| DISCUSSION |
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| D:10124 | BLUEDOGS ( 67.92 points) | November 28, 2018 05:24pm |
2020 to be Collins' last political campaign for statewide office.
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| I:9775 | Natalie ( 108.00 points) | May 05, 2019 12:12pm |
Speculative candidate?
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I'm going to assume 2020 could be Collins' last campaign ?
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According to an article from Bloomberg today, Collins tells journalist Steven Dennis that she will decide by fall whether or not she runs for a fifth term. She may possibly be looking at money and poll numbers and getting cold feet.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4590.47 points) | July 21, 2019 07:22pm |
I thought her recent fundraising numbers were really good?
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | July 21, 2019 09:11pm |
I'm very concerned.
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IndyGeorgia: I thought her recent fundraising numbers were really good?
I imagine she would be referencing the money coming in against her. She has been far outraised if you combine the money from Gideon with the Kavanaugh funds that were raised against her last fall.
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Seems like an easy Dem pickup if Collins retires.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | July 22, 2019 03:39pm |
Not that easy. Maine is a swing state.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4590.47 points) | July 22, 2019 04:10pm |
Maine Republicans would probably need to put up "Generic Businessman/Businesswoman" as opposed to a Paul LePage.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | July 22, 2019 04:35pm |
LePage did win twice.
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It would likely be more difficult for a polarizing figure like LePage to win under instant runoff voting.
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| D:7918 | Labour Dem ( 231.02 points) | July 22, 2019 04:42pm |
LePage won in midterms and not for a federal office. If Collins retires then Republicans have little chance of holding the seat. No one is as good as lying about being a moderate as she is and that's what Republicans will need to hold the seat.
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The ultimate Republican coup would be to have Collins retire and Snowe run for her seat. That would be the only guaranteed win for McConnell.
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| I:1038 | WA Indy ( 1821.84 points) | July 22, 2019 05:11pm |
Snowe actually has a backbone IIRC, though.
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LePage won twice because of a third party candidate. Maine GOP has a weak bench. And Maine being a swing state is a stretch. May be trending GOP a little bit but hasn't voted for a GOP presidential candidate since 1988.
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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points) | July 22, 2019 07:05pm |
RP: I'm very concerned.
Don't understand your concern.
Concerned that Democratic takeover of this seat would be reduced with another Republican on the ticket?
I'd be concerned that this would flip to the Dems, especially with IRV.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4590.47 points) | July 22, 2019 07:15pm |
I believe RP is echoing a Susan Collins response to a controversial circumstance.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | July 22, 2019 10:09pm |
She has my thoughts and prayers.
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If she runs, she'll win. Now that the bizarre Kavanaugh-the-serial-gang-rapist hysteria has died down, she looks pretty good. If she doesn't run, the Democrats would likely have a slight edge, but I'd expect a tight race regardless. Trump actually has a pretty good chance of carrying Maine (3/4 EVs, anyway).
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| D:7918 | Labour Dem ( 231.02 points) | July 25, 2019 08:26pm |
I hardly think her vote for Kavanaugh is going away. Besides that she has demonstrated that she's not really a moderate and that has shown in her declining approval.
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Do I ad David Gibson in a Primary for the Maine Green Independent Party or do I just add him here?
[Link]
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | July 26, 2019 05:53pm |
E Pluribus Unum: Do I ad David Gibson in a Primary for the Maine Green Independent Party or do I just add him here?
If there's little to no chance of a primary challenger you can add him here. Unless Maine reports vote totals for uncontested races.
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| D:9583 | Caprice ( 91.51 points) | July 26, 2019 08:02pm |
RP: <q 9951="">Do I ad David Gibson in a Primary for the Maine Green Independent Party or do I just add him here?
If there's little to no chance of a primary challenger you can add him here. Unless Maine reports vote totals for uncontested races.
Maine reports vote totals for uncontested races.
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So I add him in a Uncontested Primary?
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