Changed my prediction from Slight Stein to Lean Stein. Will Stein's good performance (if he ultimately does end up having a good performance, which I think he will) here help Harris and other Democrats who are down-ballot? I upped my as well to lean the other day. All the recent elections have been so close...Roy won with just a over 51% for re-election. IF Stein wins with more or even over 52% that will be a tremendous result. It's not that improbable in my opinion, here in Pennsylvania Shapiro won by double-digits against Mastriano, and PA 2022 and NC 2024 have a lot of similarities. Shapiro = Stein and Mastriano = Robinson Then again, North Carolina is more right-wing than Pennsylvania is, and on top of that Trump is on the ballot this year, so it won't be double-digits but I think it will be a good 4-6 point Stein win, if, of course, all of the dynamics stay the same from now until November.

Shapiro = Stein and Mastriano = Robinson Then again, North Carolina is more right-wing than Pennsylvania is, and on top of that Trump is on the ballot this year, so it won't be double-digits but I think it will be a good 4-6 point Stein win, if, of course, all of the dynamics stay the same from now until November. Certainly looking that way now. Curious if we will start to notice a poll drift from Robinson to Ross.

Shapiro = Stein and Mastriano = Robinson Then again, North Carolina is more right-wing than Pennsylvania is, and on top of that Trump is on the ballot this year, so it won't be double-digits but I think it will be a good 4-6 point Stein win, if, of course, all of the dynamics stay the same from now until November. Certainly looking that way now. Curious if we will start to notice a poll drift from Robinson to Ross. Yeah, I imagine there is a significant group of Republicans who can't stomach Robinson getting elected but also aren't huge fans of Stein, either. These guys are a good group for Ross to appeal too. Ross will probably end up getting 3-4% of the vote, which is still pretty high for a libertarian.

Stein will definitely top all the Democrats running statewide.

I wonder what the outcome of elections would be if there was no television and radio advertising whatsoever. People get their political news from the internet nowadays.

Supposedly there's a REALLY bad article about to come out about Robinson (more than what we already know, geez!) and the NC GOP is scrambling to ry and replace him here.

Print shops here must be making tons of money from all the ballot reprints.

The deadline to remove Robinson’s name from the ballot already has passed. https://www.carolinajournal.com/robinson-under-pressure-to-withdraw-from-gubernatorial-race/ I'm sure the GOP NC Supreme Court will override this.

https://x.com/acnewsitics/status/1836808456407331234

According to Politico, its a "Sexual" story............ https://twitter.com/NewsWire_US/status/1836799212962668603 I can think of MANY routes that can lead....

https://x.com/BryanRAnderson/status/1836835688450511193

Opposition research must have been non-existent in 2020.

The CNN article: https://www.cnn.com/2024/09/19/politics/kfile-mark-robinson-black-nazi-pro-slavery-porn-forum

Seems like he's the same psychotic, racist (in so many weird ways), religious fundamentalist pervert and hypocrite we already knew he was.

The porn comments are whatever, but the whole self-described "black Nazi" comment has to be thoroughly disqualifying. The GOP of the 90s would un-endorse him as they did with David Duke. We'll see if they do today, but I somehow doubt it. Regardless, it will be interesting to see if Vinny Smith or Mike Ross emerges as the de facto Republican candidate, kind of like Tom Tancredo did in 2010.

Commenting he is a Black Nazi on Transgender Porn is 100% gonna kill his bid. YESSSS GROVEL MARK

upon doing a search, Mark Robinson doesn't have an account on here, at least not under his most used username

The dominoes are beginning to fall... https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/crime/lt-gov-mark-robinson-under-pressure-to-withdraw-from-nc-s-governor-s-race-cnn-reports/ar-AA1qRyzx

He already stated he has no intention to drop out. Things can change as the hours get closer but it looks like they will be continuing

He already stated he has no intention to drop out. Things can change as the hours get closer but it looks like they will be continuing While I don't think he will drop out, Biden had the same exact demeanor and look where we are at now....so we will see.

Okay, I'll admit it: Mark Robinson calling himself a black Nazi on trans porn was definitely not on my bingo card. Well played sir.

Mark was simply playing the long game to help Democrats win

Call it revenge for Cal Cunningham.

Man if only the DSCC and NC Dem Party didn't push out the one guy who woulda probably won BOTH senate seats prior... image:(300x460)//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d3/JeffJackson2019.jpeg/800px-JeffJackson2019.jpeg

self-described "black Nazi" comment has to be thoroughly disqualifying Not the "Let's bring slavery back, it's not bad and I want to own slaves"? having sex with his sister-in-law Reportedly he also has an account on Ashley Madison. While I don't think he will drop out, Biden had the same exact demeanor and look where we are at now....so we will see. Republicans nowadays are much more shameless than Democrats.