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Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)March 24, 2024 04:14pm
In ballot news, this special election will appear below the primary nominee question for R or Ds.

This is a boost for Boebert as she / the primary question won't be buried in the ballot.



 
R:9751Tekken_Guy ( -9.39 points)March 25, 2024 12:38am
It’s not really a boost for Boebert. I think most voters will know who the GOP special nominee is going into the election.

Also having a special nominee is supposed to consolidate the anti-Boebert vote around one guy, not take away votes from Boebert herself.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)March 26, 2024 12:51pm
Maybe, maybe not. Certianly would have been worse the other way around.

Ultimately I think the biggest roadblock to her election in this district will be how many opponents end up on the primary ballot. She'll probably get 30-40%. More opponents the better for her.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)April 02, 2024 10:27am
Special election set. In a surprise move, Dems selected Trisha Calvarese over Ike McCorkle and John Padora.
 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 478.42 points)April 02, 2024 01:15pm
What's the lay of the land here? Is Lopez Trump-y. Does he have a real shot at being just a placeholder? Is Boebert making headway?
 
BEER:10271WSNJ ( 478.42 points)April 02, 2024 01:16pm
Oh well now I see Lopez is only running here
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)April 02, 2024 01:35pm
WSNJ: What's the lay of the land here? Is Lopez Trump-y. Does he have a real shot at being just a placeholder? Is Boebert making headway?

Lopez is very Trumpy. Worked in the SBA under Trump. Pretty hardcore and was really a placeholder for Boebert and Flora in the special election R selection. Most republicans who supported either Boebert or Flora voted for him in the Special Eleciton to prevent a local pol from getting any momentum.

In the race for the GE Primary, I think Boebert won't get a majority of the vote but with the Trump endorsement and the divided field she's likely to win the Primary.

Currently qualified for the primary ballot are Boebert, Flora. Sonnenberg and 1 other are likely to make it to the ballot through the assembly race: [Link]

The more that make it on the ballot for the primary, the more likely it is Boebert will win the primary. I see her getting somewhere between 30 - 35% of the primary ballot.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)May 01, 2024 10:30am
Not that it will make much of a difference, but the SoS has released the ballot order for this race.

1. Frank Atwood (Approval Voting Party)
2. Hannah Goodman (Libertarian Party)
3. Greg Lopez (Republican Party)
4. Trisha Eloise Calvarese (Democratic Party)
 
D:1RP ( 5618.82 points)May 01, 2024 12:19pm
I've often wondered if I should add a ballot order field.
 
D:6454Mr. Matt ( 2525.09 points)May 01, 2024 01:09pm
I could swear that you once did either consider it or answered someone asking for it, but I thought you were against it. Biggest issue would be if there's a different order for each county.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)May 01, 2024 02:02pm
Both Colorado and New Mexico SoS release ballot order. Although I think it happens on county level in some other States.
 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.70 points)May 01, 2024 02:14pm
BrentinCO: Although I think it happens on county level in some other States.

I think in California the order of candidates is rotated by Assembly district for statewide candidates.
 
D:1RP ( 5618.82 points)May 02, 2024 08:45am
Mr. Matt: I could swear that you once did either consider it or answered someone asking for it, but I thought you were against it.

Yeah, I've been landing on the "no" side, but just barely.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)July 08, 2024 07:02pm
Sworn in today.