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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9685.29 points) | October 05, 2018 09:05pm |
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lmao
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| D:1 | RP ( 5639.51 points) | October 06, 2018 09:17am |
Hey, Sarah, you know that's a 6 year term and you couldn't even complete a 4 year one, quitting after 2.
Are you sure your kids won't be back in jail then?
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I applaud Murkowski for voting against Kavanaugh, even if she did merely vote present. However, if her vote had been the deciding vote, I am not quite so sure she would have made the same decision. I think she knew how Manchin and Collins were voting when she made her statement.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5694.97 points) | October 08, 2018 09:43pm |
If the current laws remain in place in regards to Alaska Democrats nominating non-party members, it wouldn't shock me if Murkowski's 2022 re-election is run as a Democrat-endorsed Independent.
Although considering the Dems nominated against her in 2010 and 2016 didn't really do much, she could plausibly win as an Independent against a Rep and Dem
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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9685.29 points) | January 08, 2021 03:47pm |
Been thinking this could happen
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I'm smelling an Arlen Specter
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| D:6086 | Jason ( 13474.04 points) | January 08, 2021 06:43pm |
No thanks.
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| BEER:10271 | WSNJ ( 478.42 points) | January 08, 2021 08:16pm |
Interesting prospect, not out of the realm of possibility. I still don't see it happening. Mitch is a strong presence in the caucus and I haven't seen many Senators angry at him for losing Georgia, they will likely pit blame on Trump. In other words Mitch will probably sweeten the deal for Murkowski to stay a republican, she has been in the minority before.
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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9685.29 points) | November 22, 2024 08:18pm |
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| S:11714 | BigZuck08 ( 1177.12 points) | June 23, 2025 01:53pm |
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| Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9685.29 points) | June 23, 2025 03:18pm |
What are the three pickups? Dems seem to be struggling in recruitment of the best pickup opptys
The tossups by most predictors are GA, MI, and NC. 2 are D Defends.
D Offense
NC - top Dem (Cooper) recruit likely passing; Wiley Nickel fundraising has been pretty bad; political markets shifting toward Tillis re-election
ME - probably the most likely flip after NC imho, but best candidate (Golden) passes and most predictors have this favoring R
IA - maybe, but will have a GOP incumbent and best Dem (Sand) running for Governor; all major prediction sites still seeing this as Red
OH - ???? Special Election longshot
TX - ???? Hoping for a destructive Cornyn Paxton fall out
D Defense
Also Dems have tough seats to defend and are going to have to spend $$$ to win these seats.
GA - Even with Kemp out still a consensus toss-up
NH - Open seat; agree probably staying D.
MI - Open seat; consensus toss-up. History favors D.
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The scenario whereby Democrats gain 3 or more Senate seats isn't a matter of winning individual seats with the right candidates. It would require a realignment election after Republicans stab their supporters in the back and DJT's approval rating sinks lower than toenail fungus. Luckily for Democrats (less so for the country) that is a plausible scenario.
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