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DISCUSSION
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)February 08, 2022 12:41pm
Polis beats a generic Republican challenger by five points, 48.6% to 43.6%, which lies just outside of the poll's margin of error. Nearly 8% of respondents are undecided in his race, Republican polling firm Cygnal found.

The governor's numbers hold despite the overwhelming majority of respondents — 66.9% to 24.2% — concluding that the country is headed on the wrong track. Coloradans are evenly split when it comes to their state, with 44.5% saying Colorado is on the wrong track and 44.6% saying it's in the right direction.

[Link]

About what I'd expect against a generic Republican. He has not run a flawless campaign to date, but when he does have an opponent I suspect strongly that swing voters will vote for him or choose not to vote or vote for his named Republican opponent.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)April 28, 2022 09:00am
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)April 28, 2022 10:07am
If Neuschwanger gets on the ballot as the ACP candidate for Governor, this could quite possibly be a version of the 2010 election all over again when Tancredo ran as the ACP candidate and the right of center vote was split. It will be interesting to see if Tancredo, who has already endorsed Neuschwanger for the Republican nomination, continues to support her as the ACP nominee.

The ACP convention is this weekend.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)April 30, 2022 01:53pm
Neuschwanger will be on the ballot in the fall as the ACP candidate. She has officially changed her party affiliation with the SoS.

Kickoff announcement @ 2pm MT here in Douglas County.

The impact of this from my perspective is that she will pull at least 3% from the Republican nominee, probably more. Notice that polling done by the Global Strategy Group showed she was a slightly stronger candidate than Ganahl, the presumed Republican nominee, against Polis.

I'll be watching to see how much of the vote she pulls from the ultimate Republican nominee as the campaign progresses. This very well could be a variant of the 2010 Governor's race where Tom Tancredo surpassed the Republican nominee pulling Republican endorsements and just over 36% of the vote.

I would be surprised if Neuschwanger came close to 36%, but it is very possible she could pass 10% maybe even 20% - especially if Republicans view this race as lost and vote for Neuschwanger who has championed several of the harder right claims (2020 Election Claims, Democrats are Pedophiles, etc).

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)November 09, 2022 12:25am
Was very surprised to learn that my old Colorado County - Douglas - which is probably the last surviving Republican suburban county, voted for Polis for Governor by a narrow 50 -48.5 margin. The county true to its Republican roots voted for Pam Anderson (R) for SoS 52.4 - 45.6 and Lang Sias (R) for Treasurer 54-44. These are narrow margins for Republicans.

Polis's victory in Douglas represents the total victory he had in this election.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)December 03, 2022 01:00pm
In Baca County (SE Corner on the Border), Danielle Neuschwanger finished ahead of Governor Polis for a Second Place finish in the County.

Ganahl (R) 63.14%
Neuschwanger (ACN) 19.00%
Polis (D) 17.06%
Ruskusky (Lbt) 0.80%

19% of the vote was her best performance anywhere in the state.

Other notable performances for Neuschwanger

Kiowa County - 11.99%
Dolores County - 9.62%
Crowley County - 6.60%
Prowers County - 5.76%
Rio Grande - 5.31%


All are very rural counties that maybe netted a total of a thousand votes for her.
 
LBT:11457The Fixer ( 50.83 points)February 23, 2023 10:26pm
I added the wrong Michael Flynn meant to add the National Security Advisor, but added random one.
 
For:10038Luzerne County Historian ( -154.39 points)February 24, 2023 07:33pm
The endorsement probably would have had about the same effect on her support either way
 
D:1989RBH ( 5686.17 points)February 25, 2023 05:44pm
Baca County, huge Michael Flynn country