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  Colombia President
RACE DETAILS
Parents > Colombia > President
OfficePresident
HonorificPresident - Abbr: President
Type General Election - Requires Run-Off
Filing Deadline December 17, 2021 - 12:00pm Central
Polls Open May 29, 2022 - 08:00am Central
Polls Close May 29, 2022 - 04:00pm Central
Term Start August 07, 2022 - 12:00pm
Term End August 07, 2026 - 12:00pm
ContributorBojicat
Last ModifiedIndyGeorgia April 13, 2024 09:06pm
Data Sources[Link]
Description
LAST GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyDemocratic Center Won06/17/2018
NameIván Duque Márquez Votes10,373,080 (53.98%)
Term08/07/2018 - 08/07/2022 Margin2,338,891 (+12.17%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
  PartyHistoric Pact for Colombia Won06/19/2022
NameGustavo Petro Votes11,292,758 (50.42%)
Term08/07/2022 - 08/07/2026 Margin688,102 (+3.07%)
NEXT GENERAL ELECTION
RaceColombia President - Runoff 06/19/2022
LEANING PREDICTIONS    Detail
Leaning Graph
05/13/2022 05/29/2022
CandidateSlightLeanStrongSafe
Gustavo Petro 1 1 ----
Leaning Call: Gustavo Petro (100.00%)
Weighted Call: Gustavo Petro (100.00%)
MATCHUP POLL GRAPH
Poll Graph

05/16/2022 05/20/2022

CANDIDATES
Photo
Name Mayor Gustavo Petro Rodolfo Hernández Suárez Mayor Federico Gutiérrez Gov. Sergio Fajardo John Milton Rodríguez Enrique Gómez Martínez Íngrid Betancourt
PartyHistoric Pact for Colombia League of Anti-Corruption Governors Team for Colombia Hope Center Coalition Colombia Justa Libres National Salvation Movement Oxygen Green
Campaign Logo
Uncertified Votes (99.99% in) 8,527,421 (41.04%) 5,953,199 (28.65%) 5,058,002 (24.34%) 888,579 (4.28%) 274,249 (1.32%) 50,537 (0.24%) 14,878 (0.07%)
Margin0 (0.00%) -2,574,222 (-12.39%) -3,469,419 (-16.70%) -7,638,842 (-36.76%) -8,253,172 (-39.72%) -8,476,884 (-40.79%) -8,512,543 (-40.97%)
Estimated Final8,528,273 (41.04%) 5,953,794 (28.65%) 5,058,507 (24.34%) 888,667 (4.28%) 274,276 (1.32%) 50,542 (0.24%) 14,879 (0.07%)
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Cash On Hand $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $-- $--
Website [Website]
Entry Date 03/13/2022 10/31/2019 03/13/2022 03/13/2022 08/05/2021 12/01/2021 01/29/2022
Dropped Out
05/21/2022
Bar
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg38.05%-- 24.51%-- 22.68%-- 3.95%-- 1.29%-- 0.20%-- 0.50%--
Latin American Strategic Center for Geopolitics 
05/16/22-05/20/22
45.10% -- 20.40% -- 20.10% -- 4.90% -- 0.30% -- 0.60% -- 0.20% --
Guarumo 
05/16/22-05/19/22
37.90% -- 20.30% -- 30.80% -- 4.30% -- 0.80% -- 0.50% -- 0.80% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
MORE CANDIDATES
Photo  
Name Gov. Luis Pérez Gutiérrez Blank - Void  
PartyIndependent No Party Affiliation  
Campaign Logo  
Uncertified Votes (99.99% in) 12,425 (0.06%) 0 (0.00%)  
Margin-8,514,996 (-40.98%) -8,527,421 (-41.04%)  
Estimated Final12,426 (0.06%) 0 (0.00%)  
Predict Avg.0.00% 0.00%  
Cash On Hand $-- $--  
Website  
Entry Date 02/26/2021
Dropped Out
05/11/2021
12/17/2021  
MATCHUP POLLS (2 from 2 pollsters)
Adj Poll Avg0.00%-- 0.00%--  
Latin American Strategic Center for Geopolitics 
05/16/22-05/20/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
Guarumo 
05/16/22-05/19/22
0.00% -- 0.00% --
ENDORSEMENTS
Endorsements
 

DROPPED OUT - NO VOTES
Germán Córdoba Ordoñez (PCR)
Mar 11, 2022 - Mar 18, 2022
Luis Gilberto Murillo Urrutia (IC)
Jan 21, 2022 - Mar 17, 2022
Óscar Iván Zuluaga (CD)
Nov 22, 2021 - Mar 14, 2022
Paola Holguín (CD)
Jan 07, 2020 - Nov 22, 2021
Antonio Sanguino (PAV)
Nov 26, 2020 - Nov 12, 2021

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DISCUSSION
[View All
16
Previous Messages]
 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
x3
Wed, April 27, 2022 03:00:10 PM UTC0:00
E Pluribus Unum: Looks like the Liberals are going to endorse Fico

So his score's going up?

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, April 27, 2022 04:25:32 PM UTC0:00
Maybe, but IDK by how much. Petro still has a decent lead, but it may be a smaller margin now

 
D:1RP ( 5508.0200 points)
Wed, April 27, 2022 05:25:56 PM UTC0:00
Sigh. My too obscure humor again.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, April 27, 2022 05:51:00 PM UTC0:00
Yes lol

 
Joker:9757BrentinCO ( 7748.4790 points)
Wed, April 27, 2022 06:37:09 PM UTC0:00
RP: Sigh. My too obscure humor again.

Its okay. I got it.

And more proof that Social Democrats and most millies could care less about their FICO score and probably don't even know what it is.

 
I:9951E Pluribus Unum ( -405.4800 points)
Wed, April 27, 2022 07:21:13 PM UTC0:00
Socialists don't trust banks lol.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Sun, May 29, 2022 10:35:16 PM UTC0:00
Falling into line as polls predicted, though Gutiérrez off to a stronger-than-expected start. Will make a difference in the second round if the other four rally behind him. Pérez and Betancourt stuck on the ballot though they withdrew. Of note, the Registry is doing a bang-up tabulation job compared to its last Iowa-style misadventure.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Sun, May 29, 2022 10:39:19 PM UTC0:00
Hernández just slipped past Gutiérrez. A Boric v. Kast redux?

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Sun, May 29, 2022 10:44:04 PM UTC0:00
Wow, Hernández beefing up his second-place lead. Will be the song of the southern hemisphere should he enter the second round.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Sun, May 29, 2022 10:54:59 PM UTC0:00
Close to 40% in and it's clearly going to be a Petro v Hernández 2nd round. Gutiérrez shoveled to the side. Pollsters clearly underestimated the power of the dark horse Hernández rode on.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Sun, May 29, 2022 11:19:34 PM UTC0:00
Petro was always the proverbial 800-pound gorilla in the room vs everyone else. The Hernández phenomenon is intriguing, however. Petro winds up stuck at 40%. Perilous for him. A unified anti-Petro force hanging on Hernández' coattail...well, look at that combined non-Petro tally.

 
I:9626Bojicat ( 912.4638 points)
Mon, May 30, 2022 12:40:23 AM UTC0:00
Hernández took the entire center, save Bogota. Petro seized all the edges, save Antioquia, which went to Gutiérrez. That's an impressive 13 out of 32 departments to Hernández, and he was 2nd in vote-rich Bogota and 2nd in many Petro-dominated departments. Petro has his hands full this June 19th.