Poll Average Details- ARG President - Primary - 2023-08-13 15:00:00

The Poll Average is a weighted and adjusted number.
[Mid Date Column] All times are calculated by the middle date of the poll if it spans multiple days.
A time window of 2 months prior to the most recent poll is used.
[Time Weight Column] Polls are weighted in the amount they contribute to the final results in a linear fashion in this time window - the newest poll has a weight of 1, a poll 30 days prior will have a weight of 0.5 and a poll 60 days out will have a weight of 0. If the same pollster has more than one poll in this time period, only the newest will be used.
[Internal Column] If a poll is marked as being an internal poll for one of the candidates, it's weight will be halved.
[Candidate Columns, Bias] OurCampaigns has calculated partisan bias figures for all Polling Firms based on data from final vote totals in races they have polled. These amounts are subtracted from the poll result - in the case the bias figure is negative it will effectively be added to the poll result and appear as two dashes (minus a negative = plus). [TOTAL Row] The adjusted weights are summed for each poll result and the adjusted poll results for each candidate are multiplied by the poll weight and then summed. Each candidate's poll sum is divided by their weight sum to give the total.

PollMid DateTime WeightInternal Sergio Massa Javier Milei Patricia Bullrich Horacio Rodríguez Larreta Juan Grabois Juan Schiaretti Myriam Bregman Jesús Escobar Gabriel Solano Guillermo Moreno Manuela Castañeira Marcelo Ramal Cesar Biondini Mempo Giardinelli Raúl Castells Reina Ibáñez Nazareno Etchepare Santiago Cúneo Ramiro Vasena Raúl Albarracin Andrés Passamonti Martín Ayerbe Jorge Oliver Paula Arias Carina Bartolini Eliodoro Martínez Julio Bárbaro
CB Consultora6/27X 1.00000   24.1000 - -0.0573 bias 17.2000 - -4.4775 bias 17.3000 - 2.9500 bias 16.5000 - 2.9500 bias 5.0000 - -0.0573 bias 3.3000 - -0.2929 bias 1.5000 - -0.4901 bias 0.2000 - -0.4585 bias 0.1000 - -0.4901 bias 2.3000 - 1.7893 bias 0.1000 - -0.2668 bias 0.1000 - -0.1637 bias 0.1000 - -0.1124 bias 0.2000 - 0.1742 bias                         0.4000 - 0.4278 bias
TOTAL 24.157300 21.677500 14.350000 13.550000 5.057300 3.592900 1.990100 0.658500 0.590100 0.510700 0.366800 0.263700 0.212400 0.025800 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 0.000000 -0.027800