--
Jan
Feb
Mar
Apr
May
Jun
Jul
Aug
Sep
Oct
Nov
Dec
--
01
02
03
04
05
06
07
08
09
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
New User Account
"A comprehensive, collaborative elections resource."
Email:
Password:
MT District 2 - R Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents
>
United States
>
Montana
>
MT - District 02
Office
House of Representatives
Honorific
Representative - Abbr: Rep.
Type
Republican Primary Election
Filing Deadline
March 11, 2024 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open
June 04, 2024 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close
June 04, 2024 - 09:00pm Central
Term Start
January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End
January 03, 2027 - 12:00pm
Contributor
RP
Last Modified
NCdem
April 26, 2024 12:17pm
Data Sources
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
Party
Republican
Won
11/08/2022
Name
Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr.
Votes
121,979 (56.56%)
Term
01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025
Margin
74,784 (+34.67%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
Race
MT District 2 11/05/2024
LEANING PREDICTIONS
Detail
Leaning Graph
02/28/2024
04/28/2024
Candidate
Slight
Lean
Strong
Safe
Troy Downing
--
2
--
--
Dennis Rehberg
2
--
--
--
Leaning Call: Troy Downing (66.67%)
Weighted Call: Dennis Rehberg (52.78%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph
04/14/2024
04/17/2024
Graph Poll MoE/Time
Remove Internal Polls
Remove Firm Bias
Graph Distance
Graph Falloff
Graph Days
Graph Day Offset
Ignore Pollsters:
Guidant Polling and Strategy
CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
Auditor
Troy Downing
Rep.
Dennis Rehberg
Superintendent of Public Instruction
Elsie Arntzen
Stacy Zinn
St. Sen.
Ric R. Holden
St. Sen.
Kenneth Bogner
Kyle Austin
Party
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
0.00%
Cash On Hand
6/30 $10,134.38
$--
$0.00
$--
$--
$--
$--
Website
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
11/01/2023
02/21/2024
08/14/2023
02/09/2024
02/09/2024
01/09/2024
01/24/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
38.00%
--
26.00%
--
10.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
New!
Guidant Polling and Strategy
04/14/24-04/17/24
38.00%
--
26.00%
--
10.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
R
Barry M. Goldwater, Jr.
🔗
R
Jen Kiggans
🔗
R
Steve Womack
🔗
R
Derrick Van Orden
🔗
R
Maryland Republican93
R
Andy Biggs
🔗
R
Bob Phalen
🔗
R
Josh Brecheen
🔗
R
Steve Hinebauch
🔗
R
Eli Crane
🔗
R
Mary Miller
🔗
R
Troy E. Nehls
🔗
R
Robert G. "Bob" Good
🔗
R
Harriet M. Hageman
🔗
R
Suzzann Nordwick
🔗
R
John Fuller
🔗
R
Thomas Homan
🔗
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo
Name
St. Rep.
Joel G. Krautter
Party
Republican
Campaign Logo
Predict Avg.
0.00%
Cash On Hand
$0.00
Website
[Campaign Site]
Entry Date
01/11/2024
MATCHUP POLLS (1 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg
0.00%
--
New!
Guidant Polling and Strategy
04/14/24-04/17/24
0.00%
--
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Edward Walker (R)
Oct 18, 2023
-
Apr 05, 2024
Matthew M. Rosendale, Sr. (R)
Feb 28, 2024
-
Mar 08, 2024
EVENTS
Start Date
End Date
Type
Title
Contributor
VIDEO ADVERTISEMENTS
Start Date
Candidate
Category
Ad Tone
Lng
Title
Run Time
Contributor
BOOKS
Title
Purchase
Contributor
INFORMATION LINKS
NEWS
Date
Category
Headline
Article
Contributor
Add Your 2¢
Agree
Disagree
Laugh
Groan
Troll
Befuddled
Work Complete
Prediction
[close]
DISCUSSION