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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | February 26, 2025 09:17am |
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | February 10, 2025 10:08am |
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 05, 2024 12:36pm |
Harris could win WI, MI, NC and lose the other swing states and lose the EC.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 05, 2024 08:52am |
That's fine.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 05, 2024 08:47am |
And Trump and Harris tied 3-3?
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 04, 2024 10:03pm |
Sounds like a good prop.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 04, 2024 04:43pm |
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 04, 2024 04:38pm |
Nice call, Sabato:
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 04, 2024 02:12pm |
Ralston made his prediction that it will be close and probably not clear on election day, but Harris will win Nevada by 0.3% and Rosen by 5%. [Link]
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 04, 2024 12:10pm |
CA Pol Junkie: I agree, but only if Selzer does the looking!
Selzer doesn't really like polling outside Iowa. She specializes in Iowa and understands Iowa thoroughly.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | November 04, 2024 08:36am |
Yeah, it was Republicans who were praising Selzer in 2016 when she caught the movement TO Trump nobody else did and she was exactly right. Then again in 2020 when she saw it as a better race for Trump than anyone else was saying and again got it exactly right. We praise her not because she gives results better for the Democrats but the opposite, gets the REAL results, and succeeds where so many pollsters failed in the bad years. She could be off, like any pollster can, but when Selzer comes out with an outlier poll in Iowa you better listen.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 31, 2024 03:28pm |
BrentinCO: Just to note that Tina Peters is in jail, in part, because she leaked passwords.
Obviously you know that she did it intentionally while this seems to be accidental.
Still, this is part of being a leader. You should resign if this level of incompetence is done by people you are supposed to have oversight on.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 29, 2024 07:23pm |
McLaughlin is laughable as a pollster.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 29, 2024 07:18pm |
Valadao always seems to overperform his polls.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 29, 2024 04:32pm |
Do people know what they're voting for?
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 28, 2024 12:28pm |
Welcome back.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 27, 2024 10:31am |
Happy belated!
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 26, 2024 04:23pm |
And basically, if you want to go anywhere in politics in Hawaii you have to be a Democrat. Once her scope extended beyond Hawaii she could move to her real party.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 25, 2024 01:10pm |
Freedom Caucus leader says North Carolina should consider giving Trump its electors before votes are counted [Link] |
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 25, 2024 12:12pm |
Grasshopper: Years ago this site used to have ideological tags t list what candidates stood for. Why were those ever gotten rid of?
Because they were subjective and people fought over them.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 23, 2024 04:28pm |
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 23, 2024 04:26pm |
Supposedly video of him groping the underage girl of a contributor.
Between the "Grab 'em by the pussy" audio, that's he's been convicted of sexual assault, and him going into the underage girls' dressing rooms at his beauty pageants I don't see this moving the needle much.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 23, 2024 03:16pm |
I've harvested grain but never worked at a McDonald's. I did apply at a McDonald's in Seattle when I was a kid, but that store was requiring you to have a college degree.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 23, 2024 03:14pm |
Can't imagine much that could be worse than what has already come out about Trump and half the country has just shrugged off.
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| D:1 | RP ( 5618.82 points) | October 23, 2024 03:11pm |
Yeah. I don't think it has ever flipped to one party for the Presidency and the other party for the House in the same election before, but it seems possible this cycle.
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