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  CO District 03
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Colorado > CO - District 03
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type General Election
Filing Deadline April 01, 2022 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open November 08, 2022 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close November 08, 2022 - 08:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 08, 2025 - 12:00pm
Turnout 67.54% Registered 53.26% Total Population
ContributorRBH
Last ModifiedNCdem November 30, 2023 10:06am
Data Sources[Link]
Description Redistricting Info:

Politico: Trump + 8.4
538.com: Republicans + 15
Colorado Commission: Republicans + 9.3
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameLauren Boebert Votes220,634 (51.39%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin26,512 (+6.18%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/05/2024
NameJeffrey Hurd Votes201,951 (50.80%)
Term01/03/2025 - 01/03/2027 Margin19,804 (+4.98%)
PRIMARY/OTHER SCHEDULE
Apr 05, 2022 CO District 03 - D Convention
Soledad Sandoval Tafoya
D 297
Apr 08, 2022 CO District 03 - R Convention
Lauren Boebert
R 1
Jun 28, 2022 CO District 03 - R Primary
Lauren Boebert
R 130,808
Jun 28, 2022 CO District 03 - D Primary
Adam Frisch
D 60,717
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
01/13/2022 11/08/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Lauren Boebert --4 6 2
Adam Frisch 1 ------
Leaning Call: Lauren Boebert (97.14%)
Weighted Call: Lauren Boebert (100.80%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

07/21/2022 10/02/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name (I) Rep. Lauren Boebert Adam Frisch (W) Marina Zimmerman (W) Kristin Skowronski (W) Richard "Turtle" Tetu  
PartyRepublican Democratic Independent Republican Unaffiliated Unaffiliated  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 163,839 (50.06%) 163,293 (49.89%) 74 (0.02%) 71 (0.02%) 8 (0.00%)  
Margin0 (0.00%) -546 (-0.17%) -163,765 (-50.04%) -163,768 (-50.04%) -163,831 (-50.06%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 10/19 $613,894.75 6/30 $570,522.31 $-- $-- $--  
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site]  
Entry Date 12/31/2021 03/24/2022 06/01/2022
Dropped Out
10/12/2022
04/01/2022 04/01/2022  
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg47.10%-- 43.31%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Keating Research (D) 
09/28/22-10/02/22
47.00% -- 45.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Keating Research (D) 
07/21/22-07/25/22
49.00% -- 42.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 


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INFORMATION LINKS

NEWS
Date Category Headline Article Contributor
Nov 09, 2022 10:15pm News What to expect as the final votes are tallied in the razor-thin race between Lauren Boebert and Adam Frisch   Article BrentinCO 
Oct 12, 2022 04:00pm News Lauren Boebert's GOP primary challenger endorses Democrat Adam Frisch in Colorado's 3rd CD  Article BrentinCO 

DISCUSSION
[View All
26
Previous Messages]
 
D:6149Campari_007 ( 1066.4170 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 06:25:16 AM UTC0:00
If Boebert loses I'm cracking the champagne. What a hateful b*tch.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 06:57:40 AM UTC0:00
Her loss would be a genuine shocker.

But maybe people in this district are like other districts. They expect there representative to at least minimally focus on some district related issues.

Boebert's strategy was to focus on national issues and ditch constituent services staff $$$ for social media advisors.

She may yet survive, but if Frisch does win he would be wise to double down on constituent services and western slope issues when the new Congress convenes.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 04:00:18 PM UTC0:00
Frisch's lead narrowed, but the remaining vote is in Democratic counties.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 04:25:57 PM UTC0:00

 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 08:36:57 PM UTC0:00
looks at the "Change%" map and laughs

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 09:01:55 PM UTC0:00
What's with Saguache?

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 09:55:52 PM UTC0:00
RP: What's with Saguache?

Not that many people there to change I guess. Small county.

Its sorta a strange mix of a place. Lots of Buddhist and Hindu spiritual places, old timey family farms, and of course the touristy Sand Dunes National Monument.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 11:28:46 PM UTC0:00
Frisch under 2000 now as Montezuma drops its votes. Waiting on Garfield and Pueblo to drop their votes. These should be Frisch counties. Little bit still out in Boebert Mesa County.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, November 9, 2022 11:29:24 PM UTC0:00
Woops. Mesa dropped theirs. Frisch lead down to 62.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Thu, November 10, 2022 01:22:13 AM UTC0:00
uncounted mail ballots from Aspen have become a lot more important than expected

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Thu, November 10, 2022 02:35:53 AM UTC0:00
Still be counted, there are still 6000 votes in Pueblo (won by Frisch) and a smaller number in Pitkin (won by Frisch).


 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Thu, November 10, 2022 02:40:53 AM UTC0:00
cutting live to Donald Valdez pondering if he should have submitted signatures to make a primary ballot

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Thu, November 10, 2022 05:21:57 PM UTC0:00
Frisch won 57% in Boebert's home county.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Thu, November 10, 2022 05:30:12 PM UTC0:00
Boebert takes her first lead.

But we are still waiting on Pueblo, Garfield, and Pitkin to drop their final votes, which presumably will help Frisch.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Fri, November 11, 2022 03:08:27 AM UTC0:00
Looks like Boebert will win this. Hope she got a scare and will focus more on local issues. Either way she has a bigger target on her back and a stronger Republican will primary her next cycle. Maybe even a stronger Democrat.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5260.3276 points)
Fri, November 11, 2022 05:47:56 AM UTC0:00
Doesn't seem like a narrow R house majority is the most likely hospitable setting for somebody to dedicate themselves to political maturity

Also suspect she won't exactly appreciate how similar the tempo of her victory here was to the Biden victory which she doesn't believe was legit

Grand Junction or Pueblo would be good political bases to run against Boebert if not for most of the district getting TV from Denver. She would have lost this election if the district didn't go as far east as it did in redistricting. Add more of Eagle or keep Routt and drop Otero, and this plays out a little differently.

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Thu, November 17, 2022 11:05:52 PM UTC0:00
The last tranche of reported votes helped Frisch to cut his deficit in half.

 
D:7CA Pol Junkie ( 4953.9048 points)
Fri, November 18, 2022 12:02:39 AM UTC0:00
It seems like all but 3 counties have completed counting. Unless "complete" means there are actually still more votes to count, Frisch will come up short.

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Fri, November 18, 2022 12:14:39 AM UTC0:00
CA Pol Junkie: It seems like all but 3 counties have completed counting. Unless "complete" means there are actually still more votes to count, Frisch will come up short.

I agree. Close but short. Auto recount though.

Donald Valdez and Leroy Garcia must be kicking themselves. Had either one of them been the nominee...the margin in Pueblo County easily would have easily been more than 10 points and it would have been the margin of victory in this race.

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Fri, November 18, 2022 07:35:42 PM UTC0:00
Frisch has decided to concede. The news media are running stories like "Boebert will win US House race after Frisch concedes" although again the concession is part of the parallel reality in the media rather than part of the actual process. Some people who conceded ended up winning, and some people who placed second never conceded.

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