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  SVK National Council - Popular Vote
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Slovakia > National Council > Popular Vote
OfficeParliament
HonorificMember of Parliament - Abbr: MP
Type Control Indicator
Filing Deadline July 12, 2023 - 10:00am Central
Polls Open September 30, 2023 - 12:00am Central
Polls Close September 30, 2023 - 03:00pm Central
Term Start October 25, 2023 - 03:00am
Term End April 20, 2027 - 10:00am
ContributorIndyGeorgia
Last ModifiedBojicat October 25, 2023 07:38am
Data Sources[Link] [Link]
Description The State Commission for Elections and Financing of Political Parties reviewed 2,728 candidates for seats on the National Council of Slovakia. It released a list of 25 approved political entities on July 22, 2023.

The electoral threshold is 5% for a single party, 7% for two- or three-party alliances, and 10% for party alliances of four or more parties.
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/16/2023 09/30/2023
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Progressive Slovakia 1 ------
SMER - Social Democracy 1 ------
Leaning Call: Progressive Slovakia (50.00%)
Weighted Call: SMER - Social Democracy (103.08%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

08/26/2020 09/26/2023

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name SMER - Social Democracy Progressive Slovakia Voice – Social Democracy OĽaNO and Friends Christian Democratic Movement Freedom and Solidarity Slovak National Party
PartySMER-SD Progressive Slovakia Voice – Social Democracy OĽaNO and Friends Christian Democratic Movement Freedom and Solidarity Slovak National
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.98% in) 681,017 (22.95%) 533,136 (17.96%) 436,415 (14.71%) 264,137 (8.90%) 202,515 (6.82%) 187,645 (6.32%) 166,995 (5.63%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -147,881 (-4.98%) -244,602 (-8.24%) -416,880 (-14.05%) -478,502 (-16.12%) -493,372 (-16.62%) -514,022 (-17.32%)
Estimated Final67,873 (18.98%) 74,257 (20.76%) 45,397 (12.69%) 35,684 (9.98%) 31,192 (8.72%) 28,839 (8.06%) 18,334 (5.13%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg20.97%-- 16.42%-- 14.61%-- 8.85%-- 6.22%-- 6.96%-- 5.29%--
Median 
09/25/23-09/26/23
19.80% 3.1 19.30% 5.2 11.90% 7.2 6.20% -- 7.70% 1.6 7.40% 0.9 4.80% --
Focus 
09/22/23-09/26/23
18.00% 1.4 16.60% 3.8 13.70% 5.3 8.20% -- 6.50% 0.6 5.80% 0.2 6.40% 3.0
AKO 
09/20/23-09/26/23
17.70% 1.8 18.00% 4.8 15.00% 2.6 9.40% -- 6.10% 0.1 7.30% 1.8 6.00% 1.9
Ipsos 
09/22/23-09/25/23
20.60% 0.9 19.80% 2.9 11.90% 1.4 8.20% 0.5 5.90% 0.3 7.00% 1.3 5.70% 0.6
SANEP 
09/17/23-09/25/23
22.60% 1.2 16.10% 0.5 15.30% 0.3 6.00% 0.5 5.10% 0.9 5.40% 0.7 6.00% 0.5
NMS Market Research 
09/21/23-09/24/23
19.40% -- 19.70% -- 10.50% -- 9.50% -- 5.40% -- 5.70% -- 5.40% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Republic Alliance Democrats We Are Family People's Party - Our Slovakia Slovak Communist Party Slovak Pirates
PartyRepublic Hungarian Alliance Democrats We Are Family People's - Our Slovakia Slovak Communist Slovak Pirates
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.98% in) 141,099 (4.75%) 130,183 (4.39%) 87,006 (2.93%) 65,673 (2.21%) 25,003 (0.84%) 9,867 (0.33%) 9,358 (0.32%)
Margin-539,918 (-18.19%) -550,834 (-18.56%) -594,011 (-20.01%) -615,344 (-20.73%) -656,014 (-22.10%) -671,150 (-22.61%) -671,659 (-22.63%)
Estimated Final16,036 (4.48%) 10,899 (3.05%) 12,631 (3.53%) 8,423 (2.36%) 2,593 (0.73%) 991 (0.28%) 1,177 (0.33%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website
Entry Date -- -- -- -- -- -- --
MATCHUP POLLS (21 from 7 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg4.69%-- 4.36%-- 2.91%-- 3.06%-- 0.98%-- 0.33%-- 0.32%--
Median 
09/25/23-09/26/23
8.00% 1.6 2.50% 0.2 3.80% -- 4.10% 1.9 0.00% 2.0 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Focus 
09/22/23-09/26/23
7.70% 0.8 3.50% 0.9 4.00% -- 4.10% 4.1 1.70% 1.4 0.60% -- 0.20% --
AKO 
09/20/23-09/26/23
5.40% 1.9 2.80% 0.7 4.30% -- 5.10% 1.7 0.30% 1.6 0.30% 0.1 0.00% --
Ipsos 
09/22/23-09/25/23
7.60% 0.3 3.40% 0.2 3.30% 0.4 4.00% 1.5 1.60% 1.3 0.00% -- 0.00% --
SANEP 
09/17/23-09/25/23
7.40% 1.0 3.30% 0.6 3.40% 0.4 5.50% 0.4 1.40% 0.6 0.00% -- 0.00% --
NMS Market Research 
09/21/23-09/24/23
8.50% -- 3.10% -- 2.30% -- 5.20% -- 1.80% -- 0.40% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
VIEW 11 MORE CANDIDATES

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
National Coalition / Independent Candidates (NK/NE)
Jun 20, 2023
Ordinary People and Independent Personalities (OĽaN)
May 26, 2023
Good Choice and Moderates (DVA)
Apr 28, 2023
TOGETHER - Civic Democracy (SPOLU)
Jan 26, 2023
Christian Union (KÚ)
 00, 2023
For the People (ZL'U)
 00, 2023
Jablko (Jab)
 00, 2023
Most–Híd 2023 (M-H23)
 00, 2023
Socialisti.sk (S.sk)
 00, 2023
VLASŤ (SV)
Apr 11, 2021
Hungarian Community Co-operation (MKS)
 00, 2021
Most–Híd (MH)
 00, 2021
Party of the Hungarian Community (MKP)
 00, 2021

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