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  WI US President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Wisconsin > President
Parent RaceUS President - Popular Vote
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election
Filing Deadline ---
Polls Open November 05, 2024 - 07:00am Central
Polls Close November 05, 2024 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 20, 2025 - 12:00pm
Term End January 20, 2029 - 12:00pm
ContributorRP
Last Modifiedev December 01, 2024 09:33am
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/03/2020
NameJoe Biden Votes1,630,866 (49.45%)
Term01/20/2021 - 01/20/2025 Margin20,682 (+0.63%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 02, 2024 WI US President - D Primary
Joe Biden
D 582,527
Apr 02, 2024 WI US President - R Primary
Donald J. Trump
R 604,177
Apr 22, 2024 WI US President - G Primary
Jill Stein
G 33
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
10/13/2022 11/05/2024
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Donald J. Trump 7 ------
Joe Biden 1 1 ----
Tossup 1 ------
Kamala Harris 20 1 ----
Leaning Call: Kamala Harris (66.67%)
Weighted Call: Kamala Harris (71.22%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

06/08/2023 11/04/2024

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name President Donald J. Trump Vice President Kamala Harris Robert F. Kennedy, Jr. Councilor Jill Stein Chase Oliver (W) Write-In Randall A. Terry
PartyRepublican Democratic We The People Green Libertarian Nonpartisan Constitution
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 1,697,626 (49.60%) 1,668,229 (48.74%) 17,740 (0.52%) 12,275 (0.36%) 10,511 (0.31%) 7,131 (0.21%) 4,044 (0.12%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -29,397 (-0.86%) -1,679,886 (-49.08%) -1,685,351 (-49.24%) -1,687,115 (-49.29%) -1,690,495 (-49.39%) -1,693,582 (-49.48%)
Predict Avg.47.30% 48.40% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website]
Entry Date 03/12/2024 07/21/2024 06/01/2024 01/01/2024 01/01/2024 -- 08/01/2024
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (142 from 50 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.46%-- 47.76%-- 2.85%-- 0.16%-- 0.48%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
49.10% 0.2 47.90% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.60% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
11/01/24-11/03/24
47.00% 0.2 48.20% 1.6 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
46.00% 2.0 49.00% 1.0 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
49.00% 1.0 49.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
11/01/24-11/02/24
49.30% 0.8 48.00% 0.2 0.00% -- 0.50% 0.3 0.00% 0.1 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/01/24-11/02/24
49.00% -- 48.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Cornel West Claudia De la Cruz (W) Peter Sonski (W) Doug Jenkins (W) Future Madam Potus  
PartyJustice For All Socialism and Liberation American Solidarity Independent Independent  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 2,753 (0.08%) 2,035 (0.06%) 561 (0.02%) 12 (0.00%) 1 (0.00%)  
Margin-1,694,873 (-49.52%) -1,695,591 (-49.54%) -1,697,065 (-49.58%) -1,697,614 (-49.60%) -1,697,625 (-49.60%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]  
Entry Date 06/01/2024 08/01/2024 -- -- --  
MATCHUP POLLS (142 from 50 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg1.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
AtlasIntel 
11/03/24-11/04/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Research Co. 
11/02/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Patriot Polling 
11/01/24-11/03/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
AtlasIntel 
11/01/24-11/02/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
InsiderAdvantage 
11/01/24-11/02/24
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Joe Biden (D)
Mar 12, 2024 - Jul 21, 2024

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DISCUSSION
 
D:6086Jason (11913.3682 points)
x7
Fri, August 30, 2024 03:49:10 PM UTC0:00
Off to an obnoxious start, are we?

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
Wed, October 30, 2024 07:43:27 PM UTC0:00
TargetSmart modeled early voters are D 35 / R 24 / I 41. CNN/SSRS has early voters voting Harris 60, Trump 38 which implies significant Republican cross-over vote and/or strong independent support for Harris. About 1/3 of the 2020 vote total has already voted.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
Fri, November 1, 2024 03:52:44 PM UTC0:00
Once again I can't resist trying to figure out the result before election day. The Marist poll has Harris ahead 57-43 among those who have already voted and TargetSmart modeled voters D 34 / R 24 / I 42 so that implies that independents slightly favor Harris and/or Harris is getting more crossover support than Trump.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 03:29:48 AM UTC0:00
This is actually looking pretty bleak for Harris right now - need remaining votes from counties to be more liberal than already counted vote.

 
D:6086Jason (11913.3682 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 03:47:30 AM UTC0:00
Trump is leading Door country by about 1.5 points with 76% in. It's gone to the winner of every Presidential election since 1996.

 
D:6086Jason (11913.3682 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 04:57:19 AM UTC0:00
And then as I say that, Door has now flipped to Harris 2 points with 95% in. Though Trump leads statewide by 3 with 74% in.

 
D:6086Jason (11913.3682 points)
Wed, November 6, 2024 05:33:30 AM UTC0:00
CBS calls it for Trump.