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 Joker:9757 | BrentinCO ( 9683.0742 points)
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Tue, November 10, 2020 06:48:54 PM UTC0:00
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https://twitter.com/HarleyRouda/status/1326223203216236544?s=20
?s=20
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 BEER:10271 | WSNJ ( 478.4198 points)
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Tue, November 10, 2020 10:02:57 PM UTC0:00
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So happy with all these GOP pickups!
So happy with all these GOP pickups!
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| I:9951 | E Pluribus Unum ( -228.6384 points)
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Tue, November 10, 2020 10:25:31 PM UTC0:00
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They prove me right again, but MSM does not care....
They prove me right again, but MSM does not care....
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| D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
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Tue, November 10, 2020 10:51:25 PM UTC0:00
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A big part of Rouda's win in 2018 was that he was running against Dana Rohrabacher. Against a normal opponent I think this was the most difficult of the Democrats' 2018 Orange County pickups to hold on to.
A big part of Rouda's win in 2018 was that he was running against Dana Rohrabacher. Against a normal opponent I think this was the most difficult of the Democrats' 2018 Orange County pickups to hold on to.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
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Mon, December 7, 2020 09:26:41 PM UTC0:00
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Garden Grove
2018: Rouda 2830, Rohrabacher 2336
2020: Steel 4409, Rouda 3841
Westminster
2018: Rohrabacher 5419, Rouda 5258
2020: Steel 9651, Rouda 7233
So, a slight difference in candidate quality (and a swing among Vietnamese-American voters) may have made a difference
Newport Beach went from 22502-19634 for Rohrabacher to 31524-22917 for Steel
Garden Grove
2018: Rouda 2830, Rohrabacher 2336
2020: Steel 4409, Rouda 3841
Westminster
2018: Rohrabacher 5419, Rouda 5258
2020: Steel 9651, Rouda 7233
So, a slight difference in candidate quality (and a swing among Vietnamese-American voters) may have made a difference
Newport Beach went from 22502-19634 for Rohrabacher to 31524-22917 for Steel
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| D:7 | CA Pol Junkie ( 5444.7002 points)
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Mon, December 7, 2020 10:19:54 PM UTC0:00
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So, a slight difference in candidate quality (and a swing among Vietnamese-American voters) may have made a difference
It was more than a slight difference in candidate quality - Rohrabacher was a particularly bad candidate which made it possible for Rouda to win this seat. It will be interesting to see what happens to all these competitive Orange County seats after redistricting.
RBH: So, a slight difference in candidate quality (and a swing among Vietnamese-American voters) may have made a difference
It was more than a slight difference in candidate quality - Rohrabacher was a particularly bad candidate which made it possible for Rouda to win this seat. It will be interesting to see what happens to all these competitive Orange County seats after redistricting.
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| D:1989 | RBH ( 5686.1743 points)
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Mon, December 7, 2020 11:47:19 PM UTC0:00
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Lowenthal's district, which includes part of Orange, could lose some of their Orange County turf, which could boost Steel since the parts of Orange County represented by Lowenthal are more of Westminster/Garden Grove.
If they keep this district more on the sea, then it could lose some turf in the bluer southeastern end to Porter's district.
Also, CA39 is one where it could be redrawn in a few new ways.
Lowenthal's district, which includes part of Orange, could lose some of their Orange County turf, which could boost Steel since the parts of Orange County represented by Lowenthal are more of Westminster/Garden Grove.
If they keep this district more on the sea, then it could lose some turf in the bluer southeastern end to Porter's district.
Also, CA39 is one where it could be redrawn in a few new ways.
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