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DISCUSSION
 
N:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 382.61 points)January 24, 2023 06:16pm
The sheer amount of democrats announcing this early for such a divided district makes me thing this seat may be a prime opportunity for republicans to mess with the system and lock democrats out of the general. Baugh is an extremely weak candidate and it surprising to see local republicans endorse him again but if a second candidate with strong name recognition jumps in, it could easily happen.
 
N:10422CaliforniaModerate ( 382.61 points)March 29, 2023 10:00pm
This looks just like the sort of seat that would lead to a top two lock out of Republicans had one more strong/notable candidate in the race besides Baugh.

California being a Super Tuesday State with a potential DeSantis vs Trump primary and Biden getting coronated for renominating probably doesn’t help democrats either.
 
D:6086Jason ( 13430.65 points)March 30, 2023 10:40am
Agreed, although that would also be playing with fire. Both parties have seen themselves getting locked out of otherwise competitive races since California adopted the top-two system.

From a GOP perspective it's just safer to ensure they have a guaranteed candidate in the general election. It's not asking much to expect Baugh to win outright, given how close it was in 2022. And if Donald Trump is not the nominee, we could see some reversion back to the Republican party in historically red districts like this one.
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)May 03, 2023 06:11pm
Might want to rethink those Min picks...

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)May 03, 2023 07:13pm
I was gonna post that: but IDK how much of a factor this will be
 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 9683.07 points)May 03, 2023 08:18pm
E Pluribus Unum: I was gonna post that: but IDK how much of a factor this will be

Can't disagree. The scandal bar in politics has been lowered so much that a DUI seems mild.
 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -228.64 points)May 03, 2023 11:00pm
This only becomes bad if Porter pulled the endorsement, which is also very much unlikely.

But I have seen people suggest Porter run for the seat instead because of this, but that's because they want Lee to be the Senator