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  ARG President - Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Argentina > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline June 24, 2023 - 10:00pm Central
Polls Open August 13, 2023 - 05:00am Central
Polls Close August 13, 2023 - 03:00pm Central
Term Start December 10, 2023 - 06:00am
Term End December 10, 2027 - 03:00pm
# Winners5
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedE Pluribus Unum August 14, 2023 10:26am
Data Sources[Link]
Description [Link]
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyFrente de Todos Won10/27/2019
NameAlberto Fernández Votes12,945,990 (48.24%)
Term12/10/2019 - 12/10/2023 Margin2,134,645 (+7.95%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyLa Libertad Avanza Won11/19/2023
NameJavier Milei Votes14,476,462 (55.69%)
Term12/10/2023 - 12/10/2027 Margin2,960,320 (+11.39%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceARG President - Runoff 11/19/2023
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
08/12/2023 08/13/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Sergio Massa --1 ----
Leaning Call: Sergio Massa (100.00%)
Weighted Call: 0 (0.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/25/2023 06/27/2023

CANDIDATES (5 Winners)
Photo
Name Javier Milei Economy Minister Sergio Massa Patricia Bullrich Gov. Juan Schiaretti Myriam Bregman Horacio Rodríguez Larreta Juan Grabois
PartyLa Libertad Avanza Unión por la Patria Juntos por el Cambio Hacemos por Nuestro País Left and Worker's Front-Unity Juntos por el Cambio Unión por la Patria
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (97.40% in) 7,116,352 (31.57%) 5,070,104 (22.49%) 4,022,466 (17.85%) 907,437 (4.03%) 442,085 (1.96%) 2,675,563 (11.87%) 1,390,585 (6.17%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,046,248 (-9.08%) -3,093,886 (-13.73%) -6,208,915 (-27.55%) -6,674,267 (-29.61%) -4,440,789 (-19.70%) -5,725,767 (-25.40%)
Estimated Final7,301,592 (31.57%) 5,202,080 (22.49%) 4,127,172 (17.85%) 931,057 (4.03%) 453,592 (1.96%) 2,745,208 (11.87%) 1,426,782 (6.17%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 06/10/2022 06/23/2023 06/07/2022 05/02/2023 02/01/2023 02/23/2023 06/23/2023
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg21.68%-- 24.16%-- 14.35%-- 3.59%-- 1.99%-- 13.55%-- 5.06%--
CB Consultora 
06/25/23-06/27/23
17.20% -- 24.10% -- 17.30% -- 3.30% -- 1.50% -- 16.50% -- 5.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Gabriel Solano Guillermo Moreno Jesús Escobar Manuela Castañeira Marcelo Ramal Santiago Cúneo Cesar Biondini
PartyLeft and Worker's Front-Unity Principles and Values Free Movement of the South Nuevo MAS Política Obrera Youth and Dignity Left Movement Patriotic Front
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (97.40% in) 186,808 (0.83%) 183,135 (0.81%) 154,338 (0.69%) 85,628 (0.38%) 62,404 (0.28%) 56,226 (0.25%) 50,842 (0.23%)
Margin-6,929,544 (-30.74%) -6,933,217 (-30.76%) -6,962,014 (-30.89%) -7,030,724 (-31.19%) -7,053,948 (-31.30%) -7,060,126 (-31.32%) -7,065,510 (-31.35%)
Estimated Final191,670 (0.83%) 187,902 (0.81%) 158,355 (0.69%) 87,856 (0.38%) 64,028 (0.28%) 57,689 (0.25%) 52,165 (0.23%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date 02/11/2023 06/24/2023 06/24/2023 06/24/2023 06/24/2023 06/24/2023 06/25/2023
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.59%-- 0.51%-- 0.66%-- 0.37%-- 0.26%-- 0.00%-- 0.21%--
CB Consultora 
06/25/23-06/27/23
0.10% -- 2.30% -- 0.20% -- 0.10% -- 0.10% -- 0.00% -- 0.10% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 13 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Elisa Carrió (JxC)
May 24, 2023 - Jun 24, 2023
José Luis Espert (JxC)
May 13, 2023 - Jun 24, 2023
Celeste Fierro (MST-N)
Feb 18, 2023 - Jun 24, 2023
Claudio Lozano (UP)
Jun 24, 2023
Facundo Manés (JxC)
Jan 28, 2023 - Jun 24, 2023
Eduardo "Wado" de Pedro (UxP)
Jun 22, 2023 - Jun 23, 2023
Gabriel Mariotto (UxP)
Jun 23, 2023
Daniel Scioli (UxP)
Jun 23, 2023 - Jun 23, 2023
Juan Luis Manzur (UxP)
Jun 22, 2023
Gerardo Morales (JxC)
Mar 15, 2023 - Jun 22, 2023
Miguel Ángel Pichetto (ERF)
Jun 22, 2023
Agustín Rossi (UxP)
May 29, 2023 - Jun 22, 2023
Alberto Rodríguez Saá (CF)
Mar 23, 2023 - Jun 11, 2023
Juan Manuel Urtubey (P3P)
Jun 07, 2023
Lionel Messi (?)
Jun 05, 2023
María Eugenia Vidal (JxC)
May 04, 2023
Alberto Fernández (FdT)
Apr 21, 2023
Mauricio Macri (JxC)
Mar 26, 2023
Cristina Fernández de Kirchner (FdT)
Dec 06, 2022
Nicolás del Caño (FIT)
Jun 26, 2022

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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Aug 14, 2023 08:00pm News Hard-right 'tantric sex instructor' takes shock lead in Argentina's general election  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
18
Previous Messages]
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Fri, April 21, 2023 07:11:25 PM UTC0:00
Both a Massive Gamechanger but also a tiny footnote at the same time

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Fri, June 23, 2023 08:45:53 PM UTC0:00
A number of departures today and yesterday, including a surprise withdrawal from presumed UP frontrunner Sergio Massa [Link]

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Fri, June 23, 2023 08:49:40 PM UTC0:00
I was literally just on my way to publicly backing Grabois

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Fri, June 23, 2023 09:04:09 PM UTC0:00
Looks like there's an attempt to wipe the UP floor for Kirchner's favorite Eduardo " Wado" de Pedro, who announced yesterday. Pressure's on rival and anti-kirchnerista Daniel Scioli, who just announced today [Link]

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Sat, June 24, 2023 04:51:10 AM UTC0:00
Ok so: Big bombshell....

Apparently somehow the Union for Patria decided to make Massa the candidate [Link] , and now Wado/Scioli are backing out of the race. And due to this weird circumstance, Grabois is going to re-enter the race solo

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Sat, June 24, 2023 07:19:05 PM UTC0:00
They're calling it an anti-kirchnerist revolution. Fernández finds his backbone [Link] They're giving Scioli top honors for daring to defy Christina. The end of Kirchnerism, thank God!

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Sat, June 24, 2023 07:47:37 PM UTC0:00
So who's left to primary?

Horacio Rodríguez Larreta and Patricia Bullrich paw it out for the Juntos title (I predict Larreta wins by a technical knockout).

Raúl Castells and Santiago Cuneo battle it out for the Liber.ar Front nomination (I see Castells getting sucker-punched by Cuneo).

Myriam Bregman and Gabriel Solano battle for the FIT-U nod (Southpaw Bregman will canvas Solano).

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, July 26, 2023 01:12:49 AM UTC0:00
IDK if this is an endorsement or not, some list this as a Prez Campaign Event for Juan, others say otherwise.



Here is a link to the event, if something in it guarantees an endorsement we can put it in [Link]

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Mon, August 14, 2023 12:48:27 AM UTC0:00
This is the site that allegedly will have the results
[Link]

Argentine Media is already reporting that Milei might be the 1st place winner in the primary, albiet with les votes than the other 2 parties 2 candidates combined

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Mon, August 14, 2023 03:41:44 AM UTC0:00
I'm sort of wonderstruck by Milei's strength tonight. Argentina's political map is draped by shades of Milei's purple (where have these people been hiding?). I also didn't expect Bullrich to cream Larreta (who just conceded), or the JxC to double the UP in CABA, or Massa to suffer a voter turn-out decline.

A Milei v Bullrich 2nd round?

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Mon, August 14, 2023 03:45:54 AM UTC0:00
BTW, great work mg2685a and E Pluribus painstakingly inputting the vote on the board. Never fun.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Mon, August 14, 2023 04:17:23 AM UTC0:00
Argentina's headlines generally look like this: [Link] A real thunderclap.