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Obama Effect A Two-Way Street In Mississippi Senate Race
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Race
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Contributor | The Sunset Provision |
Last Edited | The Sunset Provision Sep 04, 2008 08:46pm |
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Category | News |
News Date | Friday, September 5, 2008 02:00:00 AM UTC0:0 |
Description | Former Democratic Mississippi Gov. Ronnie Musgrove's run for U.S. Senate would seem to benefit from the record crowds and jammed polling places generated by the Sen. Barack Obama presidential campaign.
Obama, D-Ill., has mounted a massive effort to increase black turnout in the South - an effort that could bear fruit for Democrats in Republican-leaning states such as Virginia and Georgia.
But in Mississippi, higher voter turnout could be a different story for Democrats.
In most election cycles over the past 30 years, Republicans tend to benefit more from any increased voter turnout in the state. For instance, in gubernatorial races in the state over the 30-year period, higher turnout has always resulted in larger increases in Republican voters than Democratic voters.
This trend is more pronounced in presidential elections, when differences between the parties are more dramatic.
The state's recent history leaves Sen. Roger Wicker, R-Miss., unconcerned about a potential wave of new Democratic voters.
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