/2023 12/15/2023 07/16/2024 12/13/2023  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (74 from 26 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg52.07%-- 38.85%-- 1.98%-- 0.71%-- 0.83%--  
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
54.00% 1.9 37.50% 3.5 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
11/01/24-11/02/24
52.10% 0.6 41.00% 1.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Siena Research Institute 
10/25/24-11/02/24
56.00% 9.0 38.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Emerson College 
10/30/24-11/02/24
52.00% 1.0 40.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Morning Consult 
10/23/24-11/01/24
52.00% 2.0 36.00% 4.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ActiVote 
10/17/24-10/31/24
57.60% 1.1 42.40% 1.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements  


EVENTS
Start Date End Date Type Title Contributor

VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date Candidate Category Ad Tone Lng Title Run Time Contributor
08/02/2024 Mark K. Robinson TVAd Issue eng Unscripted  00:00:30 BrentinCO 

BOOKS
Title Purchase Contributor

INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Sep 07, 2024 05:30pm Statement North Carolina Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson says he wants abortion to be illegal at ‘zero’ weeks, in new audio released by Democrats  Article RP 
Jun 08, 2024 10:05am Conspiracy Theory Republican governor nominee Mark Robinson entertained conspiracy theories that the U.S. government was behind the attack on Pearl Harbor and death of General Patton  Article RP 
Mar 06, 2024 03:45pm Video Mark Robinson: 'I Absolutely Want To Go Back To The America Where Women Couldn’t Vote'  Article RP 

DISCUSSION
[View All
86
Previous Messages]
 
D:1RP ( 5618.8218 points)
Fri, September 20, 2024 06:50:36 PM UTC0:00

 
D:11204NCdem ( 1834.1178 points)
Fri, September 20, 2024 07:43:59 PM UTC0:00
I love my state. Fun times.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Sat, September 21, 2024 01:57:34 AM UTC0:00
FWIW, Robinson denies these are his posts. And the NC GOP is backing him up caling this a media smear.

Looks like this race is going to go forward with Robinson as the nominee and nobody else. It would appear NC GOP is resigned to defeat.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Sat, September 21, 2024 05:51:06 AM UTC0:00
More dirt on Mark Robinson. The dirt is always out during a critical point of a campaign.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
x3
Sat, September 21, 2024 05:53:43 AM UTC0:00
RP: "Republicans nowadays are much more shameless than Democrats".

Democrats nowadays are much more dirtier than Republicans.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
x3
Sat, September 21, 2024 06:16:11 AM UTC0:00
Republican: is a Nazi

You for some reason: HOW COULD DEMOCRATS DO THIS

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Sat, September 21, 2024 07:51:43 AM UTC0:00
Be very careful with who you call Nazis. Adolf Hitler was a very contagious case of national-socialism that spread like wildfire throughout Germany. Hitler was responsible for World War 2 and even if you were able to go back in time just to kill him, it still wouldn't of prevented countless deaths throughout Europe in the 1940s because somebody as bad as him would've taken over.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Sat, September 21, 2024 03:52:47 PM UTC0:00
Mark Robinson LITERALLY CALLED HIMSELF A BLACK NAZI.

Like I'm using HIS words

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Sat, September 21, 2024 09:27:01 PM UTC0:00
the one NC ad I saw on ACC Network during James Madison vs UNC was anti-Stein tying him to Harris from a PAC that didn't mention or show Robinson

so that might be part of the strategy even if rules exist about PAC ads.. don't mention Robinson and just try to keep Stein down

 
D:10973Patrick ( 6.5582 points)
x2
Sun, September 22, 2024 01:00:15 AM UTC0:00
LSjustbloggin: Be very careful with who you call Nazis. Adolf Hitler was a very contagious case of national-socialism that spread like wildfire throughout Germany. Hitler was responsible for World War 2 and even if you were able to go back in time just to kill him, it still wouldn't of prevented countless deaths throughout Europe in the 1940s because somebody as bad as him would've taken over.

I am oddly (and possibly concerningly) deeply interested in trying to understand what possible point or points you think that you are making with this post and how that might be related to Mark Robinson.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
x4
Mon, September 23, 2024 06:19:38 PM UTC0:00
New poll shows Robinson has taken the lead. We have no other polls by this pollster however.


 
NDP:11714BigZuck08 ( 1151.8744 points)
Tue, September 24, 2024 10:34:40 AM UTC0:00
Does this count as an anti-endorsement of Robinson by Tennessee Governor Bill Lee?

But Tennessee Gov. Bill Lee, who chairs the RGA, is pulling his support for Robinson, a spokesperson for the governor told POLITICO.

“Gov. Lee is no longer supporting Lt. Gov. Mark Robinson’s gubernatorial bid,” said Lee spokesperson Elizabeth Johnson.

[Link]

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
x3
Tue, September 24, 2024 04:23:15 PM UTC0:00
I put it as more of a Revoked Endorsement

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Tue, September 24, 2024 05:13:14 PM UTC0:00
Where do the Trump Voters go that won't be voting for Robinson?
Most likely place for Trump votes to go?
Mike Ross (L) or other third party 5 (62.5%)
Not voting in the Governor Race 2 (25%)
Josh Stein (D) 0 (0%)
8 Votes Cast
Polls Close October 01, 2024 12:00am

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
Tue, September 24, 2024 05:33:19 PM UTC0:00
Jason: A mix of the three. There will be Trump-Stein voters just as there were Trump-Cooper voters. There will also be some otherwise reliable Republican voters who leave the Governor's race blank or vote third party.

I don't disagree. Maybe I should have posted the question - where do MOST of the Trump votes go?

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
Tue, September 24, 2024 06:20:45 PM UTC0:00
Frankly, I think very few Trump voters will choose not to vote for Robinson because of his online activities. After all, they are already voting for a racist pathological liar who has cheated on all 3 of his wives - if they are OK with that, voting for Robinson is not such a big deal.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
x3
Wed, September 25, 2024 01:29:03 AM UTC0:00
Republicans had their star candidate, then the dirt came out.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
x2 x2
Wed, September 25, 2024 06:20:04 AM UTC0:00
Stein doesn't deserve to be Governor, but Republicans should also be embarrassed of their candidate. Pick your poison North Carolina.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Thu, September 26, 2024 01:45:11 AM UTC0:00
When was the last time that a Democrat was elected Governor of a state and that was the first office they ever sought ?.

 
D:10384hammer101peeps ( 0.0000 points)
Thu, September 26, 2024 03:28:11 AM UTC0:00
Wes Moore in Maryland literally not even two years ago

 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 50.8295 points)
Sat, September 28, 2024 04:24:09 AM UTC0:00
I personally do not think Robinson will hurt Trump's chances in NC. Sununu won by 30%+ in 2020 and Trump lost by 10%.

 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -154.3857 points)
Sat, September 28, 2024 05:23:00 AM UTC0:00
The Fixer: I personally do not think Robinson will hurt Trump's chances in NC. Sununu won by 30%+ in 2020 and Trump lost by 10%.

Sununu and Trump have never been exactly close like Trump and Robinson though. I don't know if they've ever even been in the same room together.

 
I:11727LSjustbloggin ( 99.8770 points)
Sat, September 28, 2024 07:59:41 PM UTC0:00
Even if Stein wins, Republicans will still have control of the legislature and he'll have to deal with them. He won't pass their agenda, but they won't pass his agenda.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
Sat, September 28, 2024 11:54:34 PM UTC0:00
New Hampshire and North Carolina both have over 35% of their voters registered unaffiliated, but I suspect that NH voters are a tad more prone to ticket split than NC voters

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 02:26:20 AM UTC0:00
I'd say Stein gets Best Politician of the Year, BUT ngl this was too easy

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