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  WA District 03 - Blanket Primary
RACE DETAILS
Parents > United States > Washington > WA - District 03
OfficeHouse of Representatives
HonorificRepresentative - Abbr: Rep.
Type Primary Election
Filing Deadline May 20, 2022 - 07:00am Central
Polls Open August 02, 2022 - 09:00am Central
Polls Close August 02, 2022 - 10:00pm Central
Term Start January 03, 2023 - 12:00pm
Term End January 03, 2025 - 12:00pm
# Winners2
Turnout 16.79% Total Population
ContributorRP
Last ModifiedNCdem March 14, 2024 05:56pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyRepublican Won11/03/2020
NameJaime Herrera Beutler Votes235,579 (56.37%)
Term01/03/2021 - 01/03/2023 Margin54,232 (+12.98%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Won11/08/2022
NameMarie Gluesenkamp Perez Votes160,314 (50.14%)
Term01/03/2023 - 01/03/2025 Margin2,629 (+0.82%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceWA District 03 11/08/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
09/09/2021 08/02/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Jaime Herrera Beutler 3 ------
Joe Kent 3 ------
Marie Gluesenkamp Perez --1 ----
Leaning Call: Jaime Herrera Beutler (37.50%)
Weighted Call: Jaime Herrera Beutler (85.14%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

10/30/2021 02/14/2022

CANDIDATES (2 Winners)
Photo
Name Marie Gluesenkamp Perez Joe Kent (I) Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler Heidi St. John St. Rep. Vicki Kraft Davy Ray Chris Byrd
PartyDemocratic Republican Republican Republican Republican Democratic Independent
Campaign Logo
Certified Votes 68,190 (31.01%) 50,097 (22.78%) 49,001 (22.28%) 35,219 (16.01%) 7,033 (3.20%) 4,870 (2.21%) 3,817 (1.74%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -18,093 (-8.23%) -19,189 (-8.73%) -32,971 (-14.99%) -61,157 (-27.81%) -63,320 (-28.79%) -64,373 (-29.27%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 24.00% 20.00% 16.00% 3.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand 6/30 $102,027.72 7/13 $352,718.31 7/13 $999,863.75 7/13 $194,176.72 7/13 $5,596.02 $0.00 $--
Website [Campaign Site] [Campaign Site] [Website] [Website] [Website]
Entry Date 04/11/2022 02/22/2021 00/00/2022 02/20/2021 12/09/2021 05/16/2022 05/18/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 24.01%-- 20.61%-- 10.01%-- 3.21%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--
Trafalgar Group 
02/11/22-02/14/22
0.00% -- 25.50% 5.5 22.10% 0.9 11.50% -- 4.70% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/30/21-11/01/21
0.00% -- 31.00% -- 23.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Leslie L. French Oliver Black (W) Write-In  
PartyRepublican American Solidarity Nonpartisan  
Campaign Logo  
Certified Votes 1,100 (0.50%) 456 (0.21%) 142 (0.07%)  
Margin-67,090 (-30.51%) -67,734 (-30.80%) -68,048 (-30.94%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand 12/31 $1,368.02 $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 05/17/2022 05/19/2022 05/20/2022  
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 1 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Trafalgar Group 
02/11/22-02/14/22
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
Trafalgar Group 
10/30/21-11/01/21
0.00% -- 0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Brent Hennrich (D)
Feb 25, 2021 - May 20, 2022
Wadi Yakhour (R)
Sep 09, 2021

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DISCUSSION
[View All
15
Previous Messages]
 
I:10334data ( 0.0000 points)
Mon, December 27, 2021 10:33:32 PM UTC0:00
Wadi Yakhour is no longer running:
[Link]

 
D:1RP ( 5639.5112 points)
Sat, March 12, 2022 06:53:45 PM UTC0:00

 
WFP:11300JVLEndorsements ( 36.4140 points)
Fri, March 25, 2022 07:44:17 PM UTC0:00
I think the general election for this race will be moderate Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler, vs. Trump-backed challenger Joe Kent. Progressive challenger Brent Hennrich has run a strong campaign and current polling does show him in the general with Kent. I would be surprised if Herrera Beutler is knocked out in the primary

 
Un:7114Kyle ( 706.9630 points)
Wed, August 3, 2022 07:53:07 PM UTC0:00
Thank goodness for the top two primary system.

 
D:1RP ( 5639.5112 points)
Wed, August 3, 2022 09:06:22 PM UTC0:00
Kyle: Thank goodness for the top two primary system.

Seems like the results would have been the same in a normal primary system.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5694.9746 points)
Fri, August 5, 2022 08:20:50 PM UTC0:00
I think the perception is that no top two takes some votes away from Beutler that might not have voted in an R primary if they had an open primary

meanwhile, it's apparently Democrats fault for voting for a Democrat if Beutler loses this primary


 
R:250Mr. Politics ( 190.1725 points)
Fri, August 5, 2022 08:44:20 PM UTC0:00
That's an uncharacteristically bad take by Wasserman.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5694.9746 points)
Fri, August 5, 2022 08:49:57 PM UTC0:00
I guess the anti-JHB Republicans did more to help her than the Democrats because the anti-JHB Republicans might just split their vote and let JHB through.

 
D:1989RBH ( 5694.9746 points)
Fri, August 5, 2022 10:14:22 PM UTC0:00
the reaction to that Wasserman tweet has been split between Democrats unhappy that they're being expected to prop up JHB and Kent supporters mad that Kent is called "pro-conspiracy"

 
D:1RP ( 5639.5112 points)
Tue, August 9, 2022 05:24:44 AM UTC0:00

 
I:1038WA Indy ( 1821.8380 points)
Thu, August 11, 2022 11:30:13 PM UTC0:00
Hikikomori Blitzkrieg!: Hey, for once that dubious b*ll**** where it somehow, inexplicably, takes a freakin' week to count the ballots, has actually worked out in favor of the populist side.
I suppose that has to happen one out of every 50 times or so? Kinda like ball lightning. It technically exists, but you basically never see it.

It's almost like when you count votes, sometimes you lose. Go back into lurking.

 
WmP:879Chronicler ( 84.4516 points)
Fri, August 12, 2022 01:00:36 AM UTC0:00
Well this is definitely a disappointment.