| DISCUSSION |
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So a really weird thing just happened:
Turns out Radical Party Registered a candidate on the 11th, but withdrew him today
[Link]
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 912.46 points) | March 22, 2022 03:52pm |
A poll out from Semana-NC released Saturday [Link] sees a pretty substantial climb up for Gutiérrez post primaries. He's at 23% (he was at a rounding error of 4% support just a month earlier).
Petro 32%
Gutiérrez 23%
Fajardo 10%
Hernández 10%
Betancourt 3%
Gómez 1%
[Conducted on 2,143 people; March 18-19.]
An olive branch waved at the still-smarting Fajardo in the hopes of forming an anti-Petro alliance was rejected out of hand. Gutiérrez now calls Fajardo a "bad friend" [Link] a row which means close to nothing. Fajardo's voters will swing behind Gutiérrez in the second round. Makes this race for president more of a contest than expected.
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That explains why Fico tried to do a thing that immediately backfired
?s=20&t=hZ5jcEPInONY3BxB5MZdRQ
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Looks like the Liberals are going to endorse Fico
[Link]
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| D:1 | RP ( 5508.02 points) | April 27, 2022 09:00am |
E Pluribus Unum: Looks like the Liberals are going to endorse Fico
So his score's going up?
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Maybe, but IDK by how much. Petro still has a decent lead, but it may be a smaller margin now
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| D:1 | RP ( 5508.02 points) | April 27, 2022 11:25am |
Sigh. My too obscure humor again.
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Yes lol
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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 7748.48 points) | April 27, 2022 12:37pm |
RP: Sigh. My too obscure humor again.
Its okay. I got it.
And more proof that Social Democrats and most millies could care less about their FICO score and probably don't even know what it is.
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Socialists don't trust banks lol.
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 912.46 points) | May 29, 2022 04:35pm |
Falling into line as polls predicted, though Gutiérrez off to a stronger-than-expected start. Will make a difference in the second round if the other four rally behind him. Pérez and Betancourt stuck on the ballot though they withdrew. Of note, the Registry is doing a bang-up tabulation job compared to its last Iowa-style misadventure.
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 912.46 points) | May 29, 2022 04:39pm |
Hernández just slipped past Gutiérrez. A Boric v. Kast redux?
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 912.46 points) | May 29, 2022 04:44pm |
Wow, Hernández beefing up his second-place lead. Will be the song of the southern hemisphere should he enter the second round.
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 912.46 points) | May 29, 2022 04:54pm |
Close to 40% in and it's clearly going to be a Petro v Hernández 2nd round. Gutiérrez shoveled to the side. Pollsters clearly underestimated the power of the dark horse Hernández rode on.
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 912.46 points) | May 29, 2022 05:19pm |
Petro was always the proverbial 800-pound gorilla in the room vs everyone else. The Hernández phenomenon is intriguing, however. Petro winds up stuck at 40%. Perilous for him. A unified anti-Petro force hanging on Hernández' coattail...well, look at that combined non-Petro tally.
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| I:9626 | Bojicat ( 912.46 points) | May 29, 2022 06:40pm |
Hernández took the entire center, save Bogota. Petro seized all the edges, save Antioquia, which went to Gutiérrez. That's an impressive 13 out of 32 departments to Hernández, and he was 2nd in vote-rich Bogota and 2nd in many Petro-dominated departments. Petro has his hands full this June 19th.
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