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  Trafalgar Group
POLLING FIRM DETAILS
Websitehttps://www.thetrafalgargroup.org
Polls Conducted266
Points642.8744
AffiliationIndependent
Last ModifiedBrentinCO August 28, 2020 02:07pm
DescriptionFrom Presidential and major statewide campaigns to market research, we have delivered quality polling results to candidates and businesses at all levels. We were named the best polling firm of 2016 presidential race, and this year, Real Clear Politics called us “the most accurate pollster of the cycle among those firms that polled multiple Senate and governor races.”

Race Polls Conducted
Race Results Polls
2022-11-08 19:00:00
MI Governor
  Gretchen Whitmer 2,430,505 54.47%
  Tudor M. Dixon 1,960,635 43.94%
  Mary Buzuma 38,800 0.87%
  Donna Brandenburg 16,246 0.36%
  Kevin Hogan 10,766 0.24%
  Daryl M. Simpson 4,973 0.11%
  Evan Space 26 0.00%
  Bob Scott 8 0.00%
  Joyce Priscilla Gipson 4 0.00%
  Michael David Kelley 3 0.00%
  Ervin Joseph Lamie 3 0.00%
  Joseph M. Hunt 2 0.00%
  Elizabeth Ann Adkisson 1 0.00%
  Michael Ray Deck 0 0.00%
  Justin Paul Blackburn 0 0.00%
  Eugene Rosell Hunt Jr. 0 0.00%
11/05/2022-11/07/2022 (2.00% Undecided)
  Tudor M. Dixon 49.0000 49.98  +6.04 +0.2696
  Gretchen Whitmer 48.0000 48.96  -5.51 +1.4110
  Mary Buzuma 1.0000 1.02  +0.15 +0.9649
TOTAL +2.6455
10/18/2022-10/21/2022 (2.20% Undecided)
  Gretchen Whitmer 48.4000 49.46  -5.01
  Tudor M. Dixon 47.9000 48.95  +5.01
  Mary Buzuma 1.5000 1.53  +0.66
2022-11-08 20:00:00
NM Governor
  Michelle L. Lujan Grisham 370,168 51.97%
  Mark Ronchetti 324,701 45.59%
  Karen Bedonie 17,387 2.44%
10/19/2022-10/21/2022 (4.00% Undecided)
  Mark Ronchetti 46.6000 48.46  +2.88 +2.5015
  Michelle L. Lujan Grisham 45.5000 47.32  -4.65 +1.7970
  Karen Bedonie 3.9000 4.06  +1.61 +0.1065
TOTAL +4.4051
2022-11-08 20:00:00
MN Governor
  Tim Walz 1,312,349 52.27%
  Scott Jensen 1,119,941 44.61%
  James McCaskel 29,346 1.17%
  Steve Patterson 22,599 0.90%
  Hugh McTavish 18,156 0.72%
  Gabrielle M. Prosser 7,241 0.29%
  Write-In 1,009 0.04%
  Joyce Lynne Lacey 11 0.00%
  Mohamed Mourssi-Alfash 5 0.00%
  Loner Blue 4 0.00%
10/17/2022-10/19/2022 (5.00% Undecided)
  Scott Jensen 46.0000 48.30  +3.69 +1.8838
  Tim Walz 46.0000 48.30  -3.97 +2.2730
  Steve Patterson 1.0000 1.05  +0.15 +0.9676
  James McCaskel 1.0000 1.05  -0.12 +1.0084
  Hugh McTavish 1.0000 1.05  +0.33 +0.8363
TOTAL +6.9692
2022-11-08 18:00:00
GA District 02
  Sanford D. Bishop Jr. 132,675 54.97%
  Chris West 108,665 45.03%
10/14/2022-10/16/2022 (3.50% Undecided)
  Sanford D. Bishop Jr. 50.2000 51.96  -3.02 +3.1115
  Chris West 46.3000 47.92  +2.89 +2.4471
TOTAL +5.5586
2022-11-08 18:00:00
GA Governor
  Brian Kemp 2,111,572 53.41%
  Stacey Abrams 1,813,673 45.88%
  Shane Hazel 28,163 0.71%
  David C. Byrne 18 0.00%
  Milton J. Lofton 7 0.00%
  Elbert A. "Al" Bartell 0 0.00%
  Sam Manuel 0 0.00%
10/08/2022-10/11/2022 (2.10% Undecided)
  Brian Kemp 52.5000 53.60  +0.19 +4.8782
  Stacey Abrams 43.6000 44.52  -1.36 +3.5338
  Shane Hazel 1.8000 1.84  +1.13 +0.3031
TOTAL +8.7152
2022-11-08 18:00:00
GA Attorney General
  Chris Carr 2,032,500 51.86%
  Jen Jordan 1,826,437 46.60%
  Martin Cowen 60,107 1.53%
10/08/2022-10/11/2022 (13.40% Undecided)
  Chris Carr 45.7000 51.82  -0.04 +4.8641
  Jen Jordan 36.5000 41.39  -5.21 +1.0199
  Martin Cowen 4.4000 4.99  +3.46 -1.1889
TOTAL +4.6951
2022-11-08 20:00:00
NY Attorney General
  Letitia "Tish" James 3,168,256 54.60%
  Michael Henry 2,631,301 45.35%
  Write-In 3,073 0.05%
09/30/2022-10/03/2022 (10.20% Undecided)
  Michael Henry 45.4000 50.03  +4.68 +1.2783
  Letitia "Tish" James 44.4000 48.93  -5.67 +1.3140
TOTAL +2.5923
2022-11-08 22:00:00
CA District 21
  Jim Costa 68,074 54.18%
  Michael A. "Mike" Maher 57,573 45.82%
09/30/2022-10/03/2022 (12.00% Undecided)
  Jim Costa 44.2000 49.50  -4.67 +1.9469
  Michael A. "Mike" Maher 43.8000 49.06  +3.23 +2.2801
TOTAL +4.2270
2022-11-08 22:00:00
WA US Senate
  Patty Murray 1,741,827 57.15%
  Tiffany Smiley 1,299,322 42.63%
  Write-In 6,751 0.22%
10/25/2022-10/28/2022 (2.40% Undecided)
  Patty Murray 49.4000 50.59  -6.56 +0.9109
  Tiffany Smiley 48.2000 49.36  +6.73 -0.2872
TOTAL +0.6237
09/21/2022-09/24/2022 (4.80% Undecided)
  Patty Murray 48.7000 51.04  -6.11
  Tiffany Smiley 46.5000 48.73  +6.10
2022-11-08 20:00:00
AZ Secretary of State
  Adrian Fontes 1,320,619 52.38%
  Mark Finchem 1,200,411 47.62%
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (11.40% Undecided)
  Mark Finchem 47.5000 52.91  +5.30 +1.0385
  Adrian Fontes 41.1000 45.79  -6.60 +0.5297
TOTAL +1.5681
2022-11-08 20:00:00
AZ Attorney General
  Kris Mayes 1,254,809 50.00%
  Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh 1,254,529 49.99%
  Samantha Severson 416 0.02%
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (9.00% Undecided)
  Abraham "Abe" Hamadeh 50.0000 54.50  +4.51 +1.7397
  Kris Mayes 41.0000 44.69  -5.31 +1.2116
TOTAL +2.9513
2022-11-08 18:00:00
VT US Senate
  Peter Welch 196,575 68.47%
  Gerald Malloy 80,468 28.03%
  Dawn Ellis 2,752 0.96%
  Natasha Diamondstone-Kohout 1,574 0.55%
  Kerry Raheb 1,532 0.53%
  Carl Mark Coester 1,273 0.44%
  Stephen Duke 1,209 0.42%
  Cris Ericson 1,105 0.38%
  Write-In 612 0.21%
09/03/2022-09/07/2022 (7.10% Undecided)
  Peter Welch 49.7000 53.23  -15.24 -4.0251
  Gerald Malloy 43.2000 46.27  +18.24 -9.0575
TOTAL -13.0826
2022-11-08 18:00:00
VT Governor
  Phil Scott 202,147 70.98%
  Brenda Siegel 68,248 23.96%
  Kevin Hoyt 6,022 2.11%
  Peter Duval 4,723 1.66%
  Bernard Peters 2,315 0.81%
  Write-In 1,346 0.47%
09/03/2022-09/07/2022 (16.90% Undecided)
  Phil Scott 67.8000 79.26  +8.28 +0.8035
  Brenda Siegel 15.3000 17.89  -6.08 -1.2545
TOTAL -0.4511
2022-11-08 20:00:00
NY Governor
  Kathy Hochul 3,140,415 53.12%
  Lee M. Zeldin 2,762,581 46.73%
  Write-In 9,290 0.16%
  Larry Sharpe 0 0.00%
  Howie Hawkins 0 0.00%
  Willie Cotton 0 0.00%
  Carole Anne Seidelman 0 0.00%
09/30/2022-10/03/2022 (9.70% Undecided)
  Kathy Hochul 44.5000 48.82  -4.30 +2.1169
  Lee M. Zeldin 42.6000 46.73  +0.01 +4.5004
  Larry Sharpe 3.2000 3.51  +3.51 -1.3403
TOTAL +5.2770
08/31/2022-09/01/2022 (6.70% Undecided)
  Kathy Hochul 47.8000 51.00  -2.11
  Lee M. Zeldin 43.4000 46.31  -0.42
  Larry Sharpe 2.1000 2.24  +2.24
2022-11-08 20:00:00
AZ US Senate
  Mark Kelly 1,322,027 51.39%
  Blake Masters 1,196,308 46.51%
  Marc Victor 53,762 2.09%
  Lester Maul 95 0.00%
  Christopher Bullock 27 0.00%
  Ty McLean 21 0.00%
  Roxanne Rodriguez 20 0.00%
  Sherrise Bordes 17 0.00%
  William Taylor 8 0.00%
  Todd Smeltzer 6 0.00%
  Edward Davida 3 0.00%
11/05/2022-11/07/2022 (3.80% Undecided)
  Blake Masters 48.2000 50.03  +3.52 +2.1386
  Mark Kelly 46.7000 48.47  -2.92 +2.9078
  Marc Victor 1.3000 1.35  -0.74 +0.6630
TOTAL +5.7094
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (5.30% Undecided)
  Mark Kelly 46.6000 49.07  -2.33
  Blake Masters 45.4000 47.81  +1.30
  Marc Victor 2.7000 2.84  +0.75
08/24/2022-08/27/2022 (3.70% Undecided)
  Mark Kelly 47.6000 49.36  -2.03
  Blake Masters 44.3000 45.94  -0.57
  Marc Victor 4.4000 4.56  +2.47
2022-11-08 21:00:00
AZ Governor
  Katie Hobbs 1,287,891 50.32%
  Kari Lake 1,270,774 49.65%
  Liana West 254 0.01%
  Mikaela Lutes-Burton 213 0.01%
  William Pounds IV 139 0.01%
  Steph Denny 74 0.00%
  Alice Novoa 55 0.00%
  RayShawn Merrill 44 0.00%
  Anthony Camboni 41 0.00%
11/05/2022-11/07/2022 (2.60% Undecided)
  Kari Lake 50.5000 51.81  +2.16 +3.2815
  Katie Hobbs 46.9000 48.12  -2.20 +3.3079
TOTAL +6.5894
09/14/2022-09/17/2022 (4.40% Undecided)
  Kari Lake 50.0000 52.20  +2.55
  Katie Hobbs 45.6000 47.61  -2.71
08/24/2022-08/27/2022 (5.10% Undecided)
  Kari Lake 46.5000 48.87  -0.78
  Katie Hobbs 45.8000 48.14  -2.18
  Barry J. Hess, II 2.6000 2.73  +2.73
2022-11-08 20:00:00
WI US Senate
  Ron Johnson 1,337,185 50.41%
  Mandela Barnes 1,310,467 49.41%
  Write-In 4,758 0.18%
  Adam Nicholas Paul 67 0.00%
09/15/2022-09/19/2022 (4.80% Undecided)
  Ron Johnson 48.7000 51.04  +0.62 +4.3643
  Mandela Barnes 46.5000 48.73  -0.67 +4.2565
TOTAL +8.6208
08/22/2022-08/25/2022 (3.50% Undecided)
  Mandela Barnes 49.4000 51.13  +1.72
  Ron Johnson 47.1000 48.75  -1.66
2022-11-08 20:00:00
WI Governor
  Tony Evers 1,358,774 51.15%
  Tim Michels 1,268,535 47.75%
  Joan Beglinger 27,198 1.02%
  Write-In 1,879 0.07%
  Seth Haskins 104 0.00%
11/02/2022-11/04/2022 (2.00% Undecided)
  Tim Michels 50.0000 51.00  +3.25 +2.4163
  Tony Evers 48.0000 48.96  -2.19 +3.3767
TOTAL +5.7930
09/15/2022-09/19/2022 (5.30% Undecided)
  Tim Michels 47.7000 50.23  +2.48
  Tony Evers 47.0000 49.49  -1.66
08/22/2022-08/25/2022 (4.50% Undecided)
  Tony Evers 48.0000 50.16  -0.99
  Tim Michels 47.5000 49.64  +1.89
2022-11-08 19:00:00
MI Attorney General
  Dana Nessel 2,329,195 53.16%
  Matthew DePerno 1,952,408 44.56%
  Joe McHugh 67,846 1.55%
  Gerald T. Van Sickle 32,431 0.74%
08/22/2022-08/25/2022 (4.20% Undecided)
  Dana Nessel 48.8000 50.85  -2.31 +3.4496
  Matthew DePerno 47.0000 48.97  +4.42 +1.3967
TOTAL +4.8463
2022-11-08 18:30:00
OH US Senate
  JD Vance 2,192,114 53.03%
  Tim Ryan 1,939,489 46.92%
  John Cheng 702 0.02%
  Shane Hoffman 403 0.01%
  LaShondra Tinsley 362 0.01%
  Stephen Faris 194 0.00%
  Matthew R. Esh 78 0.00%
08/16/2022-08/19/2022 (5.60% Undecided)
  JD Vance 49.5000 52.27  -0.76 +4.4690
  Tim Ryan 44.9000 47.41  +0.49 +4.1916
TOTAL +8.6607
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Approval Polls Conducted
Candidate Poll (Approve/Disapprove/Don't Know)
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