| DISCUSSION |
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4113.60 points) | May 03, 2015 04:03pm |
The election in Scotland has now become a question of which seats will the SNP NOT win (Orkney & Shetland, perhaps). A stunning turnaround after the independence referendum, as the SNP channeled "Yes" voters quickly into SNP voters after some Scottish Labour voters felt betrayed by Labour teaming up with the Conservatives to defeat the referendum.
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| R:194 | Scott³ ( 8757.19 points) | May 03, 2015 09:44pm |
I think it's looking like an EPIC wipeout.
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| R:194 | Scott³ ( 8757.19 points) | May 03, 2015 09:48pm |
It's incredible to think the Labour Party has 250+ seats and the 40 from Scotland are almost certainly gone in a few days.
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4113.60 points) | May 03, 2015 10:24pm |
That's why I wonder about any tactical voting by either Conservative or Labour voters to prop the other up against the SNP candidate. It may not be a perfect comparison, but will this end up like France and the main parties tactically voting against FN?
If these polls are accurate, the SNP is looking to not only win seats, but have swings of 30 to 40 percent. At this rate, every seat the SNP loses will look like a surprising defeat.
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| R:194 | Scott³ ( 8757.19 points) | May 03, 2015 11:23pm |
What are the odds of my Tories keeping their one Scottish seat? And at the same time Labour having none?
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| R:194 | Scott³ ( 8757.19 points) | May 07, 2015 09:47pm |
Is my above scenario still possible?
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| I:6738 | IndyGeorgia ( 4113.60 points) | May 07, 2015 09:51pm |
Your EPIC wipeout scenario? Yes.
Your one Tory, no Labour scenario? Possibly. I think we'd need to see a crack in the SNP armor, first.
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