Home About Chat Users Issues Party Candidates Polling Firms Media News Polls Calendar Key Races United States President Senate House Governors International

New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource." 
Email: Password:

  Trafalgar Group
POLLING FIRM DETAILS
Websitehttps://www.thetrafalgargroup.org
Polls Conducted270
Points843.6964
AffiliationIndependent
Last ModifiedBrentinCO August 28, 2020 02:07pm
DescriptionFrom Presidential and major statewide campaigns to market research, we have delivered quality polling results to candidates and businesses at all levels. We were named the best polling firm of 2016 presidential race, and this year, Real Clear Politics called us “the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.”

Race Polls Conducted
Race Results Polls
2022-11-08 20:00:00
WI US Senate
  Ron Johnson 1,337,185 50.41%
  Mandela Barnes 1,310,467 49.41%
  Write-In 4,758 0.18%
  Adam Nicholas Paul 67 0.00%
09/15/2022-09/19/2022 (4.80% Undecided)
  Ron Johnson 48.7000 51.04  +0.62 +4.3643
  Mandela Barnes 46.5000 48.73  -0.67 +4.2565
TOTAL +8.6208
08/22/2022-08/25/2022 (3.50% Undecided)
  Mandela Barnes 49.4000 51.13  +1.72
  Ron Johnson 47.1000 48.75  -1.66
2022-11-08 20:00:00
WI Governor
  Tony Evers 1,358,774 51.15%
  Tim Michels 1,268,535 47.75%
  Joan Beglinger 27,198 1.02%
  Write-In 1,879 0.07%
  Seth Haskins 104 0.00%
11/02/2022-11/04/2022 (2.00% Undecided)
  Tim Michels 50.0000 51.00  +3.25 +2.4163
  Tony Evers 48.0000 48.96  -2.19 +3.3767
TOTAL +5.7930
09/15/2022-09/19/2022 (5.30% Undecided)
  Tim Michels 47.7000 50.23  +2.48
  Tony Evers 47.0000 49.49  -1.66
08/22/2022-08/25/2022 (4.50% Undecided)
  Tony Evers 48.0000 50.16  -0.99
  Tim Michels 47.5000 49.64  +1.89
2022-11-08 18:30:00
OH Governor
  Mike DeWine 2,580,424 62.41%
  Nan Whaley 1,545,489 37.38%
  Marshall Usher 8,082 0.20%
  Timothy Grady 574 0.01%
  Renea Turner 231 0.01%
  Craig Patton 77 0.00%
11/03/2022-11/05/2022 (7.00% Undecided)
  Mike DeWine 59.0000 63.13  +0.72 +5.1980
  Nan Whaley 34.0000 36.38  -1.00 +3.1387
TOTAL +8.3367
08/16/2022-08/19/2022 (8.30% Undecided)
  Mike DeWine 53.8000 58.27  -4.14
  Nan Whaley 37.9000 41.05  +3.67
2022-11-08 18:30:00
OH US Senate
  JD Vance 2,192,114 53.03%
  Tim Ryan 1,939,489 46.92%
  John Cheng 702 0.02%
  Shane Hoffman 403 0.01%
  LaShondra Tinsley 362 0.01%
  Stephen Faris 194 0.00%
  Matthew R. Esh 78 0.00%
08/16/2022-08/19/2022 (5.60% Undecided)
  JD Vance 49.5000 52.27  -0.76 +4.4690
  Tim Ryan 44.9000 47.41  +0.49 +4.1916
TOTAL +8.6607
2022-11-08 20:00:00
CO Governor
  Jared Polis 1,468,481 58.53%
  Heidi Ganahl 983,040 39.18%
  Kevin R. Ruskusky 28,939 1.15%
  Danielle Neuschwanger 21,623 0.86%
  Paul Fiorino 6,687 0.27%
  Zachary Varon 52 0.00%
  Paul Willmon 8 0.00%
10/30/2022-11/01/2022 (5.00% Undecided)
  Jared Polis 50.0000 52.50  -6.03 +1.3683
  Heidi Ganahl 43.0000 45.15  +5.97 -0.0391
  Kevin R. Ruskusky 2.0000 2.10  +0.95 +0.4555
TOTAL +1.7846
09/20/2022-09/24/2022 (8.10% Undecided)
  Jared Polis 49.2000 53.19  -5.35
  Heidi Ganahl 40.7000 44.00  +4.81
  Kevin R. Ruskusky 2.0000 2.16  +1.01
08/15/2022-08/19/2022 (6.80% Undecided)
  Jared Polis 46.8000 49.98  -8.55
  Heidi Ganahl 42.1000 44.96  +5.78
  Kevin R. Ruskusky 4.3000 4.59  +3.44
2022-11-08 20:00:00
CO US Senate
  Michael Bennet 1,397,170 55.88%
  Joe O'Dea 1,031,693 41.26%
  Brian Peotter 43,534 1.74%
  T. J. Cole 16,379 0.66%
  Frank Atwood 11,354 0.45%
  Tom Harvey 29 0.00%
  Joanne Rock 25 0.00%
  John Carleton Rutledge 9 0.00%
  Robert Messman 8 0.00%
10/30/2022-11/01/2022 (4.00% Undecided)
  Michael Bennet 48.0000 49.92  -5.96 +1.2163
  Joe O'Dea 46.0000 47.84  +6.58 -0.2889
  Brian Peotter 2.0000 2.08  +0.34 +0.9047
TOTAL +1.8321
09/20/2022-09/24/2022 (5.20% Undecided)
  Michael Bennet 48.6000 51.13  -4.76
  Joe O'Dea 42.6000 44.82  +3.55
  Brian Peotter 3.6000 3.79  +2.05
08/15/2022-08/19/2022 (5.80% Undecided)
  Michael Bennet 47.4000 50.15  -5.73
  Joe O'Dea 41.6000 44.01  +2.75
  Brian Peotter 5.2000 5.50  +3.76
2022-11-08 19:00:00
PA US Senate
  John K. Fetterman 2,751,012 51.25%
  Mehmet C. Oz 2,487,260 46.33%
  Erik Gerhardt 72,887 1.36%
  Richard L. Weiss 30,434 0.57%
  Daniel Wassmer 26,428 0.49%
  Quincy Magee 0 0.00%
  Write-In 0 0.00%
  Ronald Johnson 0 0.00%
  Osborne G. Hart 0 0.00%
08/14/2022-08/18/2022 (6.30% Undecided)
  John K. Fetterman 48.4000 51.45  +0.20 +4.7096
  Mehmet C. Oz 43.5000 46.24  -0.09 +4.4123
  Erik Gerhardt 1.8000 1.91  +0.56 +0.7314
TOTAL +9.8533
2022-11-08 19:00:00
PA Governor
  Josh Shapiro 3,031,137 56.49%
  Douglas V. "Doug" Mastriano 2,238,477 41.71%
  Matt Hackenburg 51,611 0.96%
  Christina Digiulio 24,436 0.46%
  Joseph P. Soloski 20,518 0.38%
  Write-In 0 0.00%
  Candace Wagner 0 0.00%
08/14/2022-08/18/2022 (5.60% Undecided)
  Josh Shapiro 48.6000 51.32  -5.16 +1.7935
  Douglas V. "Doug" Mastriano 44.7000 47.20  +5.49 +0.4695
  Matt Hackenburg 1.1000 1.16  +0.20 +0.9389
TOTAL +3.2020
2022-11-08 18:30:00
NC US Senate
  Ted Budd 1,905,786 50.50%
  Cheri Beasley 1,784,049 47.27%
  Shannon Bray 51,640 1.37%
  Matthew Hoh 29,934 0.79%
  Write-In 2,378 0.06%
  Michelle Estelle Lewis 137 0.00%
09/01/2022-09/04/2022 (6.90% Undecided)
  Ted Budd 46.6000 49.82  -0.68 +4.3318
  Cheri Beasley 43.8000 46.82  -0.45 +4.2449
  Shannon Bray 1.8000 1.92  +0.56 +0.7320
  Matthew Hoh 0.9000 0.96  +0.17 +0.9469
TOTAL +10.2557
06/29/2022-07/01/2022 (5.30% Undecided)
  Ted Budd 47.6000 50.12  -0.38
  Cheri Beasley 45.1000 47.49  +0.22
  Shannon Bray 2.0000 2.11  +0.74
2022-06-28 19:00:00
IL Governor - R Primary
  Darren Bailey 458,102 57.48%
  Jesse Sullivan 125,094 15.69%
  Richard C. Irvin 119,592 15.00%
  Gary Rabine 52,194 6.55%
  Paul Schimpf 34,676 4.35%
  Max Solomon 7,371 0.92%
06/10/2022-06/13/2022 (16.00% Undecided)
  Darren Bailey 38.0000 44.08  -13.40 -3.6198
  Richard C. Irvin 20.0000 23.20  +8.20 -3.3382
  Jesse Sullivan 12.0000 13.92  -1.77 +0.9938
  Gary Rabine 8.0000 9.28  +2.73 -0.3298
  Paul Schimpf 5.0000 5.80  +1.45 +0.3600
  Max Solomon 1.0000 1.16  +0.24 +0.9126
TOTAL -5.0215
2022-06-28 19:00:00
IL US Senate - R Primary
  Kathy Salvi 216,007 30.23%
  Peggy Hubbard 177,180 24.79%
  Matthew Dubiel 90,538 12.67%
  Casey Chlebek 76,213 10.66%
  Bobby Piton 65,461 9.16%
  Anthony W. Williams 52,890 7.40%
  Jimmy Lee Tillman, II 36,342 5.09%
06/10/2022-06/13/2022 (48.00% Undecided)
  Peggy Hubbard 18.0000 26.64  +1.85 +1.6283
  Kathy Salvi 15.0000 22.20  -8.03 -2.0839
  Casey Chlebek 6.0000 8.88  -1.78 +0.6101
  Bobby Piton 6.0000 8.88  -0.28 +1.5003
  Matthew Dubiel 4.0000 5.92  -6.75 -2.5493
  Jimmy Lee Tillman, II 2.0000 2.96  -2.13 -0.0355
  Anthony W. Williams 1.0000 1.48  -5.92 -2.3923
TOTAL -3.3224
2022-06-14 18:00:00
SC District 07 - R Primary
  Russell Fry 43,509 51.06%
  Tom Rice 20,927 24.56%
  Barbara Arthur 10,481 12.30%
  Ken Richardson 6,021 7.07%
  Garrett Barton 2,154 2.53%
  Mark McBride 1,676 1.97%
  Spencer A. Morris 444 0.52%
05/26/2022-05/29/2022 (6.80% Undecided)
  Russell Fry 42.4000 45.28  -5.78 +0.9785
  Tom Rice 24.9000 26.59  +2.03 +1.4856
  Barbara Arthur 9.8000 10.47  -1.83 +0.7002
  Ken Richardson 9.6000 10.25  +3.19 -0.5947
  Garrett Barton 2.9000 3.10  +0.57 +0.8100
  Spencer A. Morris 2.1000 2.24  +1.72 -0.1088
  Mark McBride 1.5000 1.60  -0.36 +0.9043
TOTAL +4.1751
2022-08-02 21:00:00
AZ Governor - R Primary
  Kari Lake 398,860 47.97%
  Karrin Taylor Robson 358,682 43.14%
  Scott Neely 25,876 3.11%
  Paola "Z" Tulliani-Zen 17,281 2.08%
  Carlos Roldan 42 0.01%
  Alex Schatz 39 0.00%
  Patrick Finerd 24 0.00%
04/25/2022-04/28/2022 (14.00% Undecided)
  Kari Lake 38.0000 43.32  -4.65 +1.4988
  Karrin Taylor Robson 27.0000 30.78  -12.36 -4.0023
  Matthew J. "Matt" Salmon 11.0000 12.54  +12.54 -7.3600
  Steve Gaynor 6.0000 6.84  +6.84 -3.5600
  Scott Neely 2.0000 2.28  -0.83 +0.6788
  Paola "Z" Tulliani-Zen 2.0000 2.28  +0.20 +1.0214
TOTAL -11.7234
2022-06-14 21:00:00
NV Governor - R Primary
  Joe Lombardo 87,761 38.40%
  Joey Gilbert 61,738 27.01%
  Dean Heller 32,087 14.04%
  John Lee 17,846 7.81%
  Guy Nohra 8,348 3.65%
  Fred Simon 6,856 3.00%
  Thomas Heck 4,315 1.89%
  None of These Candidates 4,219 1.85%
  Edward "Eddie" Hamilton 1,293 0.57%
  Amber Whitley 1,238 0.54%
  William "Dock" Walls, III 833 0.36%
  Gary "Radar" Evertsen 558 0.24%
  Seven Achilles Evans 475 0.21%
  Edward E. O'Brien 422 0.18%
  Barak Zilberberg 352 0.15%
  Stanleigh Harold "Stan" Lusak 229 0.10%
04/25/2022-04/28/2022 (13.00% Undecided)
  Joe Lombardo 26.0000 29.38  -9.02 -2.1308
  Joey Gilbert 18.0000 20.34  -6.67 -1.4212
  Dean Heller 18.0000 20.34  +6.30 -2.1484
  John Lee 13.0000 14.69  +6.88 -3.0026
  Guy Nohra 9.0000 10.17  +6.52 -3.0712
  Fred Simon 3.0000 3.39  +0.39 +0.9646
TOTAL -10.8096
2022-05-17 18:30:00
NC US Senate - R Primary
  Ted Budd 448,128 58.61%
  Patrick L. "Pat" McCrory 188,135 24.60%
  Mark Walker 70,486 9.22%
  Marjorie K. Eastman 22,535 2.95%
  David T. Flaherty Jr. 7,265 0.95%
  Kenneth Harper, Jr. 7,129 0.93%
  Jennifer "Jen" Banwart 3,088 0.40%
  Charles K. Moss 2,920 0.38%
  Leonard L. Bryant 2,906 0.38%
  Benjamin E. Griffiths 2,870 0.38%
  Debora Tshiovo 2,741 0.36%
  Lee A. Brian 2,232 0.29%
  Lichia Sibhatu 2,191 0.29%
  Drew Bulecza 2,022 0.26%
04/23/2022-04/25/2022 (4.10% Undecided)
  Ted Budd 52.9000 55.07  -3.54 +3.0375
  Patrick L. "Pat" McCrory 28.8000 29.98  +5.38 -0.7391
  Mark Walker 8.3000 8.64  -0.58 +1.3062
  Marjorie K. Eastman 5.9000 6.14  +3.19 -0.9088
TOTAL +2.6957
2022-08-02 19:00:00
MI Governor - R Primary
  Tudor M. Dixon 436,350 39.69%
  Kevin Rinke 236,306 21.50%
  Garrett Soldano 192,442 17.51%
  Ryan D. Kelley 165,587 15.06%
  Ralph Rebandt 45,046 4.10%
  James E. Craig 23,521 2.14%
  Elizabeth Ann Adkisson 11 0.00%
  Justin Paul Blackburn 10 0.00%
07/31/2022-08/01/2022 (10.70% Undecided)
  Tudor M. Dixon 40.6000 44.94  +5.25 +0.4772
  Kevin Rinke 19.4000 21.48  -0.02 +2.5984
  Garrett Soldano 17.7000 19.59  +2.09 +0.9212
  Ryan D. Kelley 9.8000 10.85  -4.21 -0.6801
  Ralph Rebandt 1.8000 1.99  -2.11 -0.0961
TOTAL +3.2207
07/26/2022-07/28/2022 (19.30% Undecided)
  Tudor M. Dixon 28.4000 33.88  -5.81
  Garrett Soldano 19.2000 22.91  +5.40
  Kevin Rinke 16.7000 19.92  -1.57
  Ryan D. Kelley 13.6000 16.22  +1.16
  Ralph Rebandt 2.8000 3.34  -0.76
  James E. Craig 0.0000 0.00  -2.14
03/29/2022-03/31/2022 (20.80% Undecided)
  James E. Craig 34.4000 41.56  +39.42
  Perry Johnson 16.1000 19.45  +19.45
  Garrett Soldano 14.7000 17.76  +0.25
  Ryan D. Kelley 6.8000 8.21  -6.85
  Tudor M. Dixon 2.6000 3.14  -36.55
  Michael Brown 2.3000 2.78  +2.78
  Kevin Rinke 2.3000 2.78  -18.72
2022-11-08 19:00:00
MO US Senate
  Eric Schmitt 1,146,966 55.43%
  Trudy Busch Valentine 872,694 42.18%
  Jonathan Dine 34,821 1.68%
  Paul Venable 14,608 0.71%
  Nathan Mooney 14 0.00%
  Steve Price 9 0.00%
  Rik Combs 6 0.00%
  Gina Bufe 5 0.00%
  Theodis "Ted" Brown, Sr. 4 0.00%
  David Kirk 3 0.00%
  Martin "Mad Dog" Lindstedt 0 0.00%
10/30/2022-11/01/2022 (2.30% Undecided)
  Eric Schmitt 53.3000 54.53  -0.91 +4.5532
  Trudy Busch Valentine 42.3000 43.27  +1.10 +3.4326
  Jonathan Dine 2.1000 2.15  +0.47 +0.8159
TOTAL +8.8017
03/09/2022-03/13/2022 (5.00% Undecided)
  Eric Greitens 46.0000 48.30  +48.30
  Lucas Kunce 45.1000 47.36  +47.36
  Eric Schmitt 54.9000 57.64  +2.21
  Lucas Kunce 40.1000 42.11  +42.11
  Vicky Hartzler 56.2000 59.01  +59.01
  Lucas Kunce 38.7000 40.64  +40.64
  Eric Greitens 45.2000 47.46  +47.46
  Scott Sifton 45.0000 47.25  +47.25
  Eric Schmitt 54.4000 57.12  +1.69
  Scott Sifton 39.5000 41.48  +41.48
  Vicky Hartzler 56.7000 59.54  +59.54
  Scott Sifton 37.2000 39.06  +39.06
2022-08-02 19:00:00
MO US Senate - R Primary
  Eric Schmitt 299,282 45.64%
  Vicky Hartzler 144,903 22.10%
  Eric Greitens 124,155 18.94%
  Billy Long 32,603 4.97%
  Mark McCloskey 19,540 2.98%
  Dave Schatz 7,509 1.15%
  Patrick A. Lewis 6,085 0.93%
  Curtis D. Vaughn 3,451 0.53%
  Eric James McElroy 2,805 0.43%
  Robert Allen 2,111 0.32%
  C. W. Gardner 2,044 0.31%
  Dave Sims 1,949 0.30%
  Bernie Mowinski 1,602 0.24%
  Deshon Porter 1,574 0.24%
  Darrell Leon McClanahan III 1,139 0.17%
  Rickey Joiner 1,084 0.17%
  Robert Olson 1,081 0.16%
  Dennis Lee Chilton 755 0.12%
  Russel P. Breyfogle, Jr. 685 0.10%
  Kevin C. Schepers 681 0.10%
  Hartford Tunnell 637 0.10%
05/16/2022-05/18/2022 (16.70% Undecided)
  Eric Greitens 26.1000 30.46  +11.52 -5.2620
  Vicky Hartzler 23.4000 27.31  +5.21 -0.8145
  Eric Schmitt 18.9000 22.06  -23.59 -11.3023
  Billy Long 9.1000 10.62  +5.65 -2.3919
  Mark McCloskey 3.2000 3.73  +0.75 +0.7207
  Dave Schatz 2.6000 3.03  +1.89 -0.1734
TOTAL -19.2235
02/22/2022-02/24/2022 (17.20% Undecided)
  Eric Greitens 30.5000 35.75  +16.81
  Eric Schmitt 23.0000 26.96  -18.69
  Vicky Hartzler 16.6000 19.46  -2.64
  Billy Long 6.0000 7.03  +2.06
  Mark McCloskey 4.6000 5.39  +2.41
  Dave Schatz 2.1000 2.46  +1.32
2022-05-24 18:00:00
GA Governor - R Primary
  Brian Kemp 888,078 73.72%
  David Perdue 262,389 21.78%
  Kandiss Taylor 41,232 3.42%
  Catherine Davis 9,788 0.81%
  Tom Williams 3,255 0.27%
02/11/2022-02/13/2022 (8.40% Undecided)
  Brian Kemp 49.1000 53.22  -20.49 -7.1319
  David Perdue 39.5000 42.82  +21.04 -11.3921
  Kandiss Taylor 3.0000 3.25  -0.17 +1.1430
TOTAL -17.3809
2022-05-03 18:30:00
OH Governor - R Primary
  Mike DeWine 519,594 48.11%
  Jim Renacci 302,494 28.01%
  Joe Blystone 235,584 21.81%
  Ron Hood 22,411 2.07%
04/13/2022-04/14/2022 (9.50% Undecided)
  Mike DeWine 39.6000 43.36  -4.74 +1.4448
  Jim Renacci 25.9000 28.36  +0.35 +2.8645
  Joe Blystone 23.5000 25.73  +3.92 +0.0220
  Ron Hood 1.5000 1.64  -0.43 +0.8673
TOTAL +5.1986
02/01/2022-02/04/2022 (16.10% Undecided)
  Mike DeWine 40.9000 47.48  -0.62
  Jim Renacci 22.8000 26.47  -1.54
  Joe Blystone 20.2000 23.45  +1.64
Next 20-->

Approval Polls Conducted
Candidate Poll (Approve/Disapprove/Don't Know)
Next 20-->